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m.youssif 06-04-2011 06:00 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USD/CAD drops to as low as 0.9577 so far today and met mentioned target of 61.8% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9589. Intraday bias remains on the downside for the moment and further fall should now be seen towards 100% projection at 0.9353. On the upside, break of 0.9692 resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and has just resumed. As noted before, such decline is still looking corrective and thus, we'd expect strong support between 0.9056/9709 to contain downside and bring another medium term rise. We'd continue to look for sign of loss of momentum and reversal in the current decline. However, break of 1.0851 resistance is needed to confirm trend reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110406b1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110406b2.gif

m.youssif 06-04-2011 06:02 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD continued its bullish bias earlier today in Asian session, slipped above 1.4250 again. On h4 chart below we can see price seems ready to continue its bullish scenario after two weeks of consolidation in range area of 1.4250/81 – 1.4035. The bias is bullish in nearest term especially if price able to make a clear break above 1.4281 targeting 1.4400 – 1.4500 this week. Immediate support at 1.4200. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.4150 but unless price breaks below 1.4035 the major bullish scenario remains intact.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...rt-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 06-04-2011 06:03 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD had a strong bullish momentum yesterday, triggered by a better than expected UK Servioes PMI number and broke above 1.6300 resistance area. The bias is bullish in nearest term targeting 1.6400. However note that actually from a daily chart outlook like I said yesterday, price still moves in a sideways condition. We need a clear break above 1.6400 to continue the bullish scenario testing 1.6500 – 1.6700 area. Immediate support at 1.6275. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.6170/50 support area and keep us in a sideways outlook, still looking for a new direction.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...ly-300x188.jpg

m.youssif 06-04-2011 06:04 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY continued its bullish momentum yesterday and hit 85.51 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 85.90. On monthly chart below we can see that 85.90 is not only a key intraday resistance to be tested, but also a key resistance from a long term outlook where a hammer candle stick bullish reversal formation is formed after hit a new 15 year low at 76.21 last month. A clear break above 85.90 would be a further validation to the bullish reversal scenario at least targeting 95.00. Immediate support at 84.70. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but overall I prefer a bullish scenario at this phase.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...ly-300x190.jpg

m.youssif 06-04-2011 06:05 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF made another indecisive movement yesterday. As long as price still moves inside the bullish channel, price is still in a bullish correction phase still testing 0.9368, but we haven’t seen a clear momentum in the last seven days as easily seen on a daily chart. The bias is neutral in nearest term and I will stand aside from this pair for now. Immediate support at 0.9200 followed by 0.9130. A clear break below 0.9130 and violation to the bullish channel could end this bullish correction phase retesting 0.9000 – 0.8900 support area.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...41-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 06-04-2011 06:05 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY continued its bullish momentum yesterday and hit 121.89 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 122.29 key resistance area after bounced strongly from a triple bottom formation as you can see on my weekly chart below. A clear break above 122.29 would trigger further bullish continuation testing May 2010 high at 125.44 and April 2010 high at 127.90. Immediate support at 121.20. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 120.70 but overall I prefer a bullish scenario at this phase.

http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...ly-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 06-04-2011 06:06 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY continued its bullish momentum yesterday and hit 139.67 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 140.56. On weekly chart below we can see price is now struggling around a key resistance at 139.50 after made a strong breakout above 135.17. A consistent move above 139.50 would continue the bullish scenario which triggered by the intervention testing 145.95 from a longer term outlook. Immediate support at 138.90. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 138.00 – 137.77 support area but overall I prefer a bullish scenario at this phase.

http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...ly-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 06-04-2011 06:06 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD attempted to push lower yesterday but found a good intraday support around 1.0310 – 1.0270 and now testing 1.0370 resistance area. A clear break above 1.0370 would continue the bullish momentum testing 1.0400 – 1.0500. On the downside, a clear break below 1.0270 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but as long as price moves above 1.0200 the bullish scenario should remain strong.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...h1-300x190.jpg

oudathothefa 06-04-2011 06:34 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
يعطيك الف الف عافية

يجزاك الله كل خير

m.youssif 06-04-2011 07:06 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
اقتباس:

المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة oudathothefa (المشاركة 128789)
يعطيك الف الف عافية

