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رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURJPY Forecast The EURJPY was indecisive on Friday. As you can see on my hourly below the minor trend line resistance (white) still provide a good resistance after the fall from 123.31. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Another move back below 119.30 could trigger further downside pressure testing 118.61 – 118.00 support area. Immediate resistance at 120.00. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 120.50 but only a clear break above 120.50 could end the current bearish phase testing 123.31. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...11-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPJPY Forecast The GBPJPY was indecisive on Friday. On hourly chart below we can see price is moving in a rectangle area of 135.93 – 134.69 indicates sideways condition and need a clear break from either side to see clearer intraday direction. A clear break above 135.93 could trigger further bullish pressure testing 137.00 while a clear break below 134.69 could continue the bearish phase since the failure to make a clear break above 139.67 testing 133.50/00 support area. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...13-300x190.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUDUSD Forecast The AUDUSD didn’t make significant movement on Friday. The bias is neutral in nearest term but overall price is still in a strong bullish outlook. We had some downside pullback earlier today in Asian session testing 1.0684 support area as you can see on my daily chart below. A clear break below that area could trigger further bearish correction testing 1.0581 but I think the overall bias remains strongly to the upside and I see no sign of potential significant technical bearish view so far and unless price move back below 1.0581 the technical bias remains strongly to the upside testing 1.0850 – 1.0900. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y6-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Weekly Outlook
EUR/USD's up trend extended further to as high as 1.4647 before making a temporary top there and turned sideway. Intraday bias is neutral for the moment for some consolidations. But retreat is expected to be contained well above 1.4157 support and bring rally resumption. Above 1.4647 will target 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. In the long term picture, correction from 1.6039 might have completed at 1.1875 already. Meanwhile, up trend from 2000 low of 0.8223 might be resuming. Break of 1.5143 resistance will affirm this case and should pave the wave through 2008 high of 1.6039 to 61.8% projection of 0.8223 to 1.6039 from 1.1875 at 1.6705. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w2.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w3.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBP/USD's rally extended last week and met mentioned target of 61.8% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6588 before making a temporary top at 1.6598. Intraday bias is neutral for the moment for some consolidations But retreat should be contained by 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 1.6387) and bring rally resumption. Above 1.6598 will target 100% projection of 1.5935 to 1.6426 from 1.6166 at 1.6657 next and then 100% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6992, which is close to 1.7 psychological level and 1.7043 key resistance. In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation. In the longer term picture, the corrective nature of the multi-decade advance from 1.0463 (85 low) to 2.1161 as well as the impulsive nature of the fall from there suggests that GBP/USD is now in an early stage of a long term down trend. Another low below 1.3503 is anticipated after rebound from 1.3503 is confirmed to be completed. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w2.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w3.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CHF dropped to new record low of 0.8780 before making a temporary low there and recovered. Intraday bias is neutral for the moment for some consolidations. But recovery is expected to be limited below 0.9006 resistance and bring down trend resumption. Below 0.8780 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8486. In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level should now pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. In the longer term picture, long term down trend from 2000 high of 1.8305 is still in progress. There are various interpretation of the price actions. But after all, USD/CHF should be resuming the set of impulsive fall from 1.8305 to 1.1288. 61.8% projection of 1.8305 to 1.1288 from 1.3283 at 0.8946 is already met. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will pave the way towards 100% projection at 0.6266. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w2.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w3.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w4.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUD/USD rose to new record high at 1.0773 last week before losing some upside momentum and retreated. A temporary top should be in place and intraday bias is neutral for some consolidations. Deeper retreat might be seen to 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 1.0603) but downside should be contained above 1.0388 support and bring rally resumption. Above 1.0773 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8315 to 1.0181 from 0.9704 at 1.0857 next. In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8066 is part of the up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 and is still in healthy status. AUD/USD is staying comfortably inside medium term rising channel with daily MACD staying above signal line. Current rise should be target 1.1 psychological level next. On the downside, break of 0.8704 support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. In the longer term picture, long term up trend from 0.4773 (01 low) is still in progress and would possibly target 100% projection of 0.4773 to 0.9849 from 0.6008 at 1.1084. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w2.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w3.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CAD dived to as low as 0.9454 but stabilized from there and recovered. Intraday bias is neutral for the moment and some consolidations could be seen first. Nevertheless, in case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited by near term falling trend line resistance (now at 0.9670) and bring fall resumption. Below 0.9453 will extend recent down trend towards 100% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9353. In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and is possibly building up momentum again. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall would now be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level. In the longer term picture, firstly, there is no clear indication that the long term down trend from 2002 high of 1.6196 has reversed. Secondly, the medium term fall from 1.3063 is so far looking corrective. Hence, we're slightly favoring the case that price actions from 0.9056 are developing into a long term corrective pattern. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w2.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w3.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w4.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/JPY's fall from 85.51 extended further to as low as 81.61 last week and the break of 81.97 resistance turned support dampens the bullish view that the cross has bottomed out earlier at 76.40. Deeper decline will now remain in favor as long as 83.09 minor resistance holds and further fall could now be seen towards 61.8% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 79.88 and below. Nevertheless, above 83.09 will suggest that pull back from 85.51 has completed and would flip bias back to the upside for retesting this resistance. In the bigger picture, with 80.50 support intact, we're still favoring the case that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Above 85.51 will target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. However, note that strong resistance has been seen from the falling 55 weeks EMA and long term falling trend line. That is, there is no confirmation of reversal yet. A break of 80.50 will indicate that rebound from 76.40 was likely just a correction and the long term down trend is still in progress for another low below 76.40. In the long term picture, the minimum target of trend resumption, that is, a break of 79.75 low (1995 low) was met. While current rebound in the USD/JPY is strong, there is no indication of reversal of the multi-decade down trend yet. We'd look at the structure of the current rise, as well as whether USD/JPY could take out 100 psychological level before giving favor to the trend reversal case. Otherwise, we'll treat current price actions as part of a long term consolidation pattern at best. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w2.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w3.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/GBP attempted to recover after hitting 0.8739 but upside was limited below 0.8922 and then cross weakened again. With 0.8713 support intact, we're treating price actions from 0.8922 as consolidation in the larger rally only. Intraday bias remains neutral for more sideway trading first. Break of 0.8922 will indicate rise resumption and should target 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 next. However, note that break of 0.8713 support will indicate that EUR/GBP has possibly formed a head and shoulder top pattern and the near term trend has resumed. In such case, deeper fall should be seen to 0.8671 resistance turned support and below. In the bigger picture, the sustained break of medium term trend line resistance revived the case that correction from 0.9799 has finished with three waves downside to 0.8607 already. The long term up trend that started back in 2000 might be resuming. Further break of 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 will indicate that rise from 0.8067 is likely developing into an impulsive wave and will further affirm this bullish case. EUR/GBP should then target a new high above 0.9799 then. On the downside, however, break of 0.8713 support will argue that whole rise from 0.8284 has possibly finished. This will in turn dampen the bullish view and indicate that price actions from 0.8067 are merely a correction in the larger decline, rather than reversal. Focus will then turn back to 0.8284 support. In the long term picture, long term up trend from 2000 low of 0.5680 shouldn't be over yet and the choppy fall from 2008 high of 0.9799 should be a correction only. We'd expect such correction to be contained by 0.7963/0.8186 support zone and bring up trend resumption. Rise from 0.5680 is still expected to extend beyond 0.9799 high eventually. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w2.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w3.