|
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPJPY Forecast The GBPJPY was unable to make a clear break above 134.20 yesterday and significantly down and hit 132.90. The bias is bearish in nearest term but note that as long as price moves inside the bullish channel the overall technical bias remains more to the upside. There are no changes in my daily technical outlook. Aggressive intraday traders can still long around 132.50 with stop loss below 131.75 while conservative traders can long around 131.75 (the lower line of the bullish channel) with smaller stop loss. On the upside, we need a clear break above 134.20 to continue the bullish scenario testing 135.50 key resistance area. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...48-300x184.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUDUSD Forecast The AUDUSD made a significant bearish momentum yesterday, break below the rising wedge formation as you can see on my daily chart below. This fact not only change the intraday bias to bearish targeting 0.9942 – 0.9865 but also could create bigger downside correction scenario. Immediate resistance at 1.0070. A clear break above that area and a daily close back inside the rising wedge would lead us to neutral zone as direction would become unclear and my rising wedge bearish technical scenario would be a little bit mess and could give another chance for a retest of 1.0256 all time high. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...y7-300x185.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURUSD Forecast The EURUSD failed to break below 1.3740/60 support area on Friday and whipsawed to the upside and hit 1.3952 earlier today in Asian session. The intraday bias is more to the upside now especially if price able to make a clear break above 1.3950 retesting 1.4035 but as long as price stays below 1.4035 the shooting star bearish scenario which seen on March 07 remains intact and only a clear break above 1.4035 would cancel the bearish scenario and continue the bullish outlook testing 1.4281 this week. Immediate support at 1.3860. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish retesting 1.3740/60 key support area and keep the shooting star bearish scenario remains strong. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...y3-300x185.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPUSD Forecast The GBPUSD attempted to push lower on Friday, bottomed at 1.5976 but whipsawed to the upside and hit 1.6089 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is neutral in nearest term but I think as long as price able to stay below the bullish channel price is still in a bearish phase after the fall from 1.6300 key resistance area. My medium outlook remains neutral and on the downside we should pay attention to the 1.5950 key support area as we would need a clear break below that support area to continue the bearish scenario. On the upside, immediate resistance at 1.6150. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish retesting 1.6300 key resistance area and would give the bullish continuation scenario another chance. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...t4-300x185.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDCHF Forecast The USDCHF made another volatile but indecisive movement on Friday. The bias remains neutral in nearest term. However note that the major scenario remains bearish and any upside movement now should only be considered as a counter trend/corrective moves. The fact that the upside pressure is limited so far could end the upside consolidation phase and continue the major bearish scenario testing 0.9230 especially if price able to make a clear break below 0.9267 and keep the bearish scenario targeting 0.9100 – 9.000 remains strong. On the upside, a clear break above 0.9368 (which has been a strong intraday resistance since March 08) would trigger further bullish correction testing 0.9435 resistance area. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...y9-300x184.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDJPY Forecast The USDJPY had a significant bearish momentum on Friday, bottomed at 81.65 and hit 81.20 earlier today in Asian session. The earthquake and Tsunami in Japan triggered broad Yen strength (my condolences to the Japanese). However, as you can see on my daily chart below, price failed to make a clear break below the triangle formation so far. I don’t think that now is the best time to trade. Beside unclear/consolidation technical bias, usually market reaction to a natural disaster can be very tricky. The bearish momentum might be short lived and market sentiment can change quickly to the opposite direction, testing the upper line of the triangle. On the downside, a clear break below the triangle and 81.20 would trigger further bearish pressure targeting 80.90 – 80.30 support area. Immediate resistance at 82.60. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 83.28 and the upper line of the triangle. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...ly-300x184.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURJPY Forecast The EURJPY slipped below 114.00 on Friday after the earthquake and Tsunami in Japan triggered broad Yen strength, but price recovered quickly to the upside and now back above 114.00. The market sentiment during a natural disaster can change very fast to the opposite direction and the fact that price able to move back above 114.00 keeps my bullish outlook intact with nearest bullish target remains around 116.35. On the downside, only a daily close below 114.00 would be a serious threat to my bullish outlook at least testing 113.00 support area. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...y7-300x185.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPJPY Forecast The GBPJPY had a significant bearish momentum on Friday, broke below the bullish channel as you can see on my daily chart below. This bearish momentum was triggered by a broad Yen strength after the earthquake and Tsunami in Japan. While technical outlook has change to a bearish view now targeting 129.50, things can be very tricky now as market sentiment to a natural disaster can change quickly to the opposite direction. Immediate resistance at 132.90. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 133.70 and 134.20 resistance area. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...ly-300x184.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUDUSD Forecast The AUDUSD attempted to push lower on Friday, bottomed at 0.9967, but whipsawed strongly to the upside topped at 1.0157 and traded lower around 1.0080 at the time I wrote this comment earlier today in Asian session. My intraday outlook is a little bit mess. My intraday bias is neutral now and I don’t think now is the best time to trade. I’m only interested to short around 1.0256 due to a good risk – reward ratio there or reactivate my bearish mode on a clear break below the rising wedge formation and a daily close below 1.0030 targeting 0.9942 – 0.9865. On the upside, a clear break above 1.0256 would triggered further bullish scenario aiming for new all time higher which is projected around 1.0300 – 1.0500. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...y8-300x184.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURUSD Forecast The EURUSD attempted to push higher yesterday but still unable to make a clear break above 1.4000 – 1.4035 key resistance area so far. There are no changes in my h4 chart outlook, where price still consolidating after the strong bullish movement from 1.2873, moving in a range area between 1.4035 – 1.3740 as you can see on my h4 chart below. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Immediate support at 1.3860. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 1.3740 key support area. The shooting star bearish scenario seems to lose its momentum now, diminishing the bearish outlook but we still need a clear break above 1.4035 to continue the bullish scenario targeting 1.4150 and 1.4281 this week as the shooting star bearish scenario would no longer valid. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...t4-300x185.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPUSD Forecast The GBPUSD had a bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 1.6197 but corrected lower significantly earlier today in Asian session and hit 1.6112. On h4 chart below you can see that price is now back below the bullish channel. Also, since the fall from 1.6300, price still making lower high suggests that the downside pullback scenario testing 1.5950 key support area remains intact. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Immediate support at 1.6070. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 1.6030 – 1.5950 support area. On the upside, we need a clear break above 1.6200 to stop this bearish scenario retesting 1.6300 key resistance area and keep the bullish continuation scenario remains strong. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...t5-300x186.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDCHF Forecast The USDCHF continued its bearish momentum yesterday and slipped below 0.9230 earlier today in Asian session but still unable to consistently move below 0.9230 so far. The bias is bearish in nearest term especially if price able to make a clear break below 0.9200 targeting 0.9100 before testing 0.9000. Immediate resistance at 0.9270. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 0.9330/68 but the major scenario remains strongly to the downside. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...10-300x185.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDJPY Forecast The USDJPY was volatile but indecisive yesterday. The upside pressure looks limited so far and price made another move below the triangle indicates the downside pressure remains strong although still unable to make a consistent and daily close below the triangle. The bias remains neutral both in short and medium term until we have a daily close below or above the triangle. Immediate support at 81.20. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish targeting 80.90 – 80.30 support area. On the upside, immediate resistance at 82.00. Clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 82.50 – 83.05 but as long as price moves inside the triangle, overall price is still in a consolidation phase. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...y1-300x184.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURJPY Forecast The EURJPY had a bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 114.80 but whipsawed to the downside and hit 113.23 earlier today in Asian session. On h1 chart below we can see price is moving in a triangle formation indicates consolidation and need a clear break from the triangle to see clearer intraday bias. A break below the triangle and consistent move below 113.20 would trigger further bearish pressure testing 112.90/50 while a break above the triangle and consistent move above 114.60 would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 115.00 and keep my bullish scenario targeting 116.35 remains strong. I think market sentiment still influenced by the Japan condition after the national disaster which keeps direction remains tricky. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...h1-300x185.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPJPY Forecast The GBPJPY was corrected higher yesterday, topped at 132.34 but whipsawed strongly to the downside earlier today in Asian session and hit 131.07. This fact keeps the technical bearishness intact with nearest bearish target around 129.50. On the upside, only a move back above 132.50 would be a threat to the bearish scenario retesting 134.20 resistance area even higher. I think market sentiment still influenced by the Japan condition after the national disaster which keeps direction remains tricky. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...y1-300x185.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUDUSD Forecast The AUDUSD was indecisive yesterday but fell significantly to the downside and hit 0.9924 earlier today in Asian session. Although the bias is strongly bearish in nearest term and my bearish mode is now activated, we know that this pair has no clear direction so far, move up and down without consistent momentum and the condition could remain tricky in nearest future. Immediate resistance at 1.0040. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term and keeps us in an unclear condition testing 1.0100/50 resistance area. On the downside, another strong break below 0.9924 would trigger further bearish pressure targeting 0.9865 even lower. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...y9-300x185.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURUSD Forecast The EURUSD was volatile but indecisive yesterday. Price attempted to push lower but found a good support around 1.3860 and whipsawed to the upside and slipped above 1.4000 but still unable to make a clear break above 1.4000 – 1.4035 key resistance area so far. There are no changes in my daily outlook where overall price still trapped in range area of 1.4035 – 1.3740 and need a clear break from either side to see clearer direction. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Aggressive traders can short around 1.4000 – 1.4035 with tight stop loss. Immediate support at 1.3900. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish retesting 1.3860. On the upside, a clear break above 1.4035 would continue the bullish continuation scenario targeting 1.4150 – 1.4281 this week. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...t5-300x185.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPUSD Forecast The GBPUSD had a bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 1.5978 but closed higher at 1.6070. The bias is neutral in nearest term but I think the overall pressure remains to the downside now as price still able to stay below the bullish channel as you can see on my daily chart below. Immediate resistance at 1.6135. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 1.6200 and would give the bullish scenario retesting 1.6300 another change. On the downside, 1.5950 is the nearest bearish target and need a clear break below that area to continue the bearish scenario and activate my bearish mode at least targeting 1.5750 region. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...y5-300x185.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDCHF Forecast The USDCHF made a significant bearish momentum yesterday by clearly broken below the range area after two weeks of consolidation as you can see on my daily chart below. This fact confirms the bearish continuation scenario targeting 0.9100 – 0.9000 this week. On the upside, only a movement back above 0.9230 would be a threat to the bearish continuation scenario and lead us to neutral zone as direction would become unclear. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...11-300x185.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDJPY Forecast The USDJPY made a significant bearish momentum yesterday, broke below the triangle formation as you can see on my daily chart below. This fact confirms the bearish scenario retesting 15-year low at 80.30. Immediate resistance at 81.20. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 82.00 but I think the overall technical bias should remain to the downside. As a 15-year low level, 80.30 could be a strong support at this phase so we must pay attention to that support level. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...y2-300x185.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURJPY Forecast The EURJPY had a significant bearish momentum yesterday, broke below the triangle formation as you can see on my h1 chart below suggests a bearish technical bias at least targeting 112.50 in nearest term before testing 110.80 in longer term as the upside scenario might have failed now after the failure to maintain position above 114.00. Immediate resistance at 113.50. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 114.00 but only a clear break above 114.68 would continue the bullish scenario targeting 116.35. Note that the price movement seems to be remains under the influence of Tsunami impact and nuclear crisis in Japan. Although risk aversion sentiment will likely to dominate and keep support broad Yen strength, this kind of sentiment can change quickly anytime. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...11-300x185.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPJPY Forecast The GBPJPY had a significant bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 129.17 and closed at 128.84. The bias remains bearish in nearest term especially if price able to make another strong break below 129.17 targeting 127.50 even 125.50 in longer term. Immediate resistance at 131.00. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 132.50 which could be a threat to the bearish scenario. Note that the price movement seems to be remains under the influence of Tsunami impact and nuclear crisis in Japan. Although risk aversion sentiment will likely to dominate and keep support broad Yen strength, this kind of sentiment can change quickly anytime. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...y2-300x184.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUDUSD Forecast The AUDUSD had a significant bearish momentum yesterday, clearly broken below the rising wedge formation as you can see on my daily chart below, confirms the bearish correction/reversal scenario after hit all time high at 1.0256. The bias is bearish in nearest term but note that we probably have a good support around 0.9800 and need a clear break below that area to continue the bearish scenario targeting 0.9540. Immediate resistance at 0.9965. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.0100 but only a clear break above 1.0100 could cancel the current bearish scenario and open the door for another bullish attempt aiming for new all time highs. http://static.fxinstructor.com/blog/...10-300x185.