يجزاك الله كل خير

وجزاك مثله

m.youssif 07-04-2011 01:21 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD finally made a breakout above the range area after two weeks of consolidation as you can see on my h4 chart below. This fact should continue the major bullish scenario targeting 1.4400 – 1.4500 area this week. On the downside, immediate support at 1.4281/50. Another consistent move and daily close below that support level would lead us back to neutral zone, even could create a false breakout bearish scenario testing 1.4150 – 1.4035 support area.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t1-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 07-04-2011 01:22 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD was indecisive yesterday after a strong bullish run on Tuesday. The bias is neutral both on short and medium term as price still trapped in range area of 1.6400 – 1.5950 as you can see on my daily chart below. A bearish pullback warning indicated by CCI bearish divergence. Immediate support at 1.6250. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 1.6170/80 support area. Immediate resistance at 1.6335. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish retesting 1.6400 key resistance area.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...ly-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 07-04-2011 01:23 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF had a bearish momentum yesterday on broad US Dollar weakness, but found a good support right at the lower line of the bullish channel and 0.9130 support area as you can see on my daily chart below. The bias is bearish in nearest term but note that we need a clear break below the bullish channel and 0.9130 to end the bullish correction scenario and continue the major bearish scenario at least testing 0.9000 – 0.8900. Immediate resistance at 0.9230. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but would keep the bullish correction scenario remains strong testing 0.9368.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...ly-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 07-04-2011 01:23 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY still able to maintain its bullish intraday bias yesterday but still unable to make a break above 85.90 key resistance area and traded lower earlier today in Asian session hit 85.10. The bias is neutral in nearest term and some downside pullback could be seen today testing 84.71 support area. A clear break and daily close below 84.71 could trigger further bearish consolidation testing 84.15 but overall the major scenario remains strongly bullish for me. On the upside, a clear break above 85.51 would change the intraday bias back to bullish retesting 85.90. Above 85.90, 86.30/50 area would be the next nearest bullish target.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...ly-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 07-04-2011 01:24 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY continued its bullish bias yesterday, topped at 122.59 but corrected lower earlier today in Asian session hit 121.68. The bias is neutral in nearest term but overall my technical outlook remains strongly bullish targeting 125.44 and 127.90. Immediate support at 121.68 (current low). A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 121.20 support area but overall I still prefer a bullish scenario for this pair. On the upside, a clear break above 122.59 would continue the bullish momentum and end the current bearish correction phase.

http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y1-300x188.jpg

m.youssif 07-04-2011 01:24 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY continued its bullish momentum yesterday topped at 139.67 but corrected lower earlier today in Asian session and hit 138.65. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 138.10 support area but note that the current bearish pressure should be seen as a normal correction after strong bullish run since the intervention and I still prefer a bullish scenario at this phase. On my h1 chart below we can see price is moving in a range area between 139.67 – 138.10 indicates consolidation. A clear break above the range would continue the major bullish scenario testing 142.00 and 145.95.

http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...h1-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 07-04-2011 01:25 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued it bullish momentum yesterday after made a clear break above 1.0370 and hit another new all time high at 1.0481 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bullish in nearest term testing 1.0500 – 1.0550 new all time high projection. Immediate support at 1.0419 (current low). A clear break below that area would lead us in neutral zone in nearest term and lead us to bearish consolidation phase testing 1.0370 (former resistance) but overall I think the bullish scenario should remain strong.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...ly-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 07-04-2011 01:26 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EUR/USD retreats mildly after rising to 1.4348 but with 1.4251 minor support intact, intraday bias remains on the upside and further rise should still be seen to 100% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.4414. On the downside, below 1.4251 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.4020 support holds.

In the bigger picture, the break of 1.4281 resistance firstly confirms that whole medium term rebound from 1.1875 has resumed. FUrther rise should now be seen towards 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Also, note that current development also affirms the case that medium term correction 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into and impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high. On the downside, break of 1.3427 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407a2.gif

m.youssif 07-04-2011 01:27 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
With 4 hours MACD crossed below signal line, a temporary top is in place at GBP/USD at 1.6362 and intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment. We'd still favor another rise as long as 1.6175 support holds. Break of 1.6400 resistance will confirm that whole rise from 1.5343 has resumed and should target 61.8% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6588. However, below 1.6175 will flip bias back to the downside for 1.5935 to continue to consolidation from 1.6400.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5343 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407a2.gif

m.youssif 07-04-2011 01:27 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and with 0.9126 minor support intact, another rise cannot be ruled out yet. But even in that case, upside should be limited by near term falling trend line resistance (now at 0.9559) and bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below 0.9126 minor support will flip bias to the downside for 0.8921 low first. Break will confirm fall resumption for 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664.

