اف اكس ارابيا..الموقع الرائد فى تعليم فوركس Forex

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m.youssif 13-04-2011 05:17 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside and further fall should be seen to 0.8921 support first. Break will confirm down trend resumption for 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664. On the upside, above 0.9104 minor resistance will dampen the immediate bearish view and bring more consolidation first.

In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9774 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413b1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413b2.gif

m.youssif 13-04-2011 05:18 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
No change in USD/JPY's outlook as consolidations from 85.51 short term top is still in progress. Deeper retreat cannot be ruled out but downside is expected to be contained above 81.97 support and bring rally resumption. Above 85.51 will target 61.8% retracement of 94.97 to 76.40 at 87.87 first. Sustained break there will further affirm the case of medium term reversal and should target 94.97 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.24) will confirm this case and target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. On the downside, break of 80.50 support is needed to invalidate this view, otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413b1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110413b2.gif

m.youssif 14-04-2011 09:12 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD was unable to make a clear break above 1.4518 yesterday and corrected lower hit 1.4406 earlier today in Asian session. The CCI bearish divergence gave us a valid signal of bullish exhaustion and bearish correction. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 1.4350. A clear break below that area could open the door for further bearish pullback testing 1.4250. However, note that the current bearish intraday bias should be seen as a counter trend/corrective move and the major bullish outlook remains intact/strong as long as price still moves inside the bullish channel as you can see on my h4 chart below. Immediate resistance at 1.4470. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but only a clear break above 1.4518 could end the current bearish correction phase at least testing 1.4550 – 1.4600 area.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t5-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 14-04-2011 09:14 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD was indecisive yesterday. On hourly chart below we can see price is moving inside a triangle formation suggests a consolidation phase, looking for a new intraday bias. A clear break above the triangle and 1.6300 would change the intraday bias to bullish retesting 1.6400 key resistance area. On the other hand, a clear break below the triangle and 1.6220 would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 1.6170 – 1.6090.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y1-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 14-04-2011 09:14 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF was indecisive yesterday. The bias is neutral in nearest term but overall outlook remains strongly bearish. On hourly chart below we can see price is trapped in range area of 0.8990 – 0.8927. The bias is neutral in nearest term and we need a clear break from the range area to see clearer intraday direction. A clear break above 0.8990 could trigger further upside pullback testing 0.9055. On the other hand, a clear break below 0.8927 would continue the bearish momentum testing 0.8850.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...ly-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 14-04-2011 09:15 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY was indecisive yesterday. On hourly chart below we can see price is moving inside a descending triangle, suggests the bearish correction likely to continue especially if price able to make a clear break below the triangle and 83.45 testing 82.55/00 support area. However, note that the major bullish outlook remains intact. Immediate resistance at 84.20 area. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but only a clear break above 84.70 could end the current bearish correction phase.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y1-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 14-04-2011 09:16 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY was indecisive yesterday but still able to maintain its bearish correction bias and hit 120.17 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 119.30 but note that the current bearish intraday outlook should be seen as a counter trend/corrective move and the major bullish scenario remains intact. Immediate resistance at 121.20/40 area. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term and could create some upside pressure testing 122.59 but only a clear break above 122.59 could end the current bearish correction phase.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...41-300x190.jpg

m.youssif 14-04-2011 09:16 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 137.19 but closed lower at 136.27 and hit 135.51 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term still targeting 135.00. A clear break below 135.00 could be a threat to the bullish scenario and could be a beginning of a new bearish phase at least testing 133.50. Immediate resistance at 136.40. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term 137.19/50 resistance area.

http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y2-300x190.jpg

m.youssif 14-04-2011 09:17 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD made another indecisive movement yesterday. The bias remains neutral in nearest term. There are no changes in my daily outlook where price still in a major bullish outlook but seems to be in overbought area suggests by the CCI bearish divergence like I showed you on my daily chart yesterday. On hourly chart below we have a rising wedge bearish formation which support the CCI bearish divergence view especially if price able to make a clear break below the wedge and 1.0450 targeting 1.0330 support area. However note that any downside pullback now is normal and should be seen as a counter trend/corrective move and the major bullish outlook remains intact. Immediate resistance at 1.0538. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 1.0581 even aiming for new all time high projection around 1.0700.