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/USD With 4 hours MACD crossed below signal line, a temporary top is in place at 1.4247 and intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral. Deeper retreat might be seen to 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 1.4048) but downside should be contained above 1.3751 support and bring rally resumption. Above 1.4247 will target 1.4281 resistance, which is close to medium term falling trend line (now at 1.4292). Sustained break there will have medium term bullish implication and should pave the way to 1.5143 resistance next. In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3427 support holds, we'd favor the case that rise from 1.2873 is extending rebound from 1.1875. Also, that would mean that we're favoring the case that medium term correction 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Break of 1.4281 resistance will further affirm this case and target 1.5143 resistance and then 1.6039 high. However, break of 1.3472 will leave the whole rise from 1.2873 in three wave corrective structure, which in turn indicate that fall from 1.4281 is not finished and will turn favors back to the bearish case for at least a test on 1.2873 support. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110323a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110323a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/JPY With 4 hours MACD crossed below signal line, intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral for the moment. As noted before, with 84.49 resistance intact, there is no indication of trend reversal yet. Hence, while some while some consolidations would be seen above 76.40 first, we'd continue to favor a downside breakout eventually to extend the long term down trend. Below 79.74 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 76.40 first. On the upside, above 81.95 temporary top will bring another rise. But again, we won't turn bullish before decisive break of 84.49. In the bigger picture, the strong break of 79.75 (1995 low) confirms that multi-decade down trend in USD/JPY has resumed. In any case, we'll stay bearish as long as 84.49 key resistance holds. Current down trend would possibly extend to 61.8% projection of 94.97 to 80.29 from 83.96 at 74.88 next. However, decisive break of 84.49 will argue that an important medium term bottom is formed. Focus will then turn to whether USD/JPY could sustain above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.45). In that case, stronger rise could be seen towards 94.97 resistance next. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110323a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110323a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBP/USD Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside with 1.6291 minor support intact. Current rally should be targeting 61.8% projection of 1.4230 to 1.6298 from 1.5343 at 1.6621 next. On the downside, below 1.6291 minor support will indicate that a temporary top is formed and bring consolidations first. But downside should be contained well above 1.5976 support and bring rally resumption. In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5343 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110323a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110323a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CHF Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.8921 is still in progress. In case of another recovery, we'd expect upside limited by 0.9201 support turned resistance and bring fall resumption. Below 0.8921 will confirm fall resumption and target 100% projection of 0.9774 to 0.9201 from 0.9368 at 0.8795 next. In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9774 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110323a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110323a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CAD Another fall remains mildly in favor in USD/CAD with 0.9862 minor resistance intact. As noted before, rebound from 0.9666 has completed at 0.9972 already and 0.9666 is not the bottom yet. Further break of 0.9666 will resume recent down trend for 61.8% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9589. On the upside, above 0.9862 minor resistance will turn bias neutral again. In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 0.9666 was strong, it's still too early to conclude medium term reversal. Whole down trend from 1.3063 (2009 high) could still extend further lower as long as 1.0851 resistance holds. But even in that case, as fall from 1.3063 is still looking corrective and hence, we'd expect strong support between 0.9056/9709 to contain downside and bring another medium term rise. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110323a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110323a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUD/USD No change in AUD/USD's outlook. AUD/USD is possibly just in sideway consolidations from 1.0181, in form of triangle pattern. That is, recent uptrend is not over yet. Some choppy sideway trading could be seen in near term first. Break of 1.0200 resistance will target another high above 1.0254. On the downside, break of 0.9704 support is needed to revive the bearish reversal case that AUD/USD has topped out at 1.0254 and target 0.9536 and below. In the bigger picture, with 0.9536 support intact, there is no confirmation of reversal yet. AUD/USD could make another high above 1.0254. But considering bearish divergence condition remains in daily and weekly MACD, reversal should be imminent. We'll continue to look for topping signal in case of another rise. On the downside, break of 0.9536 will confirm that 1.0254 is the medium term top. Also, we're looking the prospect that whole up trend from 0.6008 has finished after hitting 61.8% projection of 0.6008 to 0.9404 from 0.8066 at 1.0165. Decisive break of 0.9536 should drag AUD/USD deep into 0.8066/9404 support zone. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110323a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110323a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