In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9774 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407a2.gif

m.youssif 07-04-2011 01:28 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
AUD/USD's rally resumed after brief consolidations and reached as high as 1.0479 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside and current rally could now be targeting 161.8% projection of 0.9536 to 1.0254 from 0.9704 at 1.0866. On the downside, below 1.0287 support will indicate short term topping and bring deeper pull back. But before that, we'll stay bullish as long as 1.0287 support holds even in case of retest.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 is still in progress and would extend further. Daily MACD's strong rise suggests that the up trend might be regaining momentum again. Break of the upper channel resistance also points to acceleration. Current rally could target 100% projection of 0.4773 to 0.9849 from 0.6008 at 1.1084. On the downside, break of 0.9704 support in needed to signal reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407a2.gif

m.youssif 07-04-2011 01:28 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USD/CAD recovers mildly after hitting 61.8% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9589. Some sideway consolidation might be seen but still, near term outlook remain bearish as long as 0.9692 resistance holds. Sustained trading below 0.9589 will pave the way to 100% projection at 0.9353. Though, break of 0.9692 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and has just resumed. As noted before, such decline is still looking corrective and thus, we'd expect strong support between 0.9056/9709 to contain downside and bring another medium term rise. We'd continue to look for sign of loss of momentum and reversal in the current decline. However, break of 1.0851 resistance is needed to confirm trend reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407a2.gif

m.youssif 07-04-2011 01:29 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Further rise is still expected in USD/JPY with 83.85 minor support intact and current rise should continue to 61.8% retracement of 94.97 to 76.40 at 87.87 first. Sustained break there will further affirm the case of medium term reversal and should target 94.97 resistance next. On the downside, below 83.85 will indicate that a short term top is formed and bring consolidations. But downside should be contained well above 80.50 support and bring rise resumption.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.62) will confirm this case and target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. On the downside, break of 80.50 is needed to invalidate this view, otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407a2.gif

m.youssif 07-04-2011 01:30 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
A temporary top is in place at 1.3234 after touching 100% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3203 from 1.2432 at 1.3234. Intraday bias is turned neutral and some sideway consolidation could be seen. On the upside, above 1.3234 will bring another rise to 55 weeks EMA (now at 1.3434) to extend the consolidation from 1.2401. On the downside, below 1.3038 will flip bias to the downside for 1.2736 support. Break there will argue that consolidation from 1.2401 has possibly finished and will bring retest on this low.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6287 (2007 high) is still in progress and in any case, medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3833 resistance holds. The current down trend would likely continue through 1.2 psychological level towards 100% projection of 1.5138 to 1.2765 from 1.3833 at 1.1460, which is close to long term projection level at 1.1516. However, break of 1.3833 will confirm medium term bottoming and should bring strong rebound to 1.4315 resistance and above.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407a2.gif

m.youssif 07-04-2011 01:31 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EUR/GBP's consolidation form 0.8852 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral. But after all, near term outlook will remain bullish with 0.8653 support intact. Above 0.8852 will target 0.8940 resistance first. However, break of 0.8653 will indicate that EUR/GBP has topped out in near term and will bring deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of medium term trend line resistance revives the case that correction from 0.9799 has finished with three waves downside to 0.8607 already. The long term up trend that started back in 2000 might be resuming. Further break of 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 will indicate that rise from 0.8067 is likely developing into an impulsive wave and will further affirm this bullish case. EUR/GBP should target a new high above 0.9799 then. On the downside, break of 0.8284 support is now needed to indicate that rebound from 0.8067 is completed. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407a2.gif