http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...11-300x190.jpg

m.youssif 14-04-2011 07:14 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EUR/USD continues to lose upside momentum with 4 hours MACD staying below signal line. But with 1.4377 minor support intact, current rise is still expected to continue to 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. Break of 1.4377 will indicate that a short term top is formed and bring consolidations. But downside is expected to be contained by 1.4247 resistance turned support and bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, the break of 1.4281 resistance firstly confirms that whole medium term rebound from 1.1875 has resumed. Further rise should now be seen towards 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Also, note that current development also affirms the case that medium term correction 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414a2.gif

m.youssif 14-04-2011 07:15 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBP/USD drew support from 4 hours 55 EMA and rebounds strongly. But upside is limited below 1.6426 resistance so far. Intraday bias remains neutral and some more consolidations could be seen. Though, even in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.5935 to 1.6426 at 1.6181 and bring rise resumption. Break of 1.6426 should extend rise from 1.5935 towards 61.8% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6588. However, sustained break of 1.6181 will turn focus back to 1.5935 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414a2.gif

m.youssif 14-04-2011 07:16 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USD/CHF's drops to as low as 0.8895 so far today and the break of 0.8921 support indicates that the larger down trend has resumed. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 61.8% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8812 next. On the upside, above 0.8990 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring recovery. But upside should be limited around 4 hours 55 EMA and bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414a2.gif

m.youssif 14-04-2011 07:17 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
AUD/USD recovers mildly after drawing support but upside is still limited below 1.0581. Intraday bias remains neutral and more consolidations would be seen below 1.0581 short term top. Nevertheless, consolidations should be relatively brief as long as 1.0287 support holds and we'd expect recent rally to resume sooner rather than later. Above 1.0581 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8315 to 1.0181 from 0.9704 at 1.0857 next. However, break of 1.0287 will bring deeper fall towards 61.8% retracement of 0.9704 to 1.0581 at 1.0039 instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 is still in progress and would extend further. Daily MACD's strong rise suggests that the up trend is regaining momentum again. Current rally could target 100% projection of 0.4773 to 0.9849 from 0.6008 at 1.1084. On the downside, break of 0.9704 support in needed to signal medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414a2.gif

m.youssif 14-04-2011 07:18 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USD/CAD continues to consolidate above 0.9525 short term bottom and more recovery could be seen to 0.9666 support turned resistance. But upside should be limited below 0.9750 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9972 to 0.9525 at 0.9749) and bring down trend resumption. Below 0.9525 will target 100% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9353.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and has just resumed. Daily MACD's break of it's trend line suggests that the down trend is possibly regaining momentum again. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall would now be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414a2.gif

m.youssif 14-04-2011 07:19 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USD/JPY's pull back from 85.51 is still in progress and deeper fall cannot be ruled out. But downside is expected to be contained above 81.97 support and bring rally resumption. Above 84.42 minor resistance will flip intraday bias back to the upside for 85.51 resistance. Break will target 61.8% retracement of 94.97 to 76.40 at 87.87 first. Sustained break there will further affirm the case of medium term reversal and should target 94.97 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.24) will confirm this case and target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. On the downside, break of 80.50 support is needed to invalidate this view, otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414a2.gif

m.youssif 14-04-2011 07:20 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and more consolidations from 139.99 short term top would be seen. Nevertheless, downside is expected to be contained above 132.96 resistance turned support and bring rally resumption. On the upside above 139.99 will target 50% retracement of 163.05 to 122.40 at 142.72 next.

