اف اكس ارابيا..الموقع الرائد فى تعليم فوركس Forex

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-   -   تحليل فوركس فني يومي لخمسة أزواج (https://fx-arabia.com/vb/showthread.php?t=3752)

m.youssif 27-04-2011 11:04 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EUR/JPY continues to struggle around 4 hours 55 EMA and intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 120.37 minor resistance will indicate that rebound from 116.46 has resumed. Intraday bias will be flipped back to the upside for 123.31 and then 61.8% retracement of 139.21 to 105.42 at 126.30 next. On the downside, below 118.49 will bring another fall to extend the consolidation from 123.31 but after all, as long as 115.53 support holds, we'd maintain the bullish view to expect rise from 106.57 to resume sooner or later.

In the bigger picture, sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA continues to affirm the case of medium term reversal. That is, whole decline from 2008 high of 169.96 has completed with three waves down to 105.42 already, on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD and RSI. Current rise from 105.42 should extends towards 139.21 resistance (which is close to 50% retracement of 169.96 to 105.42 at 137.69) for confirmation. On the downside, break of 113.54 support, however, will invalidate this bullish view and will turn focus back to 105.42 low instead.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427a2.gif

m.youssif 27-04-2011 11:05 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EUR/GBP's break of 0.8878 minor resistance flips bias back to the upside for 0.8922. Break there will confirm resumption of recent rally and should target 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 next. In any case, we'll stay bullish as long as 0.8713 support holds and expect rise from 0.8284 to resume sooner or later even though consolidations from 0.8922 might extend further.

In the bigger picture, the sustained break of medium term trend line resistance revived the case that correction from 0.9799 has finished with three waves downside to 0.8607 already. The long term up trend that started back in 2000 might be resuming. Further break of 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 will indicate that rise from 0.8067 is likely developing into an impulsive wave and will further affirm this bullish case. EUR/GBP should then target a new high above 0.9799 then. On the downside, however, break of 0.8713 support will argue that whole rise from 0.8284 has possibly finished. This will in turn dampen the bullish view and indicate that price actions from 0.8067 are merely a correction in the larger decline, rather than reversal. Focus will then turn back to 0.8284 support.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427a2.gif

m.youssif 27-04-2011 11:05 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EUR/CHF's fall from 1.2971 was contained above 1.2728 and recovers. Consolidation from 1.2728 might still be in progress and intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment. With 1.2971 resistance intact, we'd favor a break of 1.2728 support eventually. Break of 1.2728 will confirm resumption of fall from 1.3234. Also, this will affirm the view that consolidation from 1.2401 is already finished at 1.3234. In such case, bias will be back on the downside for another low below 1.2401. On the upside, however, above 1.2971 will suggest that fall from 1.3234 has completed and would turn bias back to the upside and bring stronger rebound. Also, this will argue that consolidation pattern from 1.2401 is possibly still in progress.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6287 (2007 high) is still in progress and in any case, medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3833 resistance holds. The current down trend would likely continue through 1.2 psychological level towards 100% projection of 1.5138 to 1.2765 from 1.3833 at 1.1460, which is close to long term projection level at 1.1516. However, break of 1.3833 will confirm medium term bottoming and should bring strong rebound to 1.4315 resistance and above.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427a2.gif

m.youssif 27-04-2011 06:17 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Mid-Day Outlook


EUR/USD reaches as high as 1.4711 so far today and intraday bias remains on the upside for next target of 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. On the downside, below 1.4492 will turn bias neutral again and bring more consolidations. But after all, retreat is expected to be contained well above 1.4157 support and bring rally resumption.

In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427b1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427b2.gif


m.youssif 27-04-2011 06:17 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBP/USD's strong rebound today suggests that consolidations from 1.6598 might have completed at 1.6431 already, ahead of 4 hours 55 EMA as expected. Intraday bias is cautiously on the upside and break of 1.6598 will confirm rally resumption for 100% projection of 1.5935 to 1.6426 from 1.6166 at 1.6657 next and then 100% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6992, which is close to 1.7 psychological level and 1.7043 key resistance. On the downside, though, break of 1.6431 will dampen this bullish view and bring deeper decline towards 1.6166 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427b1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427b2.gif

m.youssif 27-04-2011 06:18 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
With 0.8807 minor resistance intact, current decline in USD/CHF is still expected to continue through 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 towards 100% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8486. On the upside, above 0.8807 minor resistance will turn bias neutral again and bring consolidations. But recovery is expected to be limited below 0.9006 resistance and bring down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level should now pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427b1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427b2.gif

m.youssif 27-04-2011 06:19 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
With 82.41 minor resistance intact, USD/JPY's fall from 85.51 could still extend further and below 81.26 will target 61.8% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 79.88 and below. Nevertheless, above 83.09 will suggest that pull back from 85.51 has completed and would flip bias back to the upside for retesting this resistance.

