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رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPUSD Forecast The GBPUSD had a bearish momentum yesterday and hit 1.6276 earlier today in Asian session after another failure to make a clear break above 1.6400. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 1.6250 – 1.6170 but note that the daily outlook remains sideways. Immediate resistance at 1.6360. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish retesting 1.6400 but we need a clear break above 1.6400 to continue the bullish scenario, still testing 1.6450 – 1.6500. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y1-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDCHF Forecast The USDCHF still able to maintain its bearish bias so far and hit 0.9017 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bearish in nearest term still targeting 0.9000 – 0.8900. Immediate resistance at 0.9070. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to neutral but only a clear break above 0.9130 could halt the current strong bearish outlook. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y3-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDJPY Forecast The USDJPY was corrected lower yesterday, broke below 84.70 and hit 83.45 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 83.00 but note that the major scenario remains bullish and only a consistent move below 82.00 could be a threat to the major bullish outlook. On the upside, immediate resistance at 84.50. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term and we need a clear break above 85.00 to end this bearish correction phase retesting 85.90 key resistance area. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y1-300x188.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURJPY Forecast The EURJPY was corrected lower yesterday and slipped below 120.75 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 119.30 as we are now in bearish correction phase but note the major bullish scenario remains intact. I don’t expect any movement below 119.30, but a clear break below 119.30 could trigger further bearish pullback testing 118.00 even 116.00 support area. Immediate resistance at 121.50. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term and only a clear break above 122.59 would end this bearish consolidation phase, still targeting 125.44 and 127.90. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...ly-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPJPY Forecast The GBPJPY had a bearish momentum yesterday after broke below the range area as you can see on my h1 chart below and hit 135.96 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 135.00. Immediate resistance at 137.50. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 138.00 but only a clear break above 139.00 would end this bearish correction phase. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...12-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUDUSD Forecast The AUDUSD was corrected lower yesterday and hit 1.0388 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 1.0330 but unless price fall below 1.0200 the major bullish outlook should remains strong. On the upside, we need a clear break above 1.0500 to end this bearish correction phase still targeting 1.0650 – 1.0700 new all time high projection. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y2-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CAD's break of 0.9623 minor resistance indicates that a short term bottom is in place with bullish convergence condition in 4 hours MACD. Intraday bias is mildly on the upside for stronger recovery to 0.9666 support turned resistance. But upside should be limited below 0.9750 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9972 to 0.9525 at 0.9749) and bring down trend resumption. Below 0.9525 will target 100% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9353. In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and has just resumed. Daily MACD's break of it's trend line suggests that the down trend is possibly regaining momentum again. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall would now be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUD/USD's break of 1.0506 minor support and the sharp retreat indicates that a short term top is likely in place at 1.0581 with bearish divergence condition in 4 hours MACD. Intraday bias is turned neutral and some consolidations could be seen first. Nevertheless, consolidations should be relatively brief as long as 1.0287 support holds and we'd expect recent rally to resume sooner rather than later. Above 1.0581 will target 161.8% projection of 0.9536 to 1.0254 from 0.9704 at 1.0866 next. However, break of 1.0287 will bring deeper fall towards 61.8% retracement of 0.9704 to 1.0581 at 1.0039 instead. In the bigger picture, up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 is still in progress and would extend further. Daily MACD's strong rise suggests that the up trend is regaining momentum again. Current rally could target 100% projection of 0.4773 to 0.9849 from 0.6008 at 1.1084. On the downside, break of 0.9704 support in needed to signal medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/JPY's retreat from 85.51 is still in progress and deeper fall might be seen. But downside is expected to be contained above 81.97 support and bring rally resumption. Above 85.51 will target 61.8% retracement of 94.97 to 76.40 at 87.87 first. Sustained break there will further affirm the case of medium term reversal and should target 94.97 resistance next. In the bigger picture, current development argues that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.24) will confirm this case and target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. On the downside, break of 80.50 support is needed to invalidate this view, otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
متابعة مستمرة ومجهود جميل بالتوفيق لك يارب
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رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/USD's break of 1.4383 minor support suggests that a temporary top is in place at 1.4486 and intraday bias is turned neural. Some consolidations could be seen with risk of retreat to 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 1.4294). But downside should be contained by 1.4020/4247 support zone and bring rally resumption. Break of 1.4486 will target 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. In the bigger picture, the break of 1.4281 resistance firstly confirms that whole medium term rebound from 1.1875 has resumed. Further rise should now be seen towards 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Also, note that current development also affirms the case that medium term correction 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as consolidations from 1.6426 temporary top is still in progress. But even in case of deeper retreat, we'd expect downside to be contained by 50% retracement of 1.5935 to 1.6426 at 1.6181 and