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رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/JPY's pull back from 85.51 extends further to as low as 82.54 so far in early US session and intraday bias remains mildly on the downside for deeper decline. Nevertheless, we'd expect strong support from 81.97 (38.2% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 82.03) to contain downside and bring rally resumption. Above 83.77 minor resistance will flip bias back to the upside for 85.51 and then 61.8% retracement of 94.97 to 76.40 at 87.87 first. Sustained break there will further affirm the case of medium term reversal and should target 94.97 resistance next. In the bigger picture, current development argues that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.17) will confirm this case and target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. On the downside, break of 80.50 support is needed to invalidate this view, otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110418b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110418b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURGBP's pull back from 0.8922 extends further to as low as 0.8767 so far today. Deeper decline could be seen but we'd still expect downside to be contained by 0.8713 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 0.8354 to 0.8922 at 0.8705) and bring rally resumption. Above 0.8922 will target 0.8940 resistance first and then 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 next. However, sustained break of 0.8705/12 will indicate that a short term top is at least formed and bring deeper fall to 55 days EMA (now at 0.8676). In the bigger picture, the sustained break of medium term trend line resistance revived the case that correction from 0.9799 has finished with three waves downside to 0.8607 already. The long term up trend that started back in 2000 might be resuming. Further break of 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 will indicate that rise fro 0.8067 is likely developing into an impulsive wave and will further affirm this bullish case. EUR/GBP should then target a new high above 0.9799 then. On the downside, break of 0.8284 support is now needed to indicate that rebound from 0.8067 is completed. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110418b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110418b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/CHF's fall from 1.3234 resumes today and reaches as low as 1.2757 so far today. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 1.2736 support. Break there will affirm the case that consolidations from 1.2401 has finished at 1.3234 too and the larger down trend is resuming for another low below 1.2401. Nevertheless, above 1.2948 minor support will delay the immediate bearish view and bring some more consolidations first. In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6287 (2007 high) is still in progress and in any case, medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3833 resistance holds. The current down trend would likely continue through 1.2 psychological level towards 100% projection of 1.5138 to 1.2765 from 1.3833 at 1.1460, which is close to long term projection level at 1.1516. However, break of 1.3833 will confirm medium term bottoming and should bring strong rebound to 1.4315 resistance and above. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110418b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110418b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURUSD Forecast The EURUSD had a significant bearish momentum yesterday after made a clear break below 1.4350, slipped below the bullish channel and bottomed at 1.4156. The bias remains bearish in nearest term especially if price able to stay consistently below the bullish channel and 1.4156 testing 1.4035. Although remains intact, the major bullish scenario is under a serious pressure and need another move back above 1.4350 to keep the bullish scenario strong. Immediate resistance at 1.4280 – 1.4300. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.4350. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t9-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPUSD Forecast The GBPUSD attempted to push lower yesterday, bottomed at 1.6164 but closed higher at 1.6263. The bias is neutral in nearest term but as long as price moves inside the bearish channel the overall intraday bias should remain to the downside. Immediate resistance at 1.6320 followed by 1.6400. On the downside, another move below 1.6220 could trigger further downside pressure testing 1.6090. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t2-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDCHF Forecast The USDCHF made another indecisive movement yesterday. On h4 chart below we can see price is moving in a range area of 0.9000 – 0.8900 indicates consolidation. The major scenario remains bearish but like I said yesterday, we have potential bearish exhaustion and bullish pullback testing 0.9000/55. On the downside, we need a clear break below 0.8900 to continue the bearish scenario testing 0.8850/00. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...44-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDJPY Forecast The USDJPY continued its bearish momentum yesterday after break below the descending triangle as you can see on my hourly chart below bottomed at 82.17 but was corrected higher and hit 82.67 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bearish in nearest term still testing 82.00. A clear break below 82.00 could trigger further bearish pressure testing 80.50. However, beware of potential intervention by the Japanese government and G7 countries to weaken the Yen. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y5-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURJPY Forecast The EURJPY continued its bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 116.46 and closed at 117.41. The V-Top formation gave us a valid bearish signal. The bias remains bearish in nearest term testing 116.00. A clear break below that area could trigger further bearish momentum testing 113.50. Immediate resistance at 118.00. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but as long as price stays below 119.30 the intraday bias remains more to the downside http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y3-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPJPY Forecast The GBPJPY continued its bearish momentum yesterday after made a clear break below 135.00, bottomed at 132.97 and closed at 134.13. The bias remains bearish in nearest term testing 132.50. Immediate resistance at 134.50. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but as long as price stays below 135.00 the intraday bias should more to the downside. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...41-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUDUSD Forecast The AUDUSD was corrected lower yesterday, break below the rising wedge formation as you can see on my hourly chart below. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 1.0400 – 1.0330. Immediate resistance at 1.0500. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but unless price makes a clear break above 1.0581 we are still in a bearish correction phase. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...14-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/USD dropped to as low as 1.4157 so far and the break of 1.4247 support dampens the immediate bullish view. Nevertheless, outlook is not too bad yet as EUR/USD is still staying inside near term rising channel. We'll stay neutral first. A break above 1.4364 minor resistance will indicate that pull back from 1.4519 has likely completed and will flip bias back to the upside. Further break of 1.4519 will confirm rally resumption for 161.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. However, below 1.4157 will bring deeper fall to 55 days EMA instead (now at 1.4015) and below. In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBP/USD dives to as low as 1.6166 but drew support from mentioned 50% retracement of 1.5935 to 1.6426 at 1.6181 and recovered quickly. Outlook remains unchanged as we'd still treat price actions from 1.6426 as consolidations only. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Break of 1.6382 will suggest that recent rally is resuming for 1.6426 and then 61.8% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6588. However, break of 1.6166 will now dampen this view and turn focus back to 1.5935 support instead. In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CHF should have made a temporary low at 0.8895 and stronger recovery could be seen to 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 0.9017) and above. But upside should be limited by near term falling trend line (now at 0.9198) and bring down trend resumption. Below 0.8895 will target 61.8% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8812 next. In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/JPY drops to as low as 82.18 so far but is still holding above mentioned 81.97 (38.2% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 82.03). Outlook remains unchanged as we'd still expect rebound from 76.40 to resume sooner or later. Above 83.77 minor resistance will flip bias back to the upside for 85.51 and then 61.8% retracement of 94.97 to 76.40 at 87.87. However, note that sustained break of 81.97 will dampen this bullish view and turn focus to 80.50 support instead. In the bigger picture, current development argues that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.17) will confirm this case and target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. On the downside, break of 80.50 support is needed to invalidate this view, otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/GBP's dropped to as low as 0.8739 so far but is still holding above mentioned 0.8713 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 0.8354 to 0.8922 at 0.8705). Outlook remains unchanged and we'd still expect recent rally to resume sooner or later. Above 0.8807 minor resistance will flip bias back to the upside for 0.8922 and then 0.8940 resistance. Break will target 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 next. However, sustained break of 0.8705/12 will bring deeper decline to 55 days EMA (now at 0.8681) instead. In the bigger picture, the sustained break of medium term trend line resistance revived the case that correction from 0.9799 has finished with three waves downside to 0.8607 already. The long term up trend that started back in 2000 might be resuming. Further break of 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 will indicate that rise fro 0.8067 is likely developing into an impulsive wave and will further affirm this bullish case. EUR/GBP should then target a new high above 0.9799 then. On the downside, break of 0.8284 support is now needed to indicate that rebound from 0.8067 is completed. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBP/JPY drops to as low as 132.98 so far and is now trying to draw support from mentioned 132.96 resistance turned support, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 122.40 to 139.99. The bullish outlook remains unchanged and we'd still expect rebound from 122.40 to resume sooner or later. Above 135.96 minor resistance will flip bias back to the upside for 139.99. Break will target 50% retracement of 163.05 to 122.40 at 142.72 next. However, sustained break of 132.96 will dampen this bullish view and turn focus to 130.17 support instead. In the bigger picture, as noted before, choppy fall from 163.05 is treated as second leg of the consolidation pattern that started at 2009 low of 118.81. The break of medium term falling channel as well as 55 weeks EMA suggests that such decline has finished at 122.40 already. In other words, the third leg of the consolidation should have started and should target 163.05 and possibly above in medium term. On the downside, below 130.17 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, we'll now stay bullish in the cross. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/JPY drops sharply to as low as 116.46 but is still holding above 115.96 resistance turned support. Outlook remains unchanged. Rebound from 106.57 is still expected to resume sooner or later. Above 119.25 minor resistance will flip bias back to the upside for 123.31 first and break will target 61.8% retracement of 139.21 to 105.42 at 126.30 next. However, note that sustained trading below 115.53 will dampen this bullish view and turn focus back to 113.54 support instead. In the bigger picture, sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA continues to affirm the case of medium term reversal. That is, whole decline from 2008 high of 169.96 has completed with three waves down to 105.42 already. Current rise from 105.42 should extends towards 139.21 resistance (which is close to 50% retracement of 169.96 to 105.42 at 137.69) for confirmation. On the downside, break of 113.54 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/CHF drops to as low as 1.2785 so far and at this point, intraday bias remains on the downside for deeper decline. As noted before, consolidation from 1.2401 might have completed with three waves up to 1.3234 already. Sustained break of 1.2736 will affirm this view and should push EUR/CHF through 1.2401 low to resume the larger down trend. On the upside, break of 1.2948 minor resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6287 (2007 high) is still in progress and in any case, medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3833 resistance holds. The current down trend would likely continue through 1.2 psychological level towards 100% projection of 1.5138 to 1.2765 from 1.3833 at 1.1460, which is close to long term projection level at 1.1516. However, break of 1.3833 will confirm medium term bottoming and should bring strong rebound to 1.4315 resistance and above. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
No change in AUD/USD's outlook. Consolidation from 1.0581 is still in progress and break of 1.0465 minor support now flips bias to the downside for 1.0388 and possibly below. But after all, downside should be contained by 1.0287 support and bring rally resumption eventually. On the upside above 1.0581 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8315 to 1.0181 from 0.9704 at 1.0857 next. However, break of 1.0287 will bring deeper fall towards 61.8% retracement of 0.9704 to 1.0581 at 1.0039 instead. In the bigger picture, up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 is still in progress and would extend further. Daily MACD's strong rise suggests that the up trend is regaining momentum again. Current rally could target 100% projection of 0.4773 to 0.9849 from 0.6008 at 1.1084. On the downside, break of 0.9704 support in needed to signal medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CAD's recovery extends further to as high as 0.9720 and more consolidation could still be seen. But after all, upside is expected to be limited below 0.9750 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9972 to 0.9525 at 0.9749) and bring down trend resumption. Below 0.9587 minor support will flip bias back to the downside. Further break of 0.9525 will target 100% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9353. In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and has just resumed. Daily MACD's break of it's trend line suggests that the down trend is possibly regaining momentum again. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall would now be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Mid-Day Outlook
As noted before, since EUR/USD is still holding well inside near term rising channel, outlook is not turned bearish yet despite deeper than expected fall from 1.4519. We'll stay neutral first. A break above 1.4364 minor resistance will indicate that pull back from 1.4519 has likely completed and will flip bias back to the upside. Further break of 1.4519 will confirm rally resumption for 161.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. However, below 1.4157 will bring deeper fall to 55 days EMA instead (now at 1.4015) and below. In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.6426 is still in progress. On the upside, above 1.6382 will suggest that recent rally is resuming for 1.6426 and then 61.8% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6588. However, note that break of 1.6166 will will dampen the bullish view and turn focus back to 1.5935 support instead. In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CHF's consolidation from 0.8895 temporary low is still in progress and stronger recovery could be seen to 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 0.9017) and above. But upside should be limited by near term falling trend line (now at 0.9198) and bring down trend resumption. Below 0.8895 will target 61.8% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8812 next. In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