In the bigger picture, as noted before, choppy fall from 163.05 is treated as second leg of the consolidation pattern that started at 2009 low of 118.81. The break of medium term falling channel as well as 55 weeks EMA suggests that such decline has finished at 122.40 already. In other words, the third leg of the consolidation should have started and should target 163.05 and possibly above in medium term. On the downside, below 130.17 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, we'll now stay bullish in the cross.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414a2.gif

m.youssif 14-04-2011 07:21 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and consolidations from 123.31 could extend further with another dip. But downside is expected to be contained well above 115.96 resistance turned support and bring rally resumption. Above 123.31 will target 61.8% retracement of 139.21 to 105.42 at 126.30 next.

In the bigger picture, sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA continues to affirm the case of medium term reversal. That is, whole decline from 2008 high of 169.96 has completed with three waves down to 105.42 already. Current rise from 105.42 should extends towards 139.21 resistance (which is close to 50% retracement of 169.96 to 105.42 at 137.69) for confirmation. On the downside, break of 113.54 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414a2.gif

m.youssif 14-04-2011 07:21 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EUR/GBP forms a temporary top at 0.8922 and intraday bias is turned neutral. But after all, with 0.8713 support intact, recent rally is still expected to continue and above 0.8922 will target 0.8940 resistance first. Break will target 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 next.

In the bigger picture, the sustained break of medium term trend line resistance revived the case that correction from 0.9799 has finished with three waves downside to 0.8607 already. The long term up trend that started back in 2000 might be resuming. Further break of 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 will indicate that rise from 0.8067 is likely developing into an impulsive wave and will further affirm this bullish case. EUR/GBP should target a new high above 0.9799 then. On the downside, break of 0.8284 support is now needed to indicate that rebound from 0.8067 is completed. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414a2.gif

m.youssif 14-04-2011 07:22 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EUR/CHF dips further to 1.2901 so far and intraday bias remains on the downside for 1.2736. Break there will indicate that consolidations from 1.2401 is likely completed and larger downtrend is possibly resuming. On the upside above 1.3053 minor support will delay the immediate bearish view and bring some consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6287 (2007 high) is still in progress and in any case, medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3833 resistance holds. The current down trend would likely continue through 1.2 psychological level towards 100% projection of 1.5138 to 1.2765 from 1.3833 at 1.1460, which is close to long term projection level at 1.1516. However, break of 1.3833 will confirm medium term bottoming and should bring strong rebound to 1.4315 resistance and above.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414a2.gif

m.youssif 14-04-2011 07:34 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Mid-Day Outlook



EUR/USD's break of 1.4377 minor support suggests that a short term top is in place at 1.4519. Consolidations should now be seen with risk of pull back to lower channel support (now at 1.4166). But downside should be contained by 1.4020 4247 support zone and bring another rally. Above 1.4519 will resume recent rise to 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level.

In the bigger picture, the break of 1.4281 resistance firstly confirms that whole medium term rebound from 1.1875 has resumed. Further rise should now be seen towards 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Also, note that current development also affirms the case that medium term correction 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414b1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414b2.gif



m.youssif 14-04-2011 07:35 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBP/USD is still bounded in established range below 1.6426 and intraday bias remains neutral. More consolidation could be seen but even in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.5935 to 1.6426 at 1.6181 and bring rise resumption. Break of 1.6426 should extend rise from 1.5935 towards 61.8% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6588. However, sustained break of 1.6181 will turn focus back to 1.5935 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414b1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414b2.gif

m.youssif 14-04-2011 07:36 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
With 0.8990 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside and further decline should be seen towards 61.8% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8812 next. On the upside, above 0.8990 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring recovery. But upside should be limited around 4 hours 55 EMA and bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414b1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414b2.gif

m.youssif 14-04-2011 07:36 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains mildly on the downside and pull back from 85.51 short term top could extend further lower. But downside is expected to be contained above 81.97 support and bring rally resumption. Above 84.42 minor resistance will flip intraday bias back to the upside for 85.51 resistance. Break will target 61.8% retracement of 94.97 to 76.40 at 87.87 first. Sustained break there will further affirm the case of medium term reversal and should target 94.97 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.24) will confirm this case and target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. On the downside, break of 80.50 support is needed to invalidate this view, otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414b1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110414b2.gif

seragsamy 14-04-2011 08:45 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
كل التوفيق لك أخى العزيز فى المجهود الكبير الذى تقدمه ..