bring rise resumption. Break of 1.6426 should extend rise from 1.5935 towards 61.8% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6588. In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside and fall from 0.9339 is expected to continue towards 0.8921 low first. Break will confirm down trend resumption for 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664. On the upside, above 0.9128 minor resistance will dampen the immediate bearish view and bring more consolidation first. In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9774 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBP/JPY's break of 137.87 minor support indicates that a short term top is possibly formed at 139.99 already. Intraday bias is turned neutral and some consolidations could be seen first. But downside is expected to be contained above 132.96 resistance turned support and bring rally resumption. On the upside above 139.99 will target 50% retracement of 163.05 to 122.40 at 142.72 next. In the bigger picture, as noted before, choppy fall from 163.05 is treated as second leg of the consolidation pattern that started at 2009 low of 118.81. The break of medium term falling channel as well as 55 weeks EMA suggests that such decline has finished at 122.40 already. In other words, the third leg of the consolidation should have started and should target 163.05 and possibly above in medium term. On the downside, below 130.17 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, we'll now stay bullish in the cross. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/JPY's break of 120.74 minor support suggests that a short term top is possibly formed at 123.31 already. Intraday bias is turned neutral for some consolidations. but after all, downside is expected to be contained well above 115.96 resistance turned support and bring rally resumption. Above 123.31 will target 61.8% retracement of 139.21 to 105.42 at 126.30 next. In the bigger picture, sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA continues to affirm the case of medium term reversal. That is, whole decline from 2008 high of 169.96 has completed with three waves down to 105.42 already. Current rise from 105.42 should extends towards 139.21 resistance (which is close to 50% retracement of 169.96 to 105.42 at 137.69) for confirmation. On the downside, break of 113.54 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/GBP's break of 0.8852 resistance suggests that recent rise is resuming and intraday bias is back to the upside for .8940 resistance first and then 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 next. On the downside, break of 0.8713 support is needed to signal short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. In the bigger picture, the sustained break of medium term trend line resistance revived the case that correction from 0.9799 has finished with three waves downside to 0.8607 already. The long term up trend that started back in 2000 might be resuming. Further break of 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 will indicate that rise from 0.8067 is likely developing into an impulsive wave and will further affirm this bullish case. EUR/GBP should target a new high above 0.9799 then. On the downside, break of 0.8284 support is now needed to indicate that rebound from 0.8067 is completed. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/CHF's break of 1.3053 minor support suggests that rise from 1.2432 has completed at 1.3234 after hitting 100% projection target. Intraday bias is flipped back to the downside for 1.2736 support next. Break will confirm this case and also indicates that consolidation from 1.2401 is also completed too. In such case, deeper decline should be seen to retest 1.2401 low then. In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6287 (2007 high) is still in progress and in any case, medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3833 resistance holds. The current down trend would likely continue through 1.2 psychological level towards 100% projection of 1.5138 to 1.2765 from 1.3833 at 1.1460, which is close to long term projection level at 1.1516. However, break of 1.3833 will confirm medium term bottoming and should bring strong rebound to 1.4315 resistance and above. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Mid-Day Outlook EUR/USD's rally resumes after brief consolidations and reaches as high as 1.4518 in early US session. Recent rally has resumed and intraday bias is back on the upside for 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. On the downside, below 1.4377 minor support will turn bias neutral again and bring consolidations. But downside is expected to be contained by 1.4247 resistance turned support and bring another rise. In the bigger picture, the break of 1.4281 resistance firstly confirms that whole medium term rebound from 1.1875 has resumed. Further rise should now be seen towards 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Also, note that current development also affirms the case that medium term correction 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CHF dives to as low as 0.8945 in early US session and intraday bias remains on the downside for 0.8921 low first. Break will confirm down trend resumption for 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664. On the upside, above 0.9104 minor resistance will dampen the immediate bearish view and bring more consolidation first. In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9774 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral and retreat from 85.51 could extend lower. But downside is expected to be contained above 81.97 support and bring rally resumption. Above 85.51 will target 61.8% retracement of 94.97 to 76.40 at 87.87 first. Sustained break there will further affirm the case of medium term reversal and should target 94.97 resistance next. In the bigger picture, current development argues that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.24) will confirm this case and target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. On the downside, break of 80.50 support is needed to invalidate this view, otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBP/USD's retreat from 1.6426 extends further today and touches 4 hours 55 EMA before recovering. Intraday bias remains neutral and more consolidations could still be seen. But even in case of deeper retreat, we'd expect downside to be contained by 50% retracement of 1.5935 to 1.6426 at 1.6181 and bring rise resumption. Break of 1.6426 should extend rise from 1.5935 towards 61.8% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6588. In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside with 1.4377 minor support intact and further rise should be seen towards 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. On the downside, below 1.4377 minor support will turn bias neutral again and bring consolidations. But downside is expected to be contained by 1.4247 resistance turned support and bring another rise.