In the bigger picture, with 80.50 support intact, we're still favoring the case that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Above 85.51 will target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. However, note that strong resistance has been seen from the falling 55 weeks EMA and long term falling trend line. That is, there is no confirmation of reversal yet. A break of 80.50 will indicate that rebound from 76.40 was likely just a correction and the long term down trend is still in progress for another low below 76.40.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427b1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427b2.gif

m.youssif 27-04-2011 06:20 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBP/JPY's break of 135.93 resistance suggests that rebound form 132.98 has resumed and intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 139.99 resistance first. On the downside, below 134.06 will turn bias neutral again and bring more consolidations. But after all, note that with 132.96 support intact, we'd stay bullish and expect rebound from 122.40 to resume sooner or later.

In the bigger picture, as noted before, choppy fall from 163.05 is treated as second leg of the consolidation pattern that started at 2009 low of 118.81. Such decline should have completed at 122.40. In other words, the third leg of the consolidation should have started and should target 163.05 and possibly above in medium term. We'll stay bullish in the cross as long as 130.17 support holds. However, break of 130.17 will dampen this bullish view and would possibly bring another low below 122.40 before reversal.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427b1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427b2.gif

m.youssif 27-04-2011 06:20 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EUR/JPY's break of 120.37 minor resistance suggests that rebound from 116.46 has resumed. Intraday bias is back on the upside for resting 123.31 first. Break will confirm resumption of recent rally towards 61.8% retracement of 139.21 to 105.42 at 126.30 next. On the downside, below 118.49 will bring another fall to extend the consolidation from 123.31 but after all, as long as 115.53 support holds, we'd maintain the bullish view to expect rise from 106.57 to resume sooner or later.

In the bigger picture, sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA continues to affirm the case of medium term reversal. That is, whole decline from 2008 high of 169.96 has completed with three waves down to 105.42 already, on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD and RSI. Current rise from 105.42 should extends towards 139.21 resistance (which is close to 50% retracement of 169.96 to 105.42 at 137.69) for confirmation. On the downside, break of 113.54 support, however, will invalidate this bullish view and will turn focus back to 105.42 low instead.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427b1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110427b2.gif

m.youssif 28-04-2011 10:42 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD attempted to push lower yesterday but again, the previous broken resistance 1.4647 area became a good support before a strong bullish momentum which brought Euro hit 1.4881 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bullish in nearest term testing 1.4900 – 1.5000 this week. Immediate support at 1.4790. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but overall the major scenario remains strongly bullish.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...14-300x190.jpg

m.youssif 28-04-2011 10:43 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD had a significant bullish momentum yesterday after break above the bullish flag formation as you can see on my h4 chart below and hit 1.6745 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 1.6850 area before testing 1.7000. Immediate support at 1.6635. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but overall the technical bias remains strongly to the upside.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t8-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 28-04-2011 10:43 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 0.8833 but further bullish momentum was rejected, closed lower below 0.8779 and hit 0.8686 earlier today in Asian session. This fact keeps the major bearish scenario strong still targeting 0.8600 in nearest term before targeting 0.8500 area. On the upside, only a consistent move above 0.8779 could trigger further upside correction testing 0.8900 but overall the technical bias remains strongly to the downside.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y9-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 28-04-2011 10:44 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY had a bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 82.73 but quickly whipsawed to the downside and hit 81.61 earlier today in Asian session. This fact keep the bearish phase since the fall from 85.51 remains strong especially if price able to make another strong break below 81.61 still targeting 80.85. On the upside, another move back above 82.00 would lead us to neutral zone as intraday direction would become unclear testing 82.50/73 resistance area.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t4-300x190.jpg

m.youssif 28-04-2011 10:45 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY had a strong bullish momentum yesterday after break out above the range area as you can see on my hourly chart below and hit 121.82 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 122.50 – 123.31 resistance area. Immediate support at 121.00 – 120.75 followed by 120.38 (former resistance). A clear break below 120.38 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as direction would become unclear.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...14-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 28-04-2011 10:45 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY had a strong bullish momentum yesterday after a strong break above 135.00 and 135.90, hit 137.03 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bullish in nearest term targeting 137.88 even testing 139.67 especially if price able to make another strong break above 137.00. Note that 137.00 could be a good resistance at this phase and some minor downside pullback might take place but overall my intraday outlook has change to a bullish view as long as price stays above 135.90. A clear break below 135.90 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as direction would become unclear.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...17-300x190.jpg

