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رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/GBP's break of 0.8807 minor resistance suggests that pull back from 0.8922 has completed at 0.8739 already. Intraday bias is back to the upside for 0.8922 and then 0.8940 resistance. Break will target 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 next. Note that outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.8713 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 0.8354 to 0.8922 at 0.8705) holds and we'd expect recent rise to resume sooner or later. However, sustained break of 0.8705/12 will bring deeper decline to 55 days EMA (now at 0.8686) instead. In the bigger picture, the sustained break of medium term trend line resistance revived the case that correction from 0.9799 has finished with three waves downside to 0.8607 already. The long term up trend that started back in 2000 might be resuming. Further break of 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 will indicate that rise fro 0.8067 is likely developing into an impulsive wave and will further affirm this bullish case. EUR/GBP should then target a new high above 0.9799 then. On the downside, break of 0.8284 support is now needed to indicate that rebound from 0.8067 is completed. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/CHF drew strong support from 1.2736 and rebounded. Intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment but with 1.2948 minor resistance intact, the near term bearish outlook remains unchanged. That is, consolidation from 1.2401 should have finished with three waves up to 1.3234 already. Below 1.2728 will affirm this view and should push EUR/CHF through 1.2401 low to resume the larger down trend. However, break of 1.2948 will delay the bearish view and bring more consolidations first. In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6287 (2007 high) is still in progress and in any case, medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3833 resistance holds. The current down trend would likely continue through 1.2 psychological level towards 100% projection of 1.5138 to 1.2765 from 1.3833 at 1.1460, which is close to long term projection level at 1.1516. However, break of 1.3833 will confirm medium term bottoming and should bring strong rebound to 1.4315 resistance and above. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Mid-Day Outlook
Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside and current up trend is expected to continue to 161.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. On the downside, below 1.4412 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation. But break of 1.4157 support is needed to signal short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBP/USD's break of 1.6382 indicates that consolidation from 1.6462 is completed at 1.6166 already and rise from 1.5935 is resuming. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 61.8% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6588 next. On the downside, below 1.6308 minor support will dampen the immediate bullish view and turn outlook neutral instead. In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CHF's break of 0.8895 support indicates that recent decline has resumed. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 61.8% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8812 next. On the upside, above 0.9006 resistance will bring another recovery. But upside should be limited by near term falling trend line (now at 0.9176) and bring down trend resumption. In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUD/USD's rally extends further to new record high of 1.0690 so far today and intraday bias remains on the upside for 61.8% projection of 0.8315 to 1.0181 from 0.9704 at 1.0857 next. On the downside, below 1.0596 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But break of 1.0388 support is needed to confirm short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. In the bigger picture, up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 is still in progress and would extend further. Daily MACD's strong rise suggests that the up trend is regaining momentum again. Current rally could target 100% projection of 0.4773 to 0.9849 from 0.6008 at 1.1084. On the downside, break of 0.9704 support in needed to signal medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. As noted before, with 81.97 (38.2% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 82.03) intact, we'd still expect rebound from 76.40 to resume sooner or later. Above 83.77 minor resistance will flip bias back to the upside for 85.51 and then 61.8% retracement of 94.97 to 76.40 at 87.87. However, note that sustained break of 81.97 will dampen this bullish view and turn focus to 80.50 support instead. In the bigger picture, current development argues that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.17) will confirm this case and target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. On the downside, break of 80.50 support is needed to invalidate this view, otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110420b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURUSD Forecast The EURUSD had a significant bullish momentum yesterday, broke above 1.4518 and hit 1.4581 earlier today in Asian session. Just like previous breakouts (see h4 chart below), the current strong breakout above 1.4518 could continue the bullish scenario testing 1.4700 – 1.4800. The bias remains bullish in nearest term. Immediate support at 1.4518. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.4480/50 support area but the major scenario remains strongly bullish. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...11-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPUSD Forecast The GBPUSD continued its bullish momentum yesterday after broke above the bearish channel and hit 1.6446 earlier today in Asian session. The breakout above the bearish channel (which also can be seen as a bullish flag from another perspective) and the upper line of the range area gives us a bullish continuation scenario at least testing 1.6600 even 1.7000 in longer term outlook. The bias remains bullish in nearest term testing 1.6500. Immediate support at 1.6400. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.6350 but overall I think the pressure remains strongly to the upside. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y2-300x191.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDCHF Forecast The USDCHF had a significant bearish momentum yesterday, fell below the range area and hit 0.8853 earlier today in Asian session. This fact could end the consolidation phase and continue the major bearish scenario at least targeting 0.8800 – 0.8750 area. Immediate resistance at 0.8900. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 0.8950 but overall I think the pressure remains strongly to the downside. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y5-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDJPY Forecast The USDJPY continued its bearish correction yesterday and now testing 82.00 support area which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 76.21 to 85.51. The bias is bearish in nearest term especially if price able to make another clear break below 82.00 testing 80.85 (50% Fibo). However, note that a strong Yen appreciation could create speculation about another potential intervention to weaken the Yen. Immediate resistance at 82.50. A clear break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 83.00. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y2-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURJPY Forecast The EURJPY continued its bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 120.38 but still struggling around the trend line resistance as you can see on my h4 chart below. The bias remains bullish in nearest term still targeting 121.40 but need a clear break above 120.38 to continue the bullish pressure. CCI is moving up above zero level but still unable to move above 100 line suggests potential upside pressure but need a movement above 100 line to find good and strong bullish momentum. Immediate support at 119.30. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 118.72 (yesterday’s low). http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...44-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPJPY Forecast The GBPJPY was indecisive yesterday, made a Doji on daily chart and now still struggling around 135.00 area. The bias is neutral in nearest term. CCI is moving down below zero level on daily chart suggests more bearish intraday bias but need a movement below -100 to continue the bearish pressure testing 132.50. Immediate support to be tested is around 133.75/50. A clear break below that area would trigger further bearish pressure testing 132.50 even lower. The overall technical bias remains to the downside but a strong Yen appreciation could trigger another intervention to weaken the Yen. Immediate resistance at 135.80. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 137.00 resistance area. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y4-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUDUSD Forecast The AUDUSD continued its bullish momentum yesterday after a strong break out above 1.0581 and hit another new historical high at 1.0770 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bullish in nearest term testing 1.0850 – 1.0900 new historical high projection. Immediate support at 1.0670. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.0600 but overall the technical bias remains strongly to the upside. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y4-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/USD reaches as high as 1.4627 so far today and intraday bias remains on the upside for 161.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. On the downside, below 1.4484 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation. But break of 1.4157 support is needed to signal short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBP/USD's rally extends further to as high as 1.6484 so far today and intraday bias remains on the upside for 61.8% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6588 next. On the downside, below 1.6384 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But downside should be contained well above 1.6166 support and bring rally resumption. In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CHF's decline is still in progress and reaches as low as 0.8841 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 61.8% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8812. Break will target 100% projection at 0.8486. On the upside, break of 0.9006 resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of recovery. In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUD/USD's rally is still in progress and reaches new record high of 1.0770 today so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside and further rise should be seen to 61.8% projection of 0.8315 to 1.0181 from 0.9704 at 1.0857 next. On the downside, below 1.0674 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But break of 1.0388 support is needed to confirm short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. In the bigger picture, up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 is still in progress and would extend further. Daily MACD's strong rise suggests that the up trend is regaining momentum again. Current rally could target 100% projection of 0.4773 to 0.9849 from 0.6008 at 1.1084. On the downside, break of 0.9704 support in needed to signal medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421a1.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CAD's break of 0.9525 support confirms resumption of recent down trend. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 100% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9353. On the upside, above 0.9556 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But break of 0.9720 resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and has just resumed. Daily MACD's break of it's trend line suggests that the down trend is possibly regaining momentum again. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall would now be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/JPY's fall from 85.51 extends further to as low as 81.87 so far and at this point, intraday bias remains on the downside as long as 83.09 minor resistance holds. Sustained trading below 81.97 (38.2% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 82.03) will argue that whole rebound from 76.40 is already completed at 85.51 and deeper fall should then be seen to 61.8% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 79.88. On the upside, above 83.09 will flip bias back to the upside for a test on 85.51 resistance. In the bigger picture, current development argues that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.17) will confirm this case and target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. On the downside, however, break of 80.50 will dampen this view and turn focus back to 76.40 low instead. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the upside for 0.8922 resistance. Break will confirm rally resumption for 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 next. Note that outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.8713 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 0.8354 to 0.8922 at 0.8705) holds and we'd expect recent rise to resume sooner or later. However, sustained break of 0.8705/12 will bring deeper decline to 55 days EMA (now at 0.8686) instead. In the bigger picture, the sustained break of medium term trend line resistance revived the case that correction from 0.9799 has finished with three waves downside to 0.8607 already. The long term up trend that started back in 2000 might be resuming. Further break of 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 will indicate that rise fro 0.8067 is likely developing into an impulsive wave and will further affirm this bullish case. EUR/GBP should then target a new high above 0.9799 then. On the downside, break of 0.8284 support is now needed to indicate that rebound from 0.8067 is completed. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