شكرا لك وواصل العمل الجيد نحن نتابعك

jamal khalil 14-04-2011 11:01 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
شكرا لك اخي يوسف ولكن هل من الممكن ان تخدمني بخصوص اليورو دولار وما هو اتجاهه على المدى القصير يث ان لغتي الانجليزية ليست جيدة وكذلك مبتدئ جدا بالفوركس

كل امتنان ان تلخص لي اليورو دولار حيث لدي عقود ولا اعرف كيف التصرف ولم افهم من تحليلك اين نحن ذاهبين حسب المؤشرات

مع وافر التقدير

m.youssif 14-04-2011 11:24 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
اقتباس:

المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة jamal khalil (المشاركة 131919)
شكرا لك اخي يوسف ولكن هل من الممكن ان تخدمني بخصوص اليورو دولار وما هو اتجاهه على المدى القصير يث ان لغتي الانجليزية ليست جيدة وكذلك مبتدئ جدا بالفوركس

كل امتنان ان تلخص لي اليورو دولار حيث لدي عقود ولا اعرف كيف التصرف ولم افهم من تحليلك اين نحن ذاهبين حسب المؤشرات

مع وافر التقدير

بصراحة يا اخي اليورو الان في منطقة حيرة بين البيع أو الشراء علي المدي القصير لا استطيع ان افيدك ولكن علي المدي الطويل فهو عند منطقة مقاومات مهمة ولكن ربما أستطيع أن أفيدك بعد الاغلاق الاسبوعي للمدي البعيد

jamal khalil 14-04-2011 11:45 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
شاكرا لك تفاعلك مع كل التقدير والاحترام

m.youssif 15-04-2011 10:20 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD attempted to push lower yesterday, bottomed at 1.4364 but closed higher at 1.4501. On h4 chart below we can see price is moving inside a range area of 1.4519 – 1.4350 and need a clear break from the range area to see clearer direction. The major outlook remains bullish but need a clear break above 1.4519 to continue the bullish scenario testing 1.4550 – 1.4600 even higher. On the other hand, a clear break below 1.4350 could trigger further bearish pullback testing 1.4250 support area. The best intraday strategy for now is to short around 1.4519 or long around 1.4350 with tight stop loss.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t7-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 15-04-2011 10:21 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD had a bullish momentum yesterday after break above the triangle as you can see on my h1 chart below. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 1.6400 but note that overall this pair is still in sideways condition and need a clear break and consistent move above 1.6400 to continue the bullish scenario. Immediate support at 1.6330/10. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.6275 – 1.6220 support area.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y2-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 15-04-2011 10:22 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF continued its bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 0.8895. While the major outlook remains strongly bearish, note that we have important support around 0.8900 and need to be clearly broken to the downside to continue the bearish scenario. As you can see on my h4 chart below, we have a CCI bullish divergence indicates potential bearish exhaustion and bullish pullback testing 0.9000/55 especially if price able to make a clear break above 0.8950. On the downside, a clear break below 0.8900 could trigger further bearish pressure testing 0.8850/00 area and keep the major bearish scenario remains strong.
http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...42-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 15-04-2011 10:22 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY made another indecisive movement yesterday, formed another Doji on daily chart. However, I think the intraday bias remains more to the downside as bearish correction phase is not over yet. Although a little bit mess, the descending triangle bearish scenario remains intact, still targeting 82.55/00 key support area. Immediate resistance at 83.50 followed by 83.80. A clear break above 83.80 would change the intraday bias to bullish but we need a clear break above 84.70 to potentially end the current bearish correction phase.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y3-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 15-04-2011 10:23 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY attempted to push lower yesterday, but closed significantly higher at 121.33 after found a good support around 119.30. This fact keeps us in sideways outlook from h4 chart point of view, indicates consolidation phase but still within a context of major bullish scenario. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Immediate support at 120.20. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish retesting 119.30. Immediate resistance remains around 121.20/40. A clear break above that area could create some upside pressure testing 122.59 but only a clear break above 122.59 could end the current bearish correction phase.