With 4 hours MACD crossed below signal line, a temporary top is in place at 115.53 an intraday bias is turned neutral. Focus remains on 115.96 resistance. As long as 115.96 holds, there is no confirmation of trend reversal yet and we'll continue to favor a downside break out eventually from range of 105.42/115.96. Below 111.28 minor support will flip bias back to the downside for 106.57 support first. Nevertheless, sustained break of 115.96 will also have 55 week's EMA taken out and thus, favors that case that EUR/JPY has bottomed out already. In the bigger picture, price actions from 105.42 are treated as medium term consolidations to fall from 139.21 and should have completed at 115.96. Decisive break of 105.42 will confirm resumption of down trend from 139.21 and should send EUR/JPY through 100 psychological level to 61.8% projection of 139.21 to 105.42 from 115.96 at 95.07 next. On the upside, break of 115.96 and sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA will argue that whole down trend from 169.69 is over. In such case, focus will be turned to 139.21 resistance for confirmation. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110323a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110323a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/GBP As noted before, a temporary top is at least in place at 0.8750 after EUR/GBP hit medium term trend line resistance. Intraday bias is now on the downside for 0.8533 support. Break will indicate that whole rise from 0.8284 has likely finished and should bring deeper fall towards 0.8284/8354 support zone. On the upside, note again that sustained trading above medium term fall trend line and 0.8760 will have medium term bullish implication and should bring further rise towards 0.8940 resistance. In the bigger picture, firstly, fall from 0.9799 is treated as correction to the larger up trend and the question is whether such correction is finished. At this point, EUR/GBP is still limited by medium term falling trend line and thus, there is no confirmation of completion of the correction yet. Another low below 0.8067 could still be seen. Even in that case, we'd continue to look for reversal signal inside 0.7693/8186 support zone. Meanwhile, break of 0.8940 will revive the case that correction from 0.9799 is already completed and will turn outlook bullish for a new high above 0.9799. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110323a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110323a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/CHF With 4 hours MACD crossed below signal line, a temporary top is in place at 1.2886 in EUR/CHF and intraday bias is turned neutral. Though, another rise remains in favor as long as 1.2676 minor support holds. As noted before, rise from 1.2432 is possibly the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.2401. Above 1.2886 will bring another rise to 1.3038 or possibly further to 1.3203 resistance. Though, below 1.2676 will indicate that rebound from 1.2432 has completed and should flip bias back to the downside for 1.2401 low instead. In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6287 (2007 high) is still in progress and in any case, medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3833 resistance holds. The current down trend would likely continue through 1.2 psychological level towards 100% projection of 1.5138 to 1.2765 from 1.3833 at 1.1460, which is close to long term projection level at 1.1516. However, break of 1.3833 will confirm medium term bottoming and should bring strong rebound to 1.4315 resistance and above. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110323a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110323a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBP/JPY At this point, further rise remains mildly in favor in GBP/JPY with 130.44 minor support intact. Though, focus will remain on 135.48 resistance level. As long as 135.48 holds, there is no confirmation of trend reversal and thus, we'd favor a downside break of 122.40 after having some sideway consolidations first. Below 130.44 minor support will flip intraday bias back to the downside for 122.40 and below. In the bigger picture, note that GBP/JPY is still limited below 55 weeks EMA and thus, call from 163.05 is possibly still in progress. As discussed before, such decline is treated as the second leg of the consolidation pattern that started at 118.81 (2009 low). Hence, while deeper decline would be seen, strong support is expected around 118.81 low to conclude such decline and bring another medium term rise to extend the consolidation from 118.81. However, break of 135.48 resistance is needed to be the first signal of reversal or we'll stay bearish. Meanwhile, Decisive break of 118.81 will in turn confirm long term down trend resumption for 100 psychological level. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110323a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110323a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/USD Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral as consolidations from 1.4247 continues. Deeper retreat cannot be ruled out but downside should be contained above 1.3751 support and bring rally resumption. Above 1.4247 will target 1.4281 resistance, which is close to medium term falling trend line (now at 1.4292). Sustained break there will have medium term bullish implication and should pave the way to 1.5143 resistance next. In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3427 support holds, we'd favor the case that rise from 1.2873 is extending rebound from 1.1875. Also, that would mean that we're favoring the case that medium term correction 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Break of 1.4281 resistance will further affirm this case and target 1.5143 resistance and then 1.6039 high. However, break of 1.3472 will leave the whole rise from 1.2873 in three wave corrective structure, which in turn indicate that fall from 1.4281 is not finished and will turn favors back to the bearish case for at least a test on 1.2873 support. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110324a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110324a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUD/USD No change in AUD/USD's outlook. AUD/USD is possibly just in sideway consolidations from 1.0181, in form of triangle pattern. That is, recent uptrend is not over yet. Some choppy sideway trading could be seen in near term first. Break of 1.0200 resistance will target another high above 1.0254. On the downside, break of 0.9704 support is needed to revive the bearish reversal case that AUD/USD has topped out at 1.0254 and target 0.9536 and below. In the bigger picture, with 0.9536 support intact, there is no confirmation of reversal yet. AUD/USD could make another high above 1.0254. But considering bearish divergence condition remains in daily and weekly MACD, reversal should be imminent. We'll continue to look for topping signal in case of another rise. On the downside, break of 0.9536 will confirm that 1.0254 is the medium term top. Also, we're looking the prospect that whole up trend from 0.6008 has finished after hitting 61.8% projection of 0.6008 to 0.9404 from 0.8066 at 1.0165. Decisive break of 0.9536 should drag AUD/USD deep into 0.8066/9404 support zone. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110324a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110324a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CAD
Some consolidations could be seen above 0.9745 temporary low but after all, another fall is still in favor with 0.9862 minor resistance intact. As noted before, rebound from 0.9666 has completed at 0.9972 already and 0.9666 is not the bottom yet. Below 0.9745 will target 0.9666 and break will resume recent down trend for 61.8% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9589. However, above 0.9862 will mix up the near term outlook again. In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 0.9666 was strong, it's still too early to conclude medium term reversal. Whole down trend from 1.3063 (2009 high) could still extend further lower as long as 1.0851 resistance holds. But even in that case, as fall from 1.3063 is still looking corrective and hence, we'd expect strong support between 0.9056/9709 to contain downside and bring another medium term rise. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110324a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110324a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/GBP No change in EUR/GBP's outlook. At this moment, with 4 hours MACD staying negative, we'd continue to favor deeper fall. Break of 0.8533 support will indicate that whole rise from 0.8284 has likely finished after hitting medium term trend line resistance. In such case, EUR/GBP should target 0.8284/8354 support zone. On the upside, note again that sustained trading above medium term fall trend line and 0.8760 will have medium term bullish implication and should bring further rise towards 0.8940 resistance. In the bigger picture, firstly, fall from 0.9799 is treated as correction to the larger up trend and the question is whether such correction is finished. At this point, EUR/GBP is still limited by medium term falling trend line and thus, there is no confirmation of completion of the correction yet. Another low below 0.8067 could still be seen. Even in that case, we'd continue to look for reversal signal inside 0.7693/8186 support zone. Meanwhile, break of 0.8940 will revive the case that correction from 0.9799 is already completed and will turn outlook bullish for a new high above 0.9799. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110324a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110324a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/CHF Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment and some consolidations could be seen below 1.2886 temporary top first. Though, another rise remains in favor as long as 1.2676 minor support holds. As noted before, rise from 1.2432 is possibly the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.2401. Above 1.2886 will bring another rise to 1.3038 or possibly further to 1.3203 resistance. Though, below 1.2676 will indicate that rebound from 1.2432 has completed and should flip bias back to the downside for 1.2401 low instead. In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6287 (2007 high) is still in progress and in any case, medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3833 resistance holds. The current down trend would likely continue through 1.2 psychological level towards 100% projection of 1.5138 to 1.2765 from 1.3833 at 1.1460, which is close to long term projection level at 1.1516. However, break of 1.3833 will confirm medium term bottoming and should bring strong rebound to 1.4315 resistance and above. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110324a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110324a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBP/USD Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment and retreat from 1.6400 could extend further to 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 1.6214) and below. But we'd stay bullish as long as 1.5976 support holds and expect rise from 1.5343 to resume later. Break of 1.6400 will target 61.8% projection of 1.4230 to 1.6298 from 1.5343 at 1.6621 next. In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5343 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110324a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110324a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CHF USD/CHF's consolidation from 0.8921 continues today and intraday bias remains neutral. Upside up the consolidation is still expected to be limited by 0.9201 support turned resistance and bring fall resumption. Below 0.8977 minor support will flip bias back to the downside. Further break of 0.8921 will confirm fall resumption and target 100% projection of 0.9774 to 0.9201 from 0.9368 at 0.8795 next. In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9774 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110324a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110324a2.gif |
| الساعة الآن 08:26 AM |
Powered by vBulletin® Copyright ©2000 - 2024
جميع الحقوق محفوظة الى اف اكس ارابيا www.fx-arabia.com