The slightly stronger than expected recovery from 1.2728 dampens the immediate bearish view and mixes out near term outlook. We'll stay neutral first. Nevertheless, there is no change in the view that price actions from 1.2401 are consolidations in the larger down trend only. Below 1.2728 will revive the case that such consolidation has completed at 1.3234 already and target a new low below 1.2401. In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6287 (2007 high) is still in progress and in any case, medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3833 resistance holds. The current down trend would likely continue through 1.2 psychological level towards 100% projection of 1.5138 to 1.2765 from 1.3833 at 1.1460, which is close to long term projection level at 1.1516. However, break of 1.3833 will confirm medium term bottoming and should bring strong rebound to 1.4315 resistance and above. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is neutral for the moment. As noted before, with 132.96 resistance turned support intact, bullish outlook in GBP/JPY remains unchanged and rise from 122.40 is expected to resume sooner or later. Above 135.96 minor resistance will flip bias back to the upside for 139.99. Break will target 50% retracement of 163.05 to 122.40 at 142.72 next. However, sustained break of 132.96 will dampen this bullish view and turn focus to 130.17 support instead. In the bigger picture, as noted before, choppy fall from 163.05 is treated as second leg of the consolidation pattern that started at 2009 low of 118.81. The break of medium term falling channel as well as 55 weeks EMA suggests that such decline has finished at 122.40 already. In other words, the third leg of the consolidation should have started and should target 163.05 and possibly above in medium term. On the downside, below 130.17 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, we'll now stay bullish in the cross. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
As noted before, EUR/JPY's pull back might have completed at 116.46 already. Intraday bias is cautiously on the upside for 123.31 resistance first. Break will confirm rise resumption for 61.8% retracement of 139.21 to 105.42 at 126.30 next. After all, outlook remains bullish as long as 115.96 support holds. Nevertheless, sustained trading below 115.96 will turn focus back to 113.54 support instead. In the bigger picture, sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA continues to affirm the case of medium term reversal. That is, whole decline from 2008 high of 169.96 has completed with three waves down to 105.42 already. Current rise from 105.42 should extends towards 139.21 resistance (which is close to 50% retracement of 169.96 to 105.42 at 137.69) for confirmation. On the downside, break of 113.54 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Mid-Day Outlook
With 1.4484 minor support intact, intraday bias remains on the upside for 161.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. On the downside, below 1.4484 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation. But break of 1.4157 support is needed to signal short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBP/USD rises to as high as 1.6598 so far today and meet mentioned target of 61.8% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6588. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 100% projection of 1.5935 to 1.6426 from 1.6166 at 1.6657 next. On the downside, below 1.6482 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first before staging another rally. In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CHF drops to as low as 0.8780 so far today and intraday bias remains on the downside. Current decline should now target 100% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8486. On the upside, above 0.8851 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring recovery. But break of 0.9006 resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of recovery. In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/JPY drops further to as low as 81.61 so far today and the break of 81.97 (38.2% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 82.03) argue that whole rebound from 76.40 is already finished. Intraday bias remains on the downside and deeper decline should be seen towards 61.8% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 79.88. On the upside, above 83.09 minor resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bearish. In the bigger picture, the deeper then expected fall from 85.51 dampens the view that USD/JPY has bottomed out at 76.40 in the long term. Also, considering that USD/JPY is still limited by a falling 55 weeks EMA and the long term falling trend line, down trend from 124.13 could still be in progress. A break of mentioned 79.88 fibonacci level will bring a test on 76.40 low first. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110421b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURUSD Forecast The EURUSD attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 1.4647 but closed significantly lower at 1.4558, made a shooting star candle stick formation as you can see on my daily chart below, suggests potential bearish pullback especially if price breaks below 1.4518 support area (former resistance) testing 1.4400 even lower to the lower line of the bullish channel. On the upside, we need a clear movement back above 1.4581 to keep the bullish scenario remains strong testing 1.4647 even higher. Today some markets are closed on Good Friday. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y2-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPUSD Forecast The GBPUSD continued its bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 1.6598 but closed lower at 1.6518. The bias is neutral in nearest term but still within a context of a strong bullish scenario after the break above the bullish flag and range area as you can see on my h4 chart below at least testing 1.6700 area. On the downside, immediate support at 1.6470. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish but only a movement back below 1.6400 support area can be a threat to the current bullish technical outlook. Today some markets are closed on Good Friday. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t4-300x190.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDCHF Forecast The USDCHF attempted to push lower yesterday, bottomed at 0.8779 but closed higher at 0.8860, made a hammer candle stick formation as you can see on my daily chart below suggests potential upside correction especially if price able to make a clear break above 0.8900 testing 0.9000. On the downside, we need a clear break below 0.8779 to cancel the bullish hammer formation scenario testing 0.8700 – 0.8600. Today some markets are closed on Good Friday. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y6-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDJPY Forecast The USDJPY was able to maintain its bearish intraday bias yesterday and now traded below 82.00 which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 76.21 to 85.51 as you can see on my daily chart below. The bias remains bearish in nearest term testing 80.85 (50% Fibo). CCI in negative territory suggests downside pressure. However, note that a strong Yen appreciation could create speculation about another potential intervention to weaken the Yen. Immediate resistance at 82.00. A clear break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 82.50 – 83.00. Today some markets are closed on Good Friday. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y3-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURJPY Forecast The EURJPY was unable to maintain its bullish momentum yesterday and now traded below 119.30 support area after unable to make a break above 120.38. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 118.00. On the upside, another move above 119.30 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term and only a clear break above 120.38 would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 121.40. Today some markets are closed on Good Friday. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...45-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPJPY Forecast The GBPJPY made another indecisive movement yesterday, made another Doji on daily chart and still struggling around 135.00 area. There are no changes in my daily technical outlook. The bias remains neutral in nearest term. CCI still moves below zero level on daily chart suggests more bearish intraday bias but need a movement below -100 to continue the bearish pressure testing 132.50. Immediate support to be tested is around 133.75/50. A clear break below that area would trigger further bearish pressure testing 132.50 even lower. The overall technical bias remains to the downside but a strong Yen appreciation could trigger another intervention to weaken the Yen. Immediate resistance at 135.80. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 137.00 resistance area. Today some markets are closed on Good Friday. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y5-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUDUSD Forecast The AUDUSD was able to maintain its bullish bias yesterday although the bullish momentum is not as strong as what happened on Wednesday. The bias remains bullish in nearest term still testing 1.0850 – 1.0900 new historical high projection. Immediate support at 1.0700. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 1.0600 but overall the technical bias remains strongly to the upside. Today some markets are closed on Good Friday. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y5-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURUSD Weekly Summary: Bullish scenario threatened by shooting star and H&S pattern The EURUSD attempted to push lower this week, bottomed at 1.4156 but whipsawed to the upside, broke above 1.4518, topped at 1.4647 but closed lower at 1.4562. I believe as long as price able to stay above 1.4518, the major bullish scenario should remain strong at least testing 1.4700 – 1.4800. However, there are two technical factors which can be a threat to the current bullish outlook. First, the shooting star formation on daily chart after strong bullish move suggests potential bearish pullback even a bearish reversal. Usually a shooting star formation with bearish body gives better accuracy, but regardless of the type of the body, shooting star candle stick formation is a bearish warning. Secondly, the “head and shoulders” pattern which appeared on the hourly chart with neckline already broken to the downside. The 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of 1.4156 – 1.4647 around 1.4530 provided a good intraday support. A clear break below 1.4530 – 1.4518 could trigger further bearish pullback at least testing 1.4400 support area even lower as the shooting star bearish scenario could have further validation. Beside 1.4647 resistance area, we need to pay attention to the right shoulder of the H&S formation at 1.4587. A clear break above that area would cancel the H&S bearish scenario testing 1.4647 before testing 1.4700 – 1.4800. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y1-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURUSD Forecast The EURUSD was indecisive on Friday. The bias is neutral in nearest term. On h4 chart below we can see price still moves inside the bullish channel indicates that the major bullish scenario remains intact. However, pay attention to the 1.4518 support area. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 1.4400 support area and the lower line of the bullish channel and the shooting star bearish warning seen on daily chart as I showed you in my weekly summary may have further validation. On the upside, we need a clear break above 1.4605 (current high) to continue the bullish pressure testing 1.4647 before targeting 1.4700 – 1.4800 resistance area. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...12-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPUSD Forecast The GBPUSD bullish momentum was paused on Friday. After the strong breakout above 1.6400 the overall outlook remains strongly bullish but we had some downside pressure earlier today in Asian session testing 1.6480 as you can see on my h4 chart below. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 1.6400. On the upside, immediate resistance at 1.6550. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 1.6700 resistance area and keep the bullish scenario remains strong. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t5-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDCHF Forecast The USDCHF didn’t make significant movement on Friday. There are no changes in my daily technical outlook. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Overall my technical bias remains strongly bearish but note that the hammer formation seen on daily chart below still suggest potential upside pullback testing 0.8900. On the downside we need a clear break below 0.8779 to cancel the bullish hammer formation scenario testing 0.8700 – 0.8600. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y7-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDJPY Forecast The USDJPY was indecisive on Friday but had some upside pressure earlier today in Asian session and so far rejects to move consistently below 82.00 which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 76.21 – 85.51. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 83.30 resistance area ( 23.6% Fibonacci retracement). However note that overall we are still in a bearish phase since the fall from 85.51 and another downside pullback below 82.00 could continue the bearish pressure testing 80.85 support area. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t1-300x189.jpg |
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