http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...42-300x188.jpg

m.youssif 15-04-2011 10:23 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY attempted to push lower yesterday, bottomed at 135.27 but whipsawed to the upside and closed higher at 136.93. The pair was traded lower at the time I wrote this comment around 135.90, change my intraday bias back to bearish still targeting 135.00. Overall price still trapped in range area of 139.67 – 135.00 and a clear break below 135.00 would lead us to a new bearish outlook at least testing 133.50. On the upside, immediate resistance at 136.30. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 137.00/50 resistance area.

http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y3-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 15-04-2011 10:24 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD had a bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 1.0549 and closed at 1.0543. The bias remains bullish in nearest term testing 1.0581. A clear break above that area could trigger further upside momentum targeting new all time high projection around 1.0700. However, as you can see on my h1 chart below, the rising wedge formation is still a threat to the current bullish outlook. A clear break below the wedge and 1.0500 – 1.0450 support area could trigger downside pullback testing 1.0330 area.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...12-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 15-04-2011 10:54 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment and some more consolidations could be seen below 1.4159. But even in case of another fall, we'd expect downside to be contained by 1.4247 resistance turned support and bring another rise. Above 1.4159 will target 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level.

In the bigger picture, the break of 1.4281 resistance firstly confirms that whole medium term rebound from 1.1875 has resumed. Further rise should now be seen towards 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Also, note that current development also affirms the case that medium term correction 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110415a1.gif

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m.youssif 15-04-2011 10:55 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
No change in GBP/USD's outlook. The pair is still bounded in established range below 1.6426 and intraday bias remains neutral. More consolidation could be seen but even in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.5935 to 1.6426 at 1.6181 and bring rise resumption. Break of 1.6426 should extend rise from 1.5935 towards 61.8% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6588. However, sustained break of 1.6181 will turn focus back to 1.5935 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110415a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110415a2.gif

m.youssif 15-04-2011 10:55 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
No change in USD/CHF's outlook. With 0.8990 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside and further decline should be seen towards 61.8% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8812 next. On the upside, above 0.8990 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring recovery. But upside should be limited around 4 hours 55 EMA and bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110415a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110415a2.gif

m.youssif 15-04-2011 10:56 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
AUD/USD is staying in range below 1.0581 short term top and intraday bias remains neutral. Another fall could be seen but we'd expect downside to be contained by 1.0287 support and bring another rise. Above 1.0581 will target target 61.8% projection of 0.8315 to 1.0181 from 0.9704 at 1.0857 next. However, break of 1.0287 will bring deeper fall towards 61.8% retracement of 0.9704 to 1.0581 at 1.0039 instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 is still in progress and would extend further. Daily MACD's strong rise suggests that the up trend is regaining momentum again. Current rally could target 100% projection of 0.4773 to 0.9849 from 0.6008 at 1.1084. On the downside, break of 0.9704 support in needed to signal medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110415a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110415a2.gif

m.youssif 15-04-2011 10:57 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
No change in USD/CAD's outlook as consolidations from 0.9525 continues. Stronger recovery could be seen to 0.9666 support turned resistance. But upside should be limited below 0.9750 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9972 to 0.9525 at 0.9749) and bring down trend resumption. Below 0.9525 will target 100% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9353.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and has just resumed. Daily MACD's break of it's trend line suggests that the down trend is possibly regaining momentum again. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall would now be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110415a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110415a2.gif

m.youssif 15-04-2011 10:57 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USD/JPY's pullback from 85.51 is still in progress and intraday bias remains mildly on the downside for further fall. But still, downside is expected to be contained above 81.97 support and bring rally resumption. Above 84.42 minor resistance will flip intraday bias back to the upside for 85.51 resistance. Break will target 61.8% retracement of 94.97 to 76.40 at 87.87 first. Sustained break there will further affirm the case of medium term reversal and should target 94.97 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.24) will confirm this case and target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. On the downside, break of 80.50 support is needed to invalidate this view, otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110415a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110415a2.gif


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