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/CHF dropped to as low as 1.2728 but recovered since then. The development dampened the immediate bearish view and we'll stay neutral first. On the upside above 1.2971 will suggest that fall from 1.3234 has completed and would turn bias back to the upside and bring stronger rebound. Also, this will argue that consolidation pattern from 1.2401 is possibly still in progress. On the downside, below 1.2728 will resume fall from 1.3234 and affirm the view that consolidation from 1.2401 is already finished t 1.3234. In such case, bias will be back on the downside for another low below 1.2401. In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6287 (2007 high) is still in progress and in any case, medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3833 resistance holds. The current down trend would likely continue through 1.2 psychological level towards 100% projection of 1.5138 to 1.2765 from 1.3833 at 1.1460, which is close to long term projection level at 1.1516. However, break of 1.3833 will confirm medium term bottoming and should bring strong rebound to 1.4315 resistance and above. In the long term picture, fall from 1.6827 should be resuming whole down trend from 1993 high of 1.8234. Sustained trading below 1.3 psychological level will send the cross further lower to 138.2% projection of 1.8234 to 1.4391 from 1.6827 at 1.1516. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w2.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w3.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/JPY's pull back from 123.31 was contained at 116.46, above mentioned 115.96 support and rebounded. Such pull back is likely finished and intraday bias is cautiously on the upside for a retest on 123.31 resistance first. Break will confirm that whole rebound from 106.57 has resumed and should target 61.8% retracement of 139.21 to 105.42 at 126.30 next. We'll stay bullish in the cross as long as 115.96 support holds but sustained break there will dampen this view and will bring deeper decline through 113.54 support. In the bigger picture, sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA continues to affirm the case of medium term reversal. That is, whole decline from 2008 high of 169.96 has completed with three waves down to 105.42 already, on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD and RSI. Current rise from 105.42 should extends towards 139.21 resistance (which is close to 50% retracement of 169.96 to 105.42 at 137.69) for confirmation. On the downside, break of 113.54 support, however, will invalidate this bullish view and will turn focus back to 105.42 low instead. In the long term picture, up trend from 88.96 (00 low) has completed at 169.96 and made a long term top there. Based on the five wave structure of the rise from 88.96 to 169.96, we're favoring that fall from 169.96 is corrective in nature. While the correction from 169.96 should have completed at 105.42 already, it's early to conclude up trend resumption yet and we'll look at the structure of the rise from 105.42 to determine the chance of breaking 169.96 high with the current rally. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w2.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w3.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBP/JPY drew support from mentioned 132.96, 38.2% retracement of 122.40 to 139.99, as well as 55 days EMA and turned sideway. With 132.96 support intact, we'd still expect rebound from 122.40 to resume sooner or later. Above 135.96 minor resistance will flip bias back to the upside for a retest on 139.99 resistance first. Break will target 50% retracement of 163.05 to 122.40 at 142.72 next. However, sustained break of 132.96 will dampen this bullish view and would bring deeper decline to 61.8% retracement of 122.40 to 139.99 at 129.11 and below. In the bigger picture, as noted before, choppy fall from 163.05 is treated as second leg of the consolidation pattern that started at 2009 low of 118.81. Such decline should have completed at 122.40. In other words, the third leg of the consolidation should have started and should target 163.05 and possibly above in medium term. We'll stay bullish in the cross as long as 130.17 support holds. However, break of 130.17 will dampen this bullish view and would possibly bring another low below 122.40 before reversal. In the longer term picture, fall from 251.09 is treated as resumption of multi decade down trend. Note that the fall from 215.87 is not treated as the fifth wave, but the third wave inside the third wave that started at 241.35. Another long term decline is still expected after completion of the correction/consolidation from 118.81, towards 100 psychological level. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w2.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110425w3.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday in EUR/USD remains neutral and some consolidations could be seen below 1.4647 temporary top. But downside of retreat is expected to be contained well above 1.4157 support and bring rally resumption. Above 1.4647 will target 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and consolidations from 1.6598 might extend further. But retreat is expected to be contained by 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 1.6403) and bring rally resumption. Above 1.6598 will target 100% projection of 1.5935 to 1.6426 from 1.6166 at 1.6657 next and then 100% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6992, which is close to 1.7 psychological level and 1.7043 key resistance. In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CHF's fall is resuming and intraday bias is mildly on the downside for next target of 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8486. On the upside, above 0.8877 minor resistance will turn bias neutral again and bring consolidations. But recovery is expected to be limited below 0.9006 resistance and bring down trend resumption. In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level should now pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral and some