m.youssif 28-04-2011 10:46 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued its bullish momentum yesterday and hit another new historical high at 1.0946 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bullish in nearest term testing 1.1000 – 1.1050 new historical high projection. Immediate support at 1.0877. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but overall the scenario remains strongly bullish.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...10-300x190.jpg

m.youssif 28-04-2011 10:47 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
AUD/USD soars further to as high as 1.0945 so far today. 61.8% projection of 0.8315 to 1.0181 from 0.9704 at 1.0857 is already met and intraday bias remains on the upside for 1.1 psychological level next. On the downside, break of 1.0773 support is needed to signal short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8066 is part of the up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 and is still in healthy status. AUD/USD is staying comfortably inside medium term rising channel with daily MACD staying above signal line. Current rise should be target 1.1 psychological level next. Break will target 100% projection of 0.8315 to 1.0181 from 0.9704 at 1.1570. On the downside, break of 1.0254 resistance turned support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428a2.gif

m.youssif 28-04-2011 10:51 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USD/CAD's recovery from 0.9453 might have finished at 0.9575 already and intraday bias is cautiously on the downside for 0.9453 first. Break will confirm down trend resumption and should target 100% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9353 next. On the upside, above 0.9575 will bring more consolidation. But in case of stronger recovery, upside of recovery should be limited by near term falling trend line resistance (now at 0.9642) and bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and is possibly building up momentum again. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall would now be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428a2.gif

m.youssif 28-04-2011 11:02 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Despite recovering to 82.76, USD/JPY failed to sustain gain above 4 hours 55 EMA and dips again today. Intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 81.26 will indicate that fall from 85.51 has resumed and would then target 61.8% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 79.88 and below. On the upside, above 82.76 will suggest that pull back from 85.51 has completed and would flip bias back to the upside for retesting this resistance.

In the bigger picture, with 80.50 support intact, we're still favoring the case that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Above 85.51 will target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. However, note that strong resistance has been seen from the falling 55 weeks EMA and long term falling trend line. That is, there is no confirmation of reversal yet. A break of 80.50 will indicate that rebound from 76.40 was likely just a correction and the long term down trend is still in progress for another low below 76.40.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428a2.gif

m.youssif 28-04-2011 03:01 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EUR/USD rises further to as high as 1.4880 so far today and intraday bias remains on the upside for next target of 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. On the downside, below 1.4711 minor support will turn bias neutral again and bring consolidations. But after all, retreat is expected to be contained well above 1.4157 support and bring rally resumption.

In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428a2.gif

m.youssif 28-04-2011 03:03 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBP/USD rises to as high as 1.6744 so far and breaks mentioned target of 100% projection of 1.5935 to 1.6426 from 1.6166 at 1.6657. Intraday bias remains on the upside and further rise should now be seen towards 100% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6992, which is close to 1.7 psychological level and 1.7043 key resistance. On the downside, break of 1.6431 support is needed to signal short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance and above. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428a2.gif

m.youssif 28-04-2011 03:04 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USD/CHF made a temporary low at 0.8670 and turned sideway. Intraday bias is neutral for the moment and come consolidations could be seen. But even in case of recovery, upside should be limited by 0.8895 support turned resistance and bring fall resumption. Break of 0.8670 will target 100% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8486.

In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level should now pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428a2.gif

m.youssif 28-04-2011 03:04 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBP/JPY rises further to 137.01 so far and at this point, intraday bias remains cautiously on the upside for further rises towards 139.99 resistance first. On the downside, below 134.06 will turn bias neutral again and bring more consolidations. But after all, note that with 132.96 support intact, we'd stay bullish and expect rebound from 122.40 to resume sooner or later.