No change in USD/JPY's outlook. With 81.97 (38.2% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 82.03) intact, we'd still expect rebound from 76.40 to resume sooner or later. Above 83.77 minor resistance will flip bias back to the upside for 85.51 and then 61.8% retracement of 94.97 to 76.40 at 87.87. However, note that sustained break of 81.97 will dampen this bullish view and turn focus to 80.50 support instead. In the bigger picture, current development argues that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.17) will confirm this case and target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. On the downside, break of 80.50 support is needed to invalidate this view, otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CAD's sharp fall and break of 0.9587 minor support suggests that recovery from 0.9525 is already completed at 0.9720. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.9525 first. Break will confirm down trend resumption for 100% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9353. In case of more consolidation, we'd continue to expect upside to be limited below 0.9750 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9972 to 0.9525 at 0.9749) and bring down trend resumption. In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and has just resumed. Daily MACD's break of it's trend line suggests that the down trend is possibly regaining momentum again. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall would now be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110419b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURUSD Forecast The EURUSD failed to continue its bearish correction yesterday after unable to stay consistently below the bullish channel and 1.4250 support area as you can see on my h4 chart below. This fact keeps the major bullish scenario remains strong. The bias is bullish in nearest term retesting 1.4518 key resistance area. Note that we need a clear break above 1.4518 to continue the bullish scenario testing 1.4700 – 1.4800 region. Below 1.4518, I think price is still in consolidation phase. Immediate support at 1.4350. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.4300 – 1.4250 support area. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...10-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPUSD Forecast The GBPUSD had a bullish momentum yesterday topped at 1.6337 and now slip above the bearish channel as you can see on my h4 chart below. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 1.6400/20 key resistance area. Immediate support at 1.6300. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.6220 support area. A quick look at daily chart reveals that price has been moving in a sideways condition between 1.6400 – 1.5950 and need a clear break on either side to see clearer direction. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t3-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDCHF Forecast The USDCHF had a bullish momentum yesterday, slipped above 0.9000 but still unable to stay consistently above that area so far. There are no changes in my daily outlook, where the major scenario remains strongly bearish but price is still in a consolidation phase as bearish seems exhausted. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Immediate support at 0.8950. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 0.8900 key support area. A clear break below 0.8900 could end the consolidation phase and continue the major bearish scenario targeting 0.8850/00 even lower. On the upside, a clear break above 0.9000 could trigger further upside pullback testing 0.9055 – 0.9130 resistance area. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...45-300x190.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDJPY Forecast The USDJPY failed to continue its bearish momentum yesterday and hit 83.09 earlier today in Asian session. Overall price is still in a bearish correction phase and need a clear break above 84.70 to continue the bullish scenario after the intervention, but my intraday bias is now bullish testing 83.77 area. After broke below the descending triangle, the downside pressure was limited and price moved in another symmetrical triangle which is now has been broken to the upside suggests more bullish intraday bias. Immediate support at 82.50. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but would keep the bearish correction remains strong still testing 82.00 key support area. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y6-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURJPY Forecast The EURJPY failed to continue it bearish momentum yesterday after unable to make a break below 116.00 key support area and now struggling around 119.30 as you can see on my h4 chart below. This fact keeps the bullish scenario which started since the intervention remains intact especially if price able to make a clear break above 119.30 and the trend line resistance (white) testing 121.40. However note that as long as price stays below 123.31 we are still in consolidation phase. Immediate support at 118.50. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but would keep the bearish correction phase remains strong, still testing 116.00 key support area. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...43-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPJPY Forecast The GBPJPY failed to continue its bearish momentum yesterday and slipped back above 135.00 as you can see on my h4 chart below. This fact keeps the bullish scenario which started since the intervention remains intact, but as long as price stays below 139.67 we are still in consolidation phase and intraday movement can be tricky. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 137.00. Immediate support at 135.00. Another move back below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as direction would become unclear but could reopen the door for another downside attempt testing 132.50. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...42-300x191.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUDUSD Forecast The AUDUSD failed to continue its bearish correction yesterday and hit 1.0597 earlier today in Asian session. My rising wedge scenario is no longer valid. On the other hand, as you can see on my h4 chart below, we have an ascending triangle suggests a bullish continuation scenario testing new all time high projection around 1.0700. Immediate support at 1.0530. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but overall this pair is in a strong bullish phase. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...h4-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/USD's strong rebound from 1.4157 kept itself inside near term rising channel and the break of 1.4363 minor resistance retains bullish outlook. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.4519 and break will confirm rally resumption for 161.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. However, below 1.4157 will bring deeper fall to 55 days EMA instead (now at 1.4038) and below. In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBP/USD's rebound from 1.6166 extends further to as high as 1.6379 today so far. As noted before, break of 1.6382 resistance will suggest that whole rise from 1.5935 is resuming. In such case, further rally should be seen through 1.6426 support towards 61.8% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6588. However, note that break of 1.6166 will will dampen the bullish view and turn focus back to 1.5935 support instead. In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CHF's consolidation from 0.8895 might still be in progress and intraday bias remains neutral. Above 0.9006 will bring another rise but upside should be limited by near term falling trend line (now at 0.9176) and bring down trend resumption. Below 0.8895 will target 61.8% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8812 next. In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUD/USD rises to new record high of 1.0606 today and the break of 1.0581 confirms resumption of recent rally. Intraday bias is back on the upside and further rise should now be seen towards 61.8% projection of 0.8315 to 1.0181 from 0.9704 at 1.0857 next. On the downside, break of 1.0442 support will indicate that a short term top is formed with bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. In such case, deeper pull back would be seen to 55 days EMA (now at 1.0235). In the bigger picture, up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 is still in progress and would extend further. Daily MACD's strong rise suggests that the up trend is regaining momentum again. Current rally could target 100% projection of 0.4773 to 0.9849 from 0.6008 at 1.1084. On the downside, break of 0.9704 support in needed to signal medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CAD dips lower today and intraday bias remains on the downside for 0.9525 support Break there will confirm down trend resumption for 100% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9353. On the upside, above 0.9582 minor resistance will delay the bearish view and bring more consolidations first. But even in case of another recovery, we'd expect upside to be limited below 0.9750 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9972 to 0.9525 at 0.9749) and bring down trend resumption eventually. In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and has just resumed. Daily MACD's break of it's trend line suggests that the down trend is possibly regaining momentum again. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall would now be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
With 4 hours MACD crossed above signal line, intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral. As noted before, with 81.97 (38.2% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 82.03) intact, we'd still expect rebound from 76.40 to resume sooner or later. Above 83.77 minor resistance will flip bias back to the upside for 85.51 and then 61.8% retracement of 94.97 to 76.40 at 87.87. However, note that sustained break of 81.97 will dampen this bullish view and turn focus to 80.50 support instead. In the bigger picture, current development argues that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.17) will confirm this case and target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. On the downside, break of 80.50 support is needed to invalidate this view, otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/JPY's break of 119.25 minor resistance suggests that pull back from 123.31 is finished at 116.46, as being supported above 115.96 support. Intraday bias is back on the upside for a test on 123.31 resistance first. Break will confirm rise resumption for 61.8% retracement of 139.21 to 105.42 at 126.30 next. After all, outlook remains bullish as long as 115.96 support holds. Nevertheless, sustained trading below 115.96 will turn focus back to 113.54 support instead. In the bigger picture, sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA continues to affirm the case of medium term reversal. That is, whole decline from 2008 high of 169.96 has completed with three waves down to 105.42 already. Current rise from 105.42 should extends towards 139.21 resistance (which is close to 50% retracement of 169.96 to 105.42 at 137.69) for confirmation. On the downside, break of 113.54 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
With 132.96 resistance turned support intact, bullish outlook in GBP/JPY remains unchanged and rise from 122.40 is expected to resume sooner or later. Above 135.96 minor resistance will flip bias back to the upside for 139.99. Break will target 50% retracement of 163.05 to 122.40 at 142.72 next. However, sustained break of 132.96 will dampen this bullish view and turn focus to 130.17 support instead. In the bigger picture, as noted before, choppy fall from 163.05 is treated as second leg of the consolidation pattern that started at 2009 low of 118.81. The break of medium term falling channel as well as 55 weeks EMA suggests that such decline has finished at 122.40 already. In other words, the third leg of the consolidation should have started and should target 163.05 and possibly above in medium term. On the downside, below 130.17 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, we'll now stay bullish in the cross. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420a2.gif |
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