more consolidations could be seen below 1.0773 first. Deeper retreat might be seen to 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 1.0627) but downside should be contained above 1.0388 support and bring rally resumption. Above 1.0773 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8315 to 1.0181 from 0.9704 at 1.0857 next. In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8066 is part of the up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 and is still in healthy status. AUD/USD is staying comfortably inside medium term rising channel with daily MACD staying above signal line. Current rise should be target 1.1 psychological level next. On the downside, break of 0.8704 support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral and some more consolidations could be seen above 0.9453. But still, upside of recovery should be limited by near term falling trend line resistance (now at 0.9664) and bring fall resumption. Below 0.9453 will extend recent down trend towards 100% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9353. In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and is possibly building up momentum again. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall would now be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside and current decline from 85.51 is still in progress for 61.8% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 79.88 and below. Nevertheless, above 83.09 will suggest that pull back from 85.51 has completed and would flip bias back to the upside for retesting this resistance. In the bigger picture, with 80.50 support intact, we're still favoring the case that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Above 85.51 will target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. However, note that strong resistance has been seen from the falling 55 weeks EMA and long term falling trend line. That is, there is no confirmation of reversal yet. A break of 80.50 will indicate that rebound from 76.40 was likely just a correction and the long term down trend is still in progress for another low below 76.40. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
No change in EUR/GBP's outlook. With 0.8713 support intact, we're treating price actions from 0.8922 as consolidation in the larger rally only. Intraday bias remains neutral for more sideway trading first. Break of 0.8922 will indicate rise resumption and should target 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 next. However, note that break of 0.8713 support will indicate that EUR/GBP has possibly formed a head and shoulder top pattern and the near term trend has resumed. In such case, deeper fall should be seen to 0.8671 resistance turned support and below. In the bigger picture, the sustained break of medium term trend line resistance revived the case that correction from 0.9799 has finished with three waves downside to 0.8607 already. The long term up trend that started back in 2000 might be resuming. Further break of 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 will indicate that rise from 0.8067 is likely developing into an impulsive wave and will further affirm this bullish case. EUR/GBP should then target a new high above 0.9799 then. On the downside, however, break of 0.8713 support will argue that whole rise from 0.8284 has possibly finished. This will in turn dampen the bullish view and indicate that price actions from 0.8067 are merely a correction in the larger decline, rather than reversal. Focus will then turn back to 0.8284 support. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
With 4 hours MACD crossed below signal line and turned negative, EUR/CHF's recovery might have completed at 1.2971 after failing to sustain above 4 hours 55 EMA. Intraday bias is mildly on the downside for 1.2728 support. Break will confirm resumption of fall from 1.3234. Also, this will affirm the view that consolidation from 1.2401 is already finished at 1.3234. In such case, bias will be back on the downside for another low below 1.2401. On the upside, however, above 1.2971 will suggest that fall from 1.3234 has completed and would turn bias back to the upside and bring stronger rebound. Also, this will argue that consolidation pattern from 1.2401 is possibly still in progress. In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6287 (2007 high) is still in progress and in any case, medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3833 resistance holds. The current down trend would likely continue through 1.2 psychological level towards 100% projection of 1.5138 to 1.2765 from 1.3833 at 1.1460, which is close to long term projection level at 1.1516. However, break of 1.3833 will confirm medium term bottoming and should bring strong rebound to 1.4315 resistance and above. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
WIth 4 hours MACD crossed below signal line and turned negative, GBP/JPY's recovery from 132.98 might have completed at 135.93 after failing 4 hours 55 EMA. Intraday bias is mildly on the downside and retest of 132.98 could be seen. Nevertheless, with 132.96 support intact, we'd still expect rebound from 122.40 to resume sooner or later. Above 135.93 will flip bias back to the upside for a retest on 139.99 resistance first. Break will target 50% retracement of 163.05 to 122.40 at 142.72 next. However, sustained break of 132.96 will dampen this bullish view and would bring deeper decline to 61.8% retracement of 122.40 to 139.99 at 129.11 and below. In the bigger picture, as noted before, choppy fall from 163.05 is treated as second leg of the consolidation pattern that started at 2009 low of 118.81. Such decline should have completed at 122.40. In other words, the third leg of the consolidation should have started and should target 163.05 and possibly above in medium term. We'll stay bullish in the cross as long as 130.17 support holds. However, break of 130.17 will dampen this bullish view and would possibly bring another low below 122.40 before reversal. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and consolidations from 1.6598 might extend further. But retreat is expected to be contained by 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 1.6403) and bring rally resumption. Above 1.6598 will target 100% projection of 1.5935 to 1.6426 from 1.6166 at 1.6657 next and then 100% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6992, which is close to 1.7 psychological level and 1.7043 key resistance. In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/USD's retreat was rather brief and the break of 1.4647 resistance suggests that recent rally is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. On the downside, below 1.4492 will turn bias neutral again and bring more consolidations. But after all, retreat is expected to be contained well above 1.4157 support and bring rally resumption. In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside with 0.8877 minor resistance intact and current decline should now target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8486. On the upside, above 0.8877 minor resistance will turn bias neutral again and bring consolidations. But recovery is expected to be limited below 0.9006 resistance and bring down trend resumption. In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level should now pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside with 82.41 minor resistance intact and current decline from 85.51 is still in progress for 61.8% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 79.88 and below. Nevertheless, above 83.09 will suggest that pull back from 85.51 has completed and would flip bias back to the upside for retesting this resistance. In the bigger picture, with 80.50 support intact, we're still favoring the case that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Above 85.51 will target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. However, note that strong resistance has been seen from the falling 55 weeks EMA and long term falling trend line. That is, there is no confirmation of reversal yet. A break of 80.50 will indicate that rebound from 76.40 was likely just a correction and the long term down trend is still in progress for another low below 76.40. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110426b1.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURUSD Forecast The EURUSD had a significant bullish momentum yesterday, broke above 1.4647 and hit 1.4709 earlier today I Asian session. This strong breakout after sideways movement since Easter could continue the major bullish scenario targeting 1.4800 even 1.5000 region. Immediate support at 1.4647. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.4600 – 1.4575 support area but I think overall the pressure remains strongly to the upside. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y3-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPUSD Forecast The GBPUSD was indecisive yesterday. The bias is neutral in nearest term but overall I think the major scenario remains bullish after the breakout above 1.6400. On h4 chart below we have a bullish flag formation suggests a bullish scenario especially if price breaks above the flag and 1.6550 targeting 1.6700. On the downside, only a clear break back below 1.6400 could diminish the current strong bullish outlook. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t7-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDCHF Forecast The USDCHF had a significant bearish momentum yesterday, broke below 0.8779 and bottomed at 0.8668. The hammer candle stick formation has failed and price may continue its strong bearish scenario from here targeting 0.8600. Immediate resistance at 0.8779 (former support). A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but overall I still prefer a bearish scenario at this phase. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y8-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDJPY Forecast The USDJPY was able to maintain its bearish intraday bias yesterday, bottomed at 81.25 and closed at 81.37. The bias remains bearish in nearest term still targeting 80.85 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 76.21 – 85.51) before testing 79.80 (61.8%% Fibonacci retracement of 76.21 – 85.51). Immediate resistance remains around 82.00. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as direction would become unclear testing 82.50 but overall we are still in a bearish phase. CCI remains in negative territory suggest further downside pressure is potential. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t3-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURJPY Forecast The EURJPY failed to continue its bearish momentum yesterday after unable to make a break below 118.40 support area. From another perspective as you can see on my h1 chart below price is moving in a range area of 120.38 – 118.40 and need a clear break on either side to see clearer direction. A clear break above 120.38 could trigger further bullish pressure testing 121.40 while a clear break below 118.40 could continue the current bearish phase testing 117.00 even 116.00. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...13-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPJPY Forecast The GBPJPY was indecisive yesterday. The bias is neutral in nearest term but as long as price moves below 135.00 the intraday bearish bias remains more to the downside still targeting 133.75 support area in nearest term. On the upside, a clear break above 135.00 could trigger further upside pressure testing 135.90 area http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...16-300x190.