In the bigger picture, the break of 1.4281 resistance firstly confirms that whole medium term rebound from 1.1875 has resumed. Further rise should now be seen towards 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Also, note that current development also affirms the case that medium term correction 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
No change in GBP/USD's outlook. Consolidations from 1.6426 might extend further but downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.5935 to 1.6426 at 1.6181 and bring rise resumption. Break of 1.6426 should extend rise from 1.5935 towards 61.8% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6588. However, sustained break of 1.6181 will turn focus back to 1.5935 support instead. In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Further decline is still expected in USD/CHF with 0.9104 minor resistance intact. Break of 0.8921 low will confirm down trend resumption for 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664. On the upside, above 0.9104 minor resistance will dampen the immediate bearish view and bring more consolidation first. In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9774 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral for the moment and more consolidations could be seen below 1.0581 short term top. Nevertheless, consolidations should be relatively brief as long as 1.0287 support holds and we'd expect recent rally to resume sooner rather than later. Above 1.0581 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8315 to 1.0181 from 0.9704 at 1.0857 next. However, break of 1.0287 will bring deeper fall towards 61.8% retracement of 0.9704 to 1.0581 at 1.0039 instead. In the bigger picture, up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 is still in progress and would extend further. Daily MACD's strong rise suggests that the up trend is regaining momentum again. Current rally could target 100% projection of 0.4773 to 0.9849 from 0.6008 at 1.1084. On the downside, break of 0.9704 support in needed to signal medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
A short term bottom is formed at 0.9525 in USD/CAD and stronger recovery might be seen to 0.9666 support turned resistance. But upside should be limited below 0.9750 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9972 to 0.9525 at 0.9749) and bring down trend resumption. Below 0.9525 will target 100% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9353. In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and has just resumed. Daily MACD's break of it's trend line suggests that the down trend is possibly regaining momentum again. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall would now be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/JPY's consolidations from 85.51 is still in progress and deeper retreat might be seen. But downside is expected to be contained above 81.97 support and bring rally resumption. Above 85.51 will target 61.8% retracement of 94.97 to 76.40 at 87.87 first. Sustained break there will further affirm the case of medium term reversal and should target 94.97 resistance next. In the bigger picture, current development argues that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.24) will confirm this case and target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. On the downside, break of 80.50 support is needed to invalidate this view, otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/GBP's is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside for 0.8940 resistance first. Break will target 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 next. On the downside, below 0.8860 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But break of 0.8713 support is needed to signal short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. In the bigger picture, the sustained break of medium term trend line resistance revived the case that correction from 0.9799 has finished with three waves downside to 0.8607 already. The long term up trend that started back in 2000 might be resuming. Further break of 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 will indicate that rise from 0.8067 is likely developing into an impulsive wave and will further affirm this bullish case. EUR/GBP should target a new high above 0.9799 then. On the downside, break of 0.8284 support is now needed to indicate that rebound from 0.8067 is completed. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
As noted before, rebound from 1.2432 should have completed at 1.3234 already after hitting 100% projection target. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 1.2736 support next. Break will confirm this case and also indicate that consolidation from 1.2401 is completed too. In such case, deeper decline should be seen to retest 1.2401 low then. On the upside, above 1.3053 minor resistance will delay the bearish view and bring some consolidations first.