m.youssif 07-04-2011 01:32 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EUR/JPY reaches as high as 122.60 and met mentioned target of 100% projection of 106.57 to 115.53 from 113.54 at 122.50. At this point, intraday bias remains on the upside and sustained trading above 122.50 will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 128.03 next. On the downside, below 120.86 will indicate that a short term top might be in place and bring pull back to 4 hours 55 EMA (Now at 118.75) and below. But downside should be contained well above 115.53 resistance turned support and bring rise resumption.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 115.96 resistance, as well as the 55 weeks EMA are taken as the first signal that medium term correction from 2008 high of 169.96 has completed with three waves down to 105.42 already. Sustained trading above mentioned 38.2% retracement of 139.21 to 105.42 at 118.33 affirms this case. Focus now turns to 139.21 key resistance level for confirmation (which is close to 50% retracement of 169.96 to 105.42 at 137.69). On the downside, break of 113.54 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407a2.gif

m.youssif 07-04-2011 01:32 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside with 137.95 minor support intact. Current rise should be in progress to 100% projection of 122.4 to 132.96 from 130.17 at 140.73, which is close to 140 psychological level. Break will target 161.8% projection at 147.25. On the downside, below 137.95 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But retreat should be contained well above 132.96 resistance turned support and bring rally resumption.

In the bigger picture, as noted before, choppy fall from 163.05 is treated as second leg of the consolidation pattern that started at 2009 low of 118.81. The break of medium term falling channel as well as 55 weeks EMA suggests that such decline has finished at 122.40 already. In other words, the third leg of the consolidation should have started and should target 163.05 and possibly above in medium term. On the downside, below 130.17 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, we'll now stay bullish in the cross.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407a2.gif

m.youssif 07-04-2011 04:44 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EUR/USD's break of 1.4251 minor support suggests that a temporary top is formed at 1.4348 and the pair would now retreat towards 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 1.4194). Nevertheless, downside is expected to be contained above 1.4020 support and bring rise resumption. Above 1.4348 should target 100% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.4414. however, break of 1.4020 will indicate that a short term top is formed with bearish divergence condition in 4 hours MACD. In such case, deeper pull back would be seen towards 1.3427/3860 support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, the break of 1.4281 resistance firstly confirms that whole medium term rebound from 1.1875 has resumed. Further rise should now be seen towards 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Also, note that current development also affirms the case that medium term correction 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into and impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high. On the downside, break of 1.3427 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407b1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407b2.gif

m.youssif 07-04-2011 05:04 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and some more consolidations could be seen below 1.6362 temporary top. Nevertheless, we'd still favor another rise as long as 1.6175 support holds. Break of 1.6400 resistance will confirm that whole rise from 1.5343 has resumed and should target 61.8% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6588. However, below 1.6175 will flip bias back to the downside for 1.5935 to continue to consolidation from 1.6400.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5343 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407b1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407b2.gif

m.youssif 07-04-2011 05:05 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and with 0.9126 minor support intact, another rise cannot be ruled out yet. But even in that case, upside should be limited by near term falling trend line resistance (now at 0.9559) and bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below 0.9126 minor support will flip bias to the downside for 0.8921 low first. Break will confirm fall resumption for 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664.

In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9774 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

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m.youssif 07-04-2011 05:05 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USD/JPY is staying in tight range today but still, another rise is expected with 83.85 minor support intact. Current rally should target 61.8% retracement of 94.97 to 76.40 at 87.87 first. Sustained break there will further affirm the case of medium term reversal and should target 94.97 resistance next. On the downside, below 83.85 will indicate that a short term top is formed and bring consolidations. But downside should be contained well above 80.50 support and bring rise resumption.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.62) will confirm this case and target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. On the downside, break of 80.50 is needed to invalidate this view, otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish.

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m.youssif 07-04-2011 05:06 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EUR/JPY retreats mildly after hitting 100% projection of 106.57 to 115.53 from 113.54 at 122.50. But with 120.86 minor support intact, intraday bias remains on the upside and further rise is still in favor. Sustained trading above 122.50 will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 128.03 next. On the downside, below 120.86 will indicate that a short term top might be in place and bring pull back to 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 118.85) and below. But downside should be contained well above 115.53 resistance turned support and bring rise resumption.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 115.96 resistance, as well as the 55 weeks EMA are taken as the first signal that medium term correction from 2008 high of 169.96 has completed with three waves down to 105.42 already. Sustained trading above mentioned 38.2% retracement of 139.21 to 105.42 at 118.33 affirms this case. Focus now turns to 139.21 key resistance level for confirmation (which is close to 50% retracement of 169.96 to 105.42 at 137.69). On the downside, break of 113.54 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