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUDUSD Forecast The AUDUSD continue its bullish momentum yesterday, clearly broken above 1.0770 and hit 1.0851 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bullish in nearest term targeting 1.0900 even 1.1000 new historical high projection. Immediate support at 1.0810 followed by 1.0780. A clear break below 1.0780 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but overall the technical bias remains strongly to the upside. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y9-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside for the moment and current rise should extend further towards 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. On the downside, below 1.4492 will turn bias neutral again and bring more consolidations. But after all, retreat is expected to be contained well above 1.4157 support and bring rally resumption. In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBP/USD's consolidations from 1.6598 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral. At this point, we'd still expect retreat to be contained by 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 1.6419) and bring rally resumption. Above 1.6598 will target 100% projection of 1.5935 to 1.6426 from 1.6166 at 1.6657 next and then 100% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6992, which is close to 1.7 psychological level and 1.7043 key resistance. Though, sustained trading below 4 hours 55 EMA will turn focus back to 1.6166 support instead. In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CHF drops to as low as 0.8670 so far today and intraday bias remains on the downside for 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8486. On the upside, above 0.8877 minor resistance will turn bias neutral again and bring consolidations. But recovery is expected to be limited below 0.9006 resistance and bring down trend resumption. In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level should now pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUD/USD's rally resumed after brief consolidations and reaches as high as 1.0850 so far today, inch below mentioned target of 61.8% projection of 0.8315 to 1.0181 from 0.9704 at 1.0857 next. Near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.0675 support holds and sustained trading above 1.0857 will target 1.1 psychological level next. On the downside, though, below 1.0675 will indicate that a short term top is formed after hitting a projection target and should bring pull back to 1.0388/0581 support zone first. In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8066 is part of the up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 and is still in healthy status. AUD/USD is staying comfortably inside medium term rising channel with daily MACD staying above signal line. Current rise should be target 1.1 psychological level next. On the downside, break of 0.9704 support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral and some more consolidations could be seen above 0.9453. But still, upside of recovery should be limited by near term falling trend line resistance (now at 0.9649) and bring fall resumption. Below 0.9453 will extend recent down trend towards 100% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9353. In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and is possibly building up momentum again. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall would now be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
As noted before, GBP/JPY's recovery from 132.98 might have completed at 135.93 after failing 4 hours 55 EMA. Intraday bias is mildly on the downside and retest of 132.98 could be seen. Nevertheless, with 132.96 support intact, we'd still expect rebound from 122.40 to resume sooner or later. Above 135.93 will flip bias back to the upside for a retest on 139.99 resistance first. Break will target 50% retracement of 163.05 to 122.40 at 142.72 next. However, sustained break of 132.96 will dampen this bullish view and would bring deeper decline to 61.8% retracement of 122.40 to 139.99 at 129.11 and below. In the bigger picture, as noted before, choppy fall from 163.05 is treated as second leg of the consolidation pattern that started at 2009 low of 118.81. Such decline should have completed at 122.40. In other words, the third leg of the consolidation should have started and should target 163.05 and possibly above in medium term. We'll stay bullish in the cross as long as 130.17 support holds. However, break of 130.17 will dampen this bullish view and would possibly bring another low below 122.40 before reversal. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
With 82.41 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside and current decline from 85.51 could extend further towards 61.8% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 79.88 and below. Nevertheless, above 83.09 will suggest that pull back from 85.51 has completed and would flip bias back to the upside for retesting this resistance. In the bigger picture, with 80.50 support intact, we're still favoring the case that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Above 85.51 will target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. However, note that strong resistance has been seen from the falling 55 weeks EMA and long term falling trend line. That is, there is no confirmation of reversal yet. A break of 80.50 will indicate that rebound from 76.40 was likely just a correction and the long term down trend is still in progress for another low below 76.40. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427a2.gif |
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