In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6287 (2007 high) is still in progress and in any case, medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3833 resistance holds. The current down trend would likely continue through 1.2 psychological level towards 100% projection of 1.5138 to 1.2765 from 1.3833 at 1.1460, which is close to long term projection level at 1.1516. However, break of 1.3833 will confirm medium term bottoming and should bring strong rebound to 1.4315 resistance and above. |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and more consolidations from 139.99 short term top would be seen. Nevertheless, downside is expected to be contained above 132.96 resistance turned support and bring rally resumption. On the upside above 139.99 will target 50% retracement of 163.05 to 122.40 at 142.72 next. In the bigger picture, as noted before, choppy fall from 163.05 is treated as second leg of the consolidation pattern that started at 2009 low of 118.81. The break of medium term falling channel as well as 55 weeks EMA suggests that such decline has finished at 122.40 already. In other words, the third leg of the consolidation should have started and should target 163.05 and possibly above in medium term. On the downside, below 130.17 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, we'll now stay bullish in the cross. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and some more consolidations could be seen below 123.31 short term top. Deeper retreat might be seen but downside is expected to be contained well above 115.96 resistance turned support and bring rally resumption. Above 123.31 will target 61.8% retracement of 139.21 to 105.42 at 126.30 next. In the bigger picture, sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA continues to affirm the case of medium term reversal. That is, whole decline from 2008 high of 169.96 has completed with three waves down to 105.42 already. Current rise from 105.42 should extends towards 139.21 resistance (which is close to 50% retracement of 169.96 to 105.42 at 137.69) for confirmation. On the downside, break of 113.54 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110412a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURUSD Forecast The EURUSD continued its bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 1.4518 but corrected lower earlier today in Asian session and hit 1.4453. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Although my daily and weekly outlook is bullish, the CCI bearish divergence seen on h4 chart below still suggests potential bullish exhaustion and downside correction while the upside momentum seems limited. Do not rush jump into the market and let’s keep our stop losses very tight. Immediate support at 1.4400 followed by 1.4350. A clear break below 1.4350 could trigger further bearish pullback testing 1.4250 which is the upper line of the previous range. On the upside, a clear break above 1.4518 would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 1.4550 – 1.4600 area. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t4-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPUSD Forecast The GBPUSD continued its bearish momentum yesterday bottomed at 1.6226 and closed at 1.6258. The bias remains bearish in nearest term especially if price able to make another clear break below 1.6220 testing 1.6090. The false breakout above the range gives us more bearish intraday bias but note that overall outlook remains sideways as price still trapped inside the range area as you can see on my h4 chart below. Immediate resistance at 1.6300. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but could open the door for another retest of 1.6400 resistance area. CCI in negative area indicates potential downside pressure. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...rt-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDCHF Forecast The USDCHF continued its bearish momentum yesterday bottomed at 0.8940 and closed at 0.8970. The bias remains bearish in nearest term targeting 0.8900 – 0.8850. Immediate resistance at 0.9000. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 0.9070 but only a clear break back above 0.9130 could halt the current strong bearish outlook. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y4-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDJPY Forecast The USDJPY continued its bearish correction yesterday, bottomed at 83.45 and closed at 83.75. Price is now in a bearish correction phase. Important support to be watched closely is around 83.45, which form a triple bottom formation as you can see on my h4 chart below. At the same time, we have a CCI bullish divergence suggests potential upside pressure but only a clear break above 84.70 would potentially end the current bearish correction phase retesting 85.90 key resistance area. On the downside, a clear break below the triple bottom formation and 83.45 would continue the current bearish correction testing 82.55/00 key support area. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...rt-300x188.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURJPY Forecast The EURJPY attempted to push lower yesterday bottomed at 120.14 but closed higher at 121.28. The bias is neutral in nearest term. The major outlook remains bullish but we have a CCI bearish divergence as you can see on my daily chart below suggests potential bullish exhaustion and bearish pullback. Expected daily range at 122.59 – 119.30. Immediate resistance at 122.00. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 122.59. A clear break above 122.59 could end the current bearish correction phase but we need a clear break above 123.31 to continue the major bullish scenario. Immediate support at 120.75. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 119.30. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y1-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPJPY Forecast The GBPJPY continued its bearish intraday bias yesterday but still unable to break below 135.00 support area. Price is still in a strong bearish correction phase but need a clear break below 135.00 to continue the bearish phase, even could lead us to a bearish reversal scenario at least testing 133.50. Immediate resistance at 137.50, which I think is the best place for a short intraday position with good risk – reward ratio. A clear break above 137.50 would halt the current strong bearish correction phase but we need a clear break above 139.67 to end the bearish correction and continue the major bullish scenario since the intervention. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...ly-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUDUSD Forecast The AUDUSD was volatile but indecisive yesterday. The bias is neutral in nearest term. The major outlook remains strongly bullish, but we have a CCI bearish divergence as you can see on my daily chart below suggests potential bullish exhaustion and bearish correction still testing 1.0330, but only a clear break below 1.0200 could be a threat to the current major bullish outlook. Immediate resistance at 1.0500. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 1.0581. Immediate support at 1.0430. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish at testing 1.0388/30 support area. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y3-300x188.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Mid-Day Outlook
Even though EUR/USD is losing some upside momentum, intraday bias will remain on the upside with 1.4377 minor support intact and current rally is still expected to extend further towards 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. Break of 1.4377 will indicate that a short term top is formed and bring consolidations. But downside is expected to be contained by 1.4247 resistance turned support and bring another rise. In the bigger picture, the break of 1.4281 resistance firstly confirms that whole medium term rebound from 1.1875 has resumed. Further rise should now be seen towards 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Also, note that current development also affirms the case that medium term correction 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBP/USD is still bounded is consolidation pattern from 1.6426 short term top and intraday bias remains neutral. Even in case of deeper pull back, downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.5935 to 1.6426 at 1.6181 and bring rise resumption. Break of 1.6426 should extend rise from 1.5935 towards 61.8% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6588. However, sustained break of 1.6181 will turn focus back to 1.5935 support instead. In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413b2.gif |
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