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http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110407b2.gif

m.youssif 08-04-2011 11:15 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD made another indecisive movement yesterday but had a bullish run earlier today in Asian session on broad US Dollar weakness and hit 1.6391. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 1.6400 resistance, which is the upper line of the current range area. A clear break above that area would trigger further bullish momentum testing 1.6450 – 1.6500 in nearest term and a weekly close above 1.6400 would lead us to a bullish continuation outlook testing 1.6800 – 1.7000 in longer term. Immediate support at 1.6340/30. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.6250 support area and keep us in sideways condition. Broad US Dollar weakness should support the Cable and I prefer a bullish scenario at this phase.


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m.youssif 08-04-2011 11:16 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF finally break below the bullish channel as you can see on my daily chart below indicates the end of the bullish correction and seems ready to continue the major bearish scenario testing 0.9000 is nearest term before testing 0.8900 support area. Immediate resistance at 0.9164 (current high). A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term retesting 0.9230 but would activate my wait and see mode as direction would become unclear.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y1-300x188.jpg

m.youssif 08-04-2011 11:16 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY was corrected lower yesterday but still unable to make a clear break below 84.70 so far. The bias is neutral in nearest term. On h1 chart below we can see price is moving in a range area of 84.70 – 85.51 indicates consolidation after bullish run. The major bullish outlook remains strong. Yesterday’s bearish consolidation is absolutely normal and I believe an upside breakout from the range area is imminent to continue the upside scenario at least targeting 85.90 – 86.30/50 area. On the downside, only a clear break below 84.71 would pause the current strong bullish outlook testing 84.15 but overall the major bullish outlook should remain strong and I still prefer a bullish scenario at this phase.


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m.youssif 08-04-2011 11:17 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY was corrected lower yesterday bottomed at 120.74 but had a bullish momentum earlier today in Asian session slipped above 122.59. The bias is bullish in nearest term but need a clear break above 122.59 to continue the bullish scenario testing 125.44 and 127.90. On h1 chart below we can see price is moving in range area of 120.75 – 122.59 indicates consolidation after bullish run. I think the upside breakout is imminent. Immediate support at 122.00. A clear break below that area could lead us to another bearish consolidation retesting 120.75 but overall I still prefer a bullish scenario at this phase.


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m.youssif 08-04-2011 11:18 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY had a bearish momentum yesterday, slipped below 138.10 but bounced to the upside and hit 139.63 earlier today in Asian session. On h1 chart below we can see price is moving in range area of 139.67 – 138.10 indicates consolidation after bullish run. I believe upside breakout is imminent testing 142.00 and 145.95. Immediate support at 139.00. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term retesting 138.10 but overall I still prefer a bullish scenario at this phase.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...11-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 08-04-2011 11:18 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued its bullish momentum earlier today in Asian session, made another new all time high at 1.0537. The bias remains bullish in nearest term testing new all time high projection around 1.0600 – 1.0650. Immediate support at 1.0480. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.0445 but overall the bullish outlook remains strong and I still prefer a bullish scenario at this phase.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y1-300x190.jpg

m.youssif 08-04-2011 11:19 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD was corrected lower yesterday, but found a good support at the upper line of the previous range area around 1.4250 as you can see on my h4 chart below and continue its bullish run earlier today in Asian session hit 1.4403. This fact gives us further validation to the bullish continuation scenario at least targeting 1.4450 – 1.4500. Immediate support at 1.4350. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but only another consistent move below 1.4250 would halt the current strong bullish technical outlook.


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m.youssif 08-04-2011 11:20 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EUR/USD's rally resumes by taking out 1.4348 after brief retreat. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 100% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.4414. Break there will target 161.8% projection at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. On the downside, below 1.4240 minor support will flip bias back to the downside for deeper retreat towards 1.4020 support.

In the bigger picture, the break of 1.4281 resistance firstly confirms that whole medium term rebound from 1.1875 has resumed. Further rise should now be seen towards 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Also, note that current development also affirms the case that medium term correction 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into and impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

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