In the bigger picture, as noted before, choppy fall from 163.05 is treated as second leg of the consolidation pattern that started at 2009 low of 118.81. Such decline should have completed at 122.40. In other words, the third leg of the consolidation should have started and should target 163.05 and possibly above in medium term. We'll stay bullish in the cross as long as 130.17 support holds. However, break of 130.17 will dampen this bullish view and would possibly bring another low below 122.40 before reversal.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428a2.gif

m.youssif 28-04-2011 03:05 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EUR/JPY rebounds to as high as 121.82 so far and intraday bias remains on the upside with 120.37 minor support intact. Current rise might still extend further to 123.31 first. Break will confirm resumption of recent rally towards 61.8% retracement of 139.21 to 105.42 at 126.30 next. On the downside, below 120.37 will turn intraday bias neutral first. Break of 118.49 will bring another fall to extend the consolidation from 123.31 but after all, as long as 115.53 support holds, we'd maintain the bullish view to expect rise from 106.57 to resume sooner or later.

In the bigger picture, sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA continues to affirm the case of medium term reversal. That is, whole decline from 2008 high of 169.96 has completed with three waves down to 105.42 already, on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD and RSI. Current rise from 105.42 should extends towards 139.21 resistance (which is close to 50% retracement of 169.96 to 105.42 at 137.69) for confirmation. On the downside, break of 113.54 support, however, will invalidate this bullish view and will turn focus back to 105.42 low instead.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428a2.gif

m.youssif 28-04-2011 03:06 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EUR/GBP rises to 0.8922 but failed to break through this resistance and retreats. Nevertheless, with 0.8845 minor support intact, intraday bias remains mildly on the upside for further rise. Break of 0.8922 will confirm resumption of recent rally and should target 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 next. On the downside, below 0.8845 minor support will turn flip bias back to the downside for another fall to extend the consolidation from 0.8922. But we'll stay bullish as long as 0.8713 support holds and expect rise from 0.8284 to resume sooner or later.

In the bigger picture, the sustained break of medium term trend line resistance revived the case that correction from 0.9799 has finished with three waves downside to 0.8607 already. The long term up trend that started back in 2000 might be resuming. Further break of 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 will indicate that rise from 0.8067 is likely developing into an impulsive wave and will further affirm this bullish case. EUR/GBP should then target a new high above 0.9799 then. On the downside, however, break of 0.8713 support will argue that whole rise from 0.8284 has possibly finished. This will in turn dampen the bullish view and indicate that price actions from 0.8067 are merely a correction in the larger decline, rather than reversal. Focus will then turn back to 0.8284 support.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428a2.gif

m.youssif 28-04-2011 03:06 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidations from 1.2728 continues. Note that with 1.2971 resistance intact, we'd favor a break of 1.2728 support eventually. Break of 1.2728 will confirm resumption of fall from 1.3234. Also, this will affirm the view that consolidation from 1.2401 is already finished at 1.3234. In such case, bias will be back on the downside for another low below 1.2401. On the upside, however, above 1.2971 will suggest that fall from 1.3234 has completed and would turn bias back to the upside and bring stronger rebound. Also, this will argue that consolidation pattern from 1.2401 is possibly still in progress.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6287 (2007 high) is still in progress and in any case, medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3833 resistance holds. The current down trend would likely continue through 1.2 psychological level towards 100% projection of 1.5138 to 1.2765 from 1.3833 at 1.1460, which is close to long term projection level at 1.1516. However, break of 1.3833 will confirm medium term bottoming and should bring strong rebound to 1.4315 resistance and above.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428a2.gif

m.youssif 28-04-2011 07:28 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Mid-Day Outlook


Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside for the moment and further rise should be seen towards 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. On the downside, below 1.4711 minor support will turn bias neutral again and bring consolidations. But, retreat is expected to be contained well above 1.4492 support and bring rally resumption.

In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428b1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428b2.gif

m.youssif 28-04-2011 07:28 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside for the moment and further all should be seen towards 100% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6992, which is close to 1.7 psychological level and 1.7043 key resistance. On the downside, below 1.6618 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But break of 1.6431 support is needed to signal short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance and above. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428b1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428b2.gif

m.youssif 28-04-2011 07:29 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USD/CHF continues to stay in tight range above 0.8670 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral for more consolidations. But even in case of recovery, upside should be limited by 0.8895 support turned resistance and bring fall resumption. Break of 0.8670 will target 100% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8486.

In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level should now pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428b1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428b2.gif

m.youssif 28-04-2011 07:30 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 81.26 will indicate that fall from 85.51 has resumed and would then target 61.8% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 79.88 and below. On the upside, above 82.76 will suggest that pull back from 85.51 has completed and would flip bias back to the upside for retesting this resistance.

In the bigger picture, with 80.50 support intact, we're still favoring the case that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Above 85.51 will target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. However, note that strong resistance has been seen from the falling 55 weeks EMA and long term falling trend line. That is, there is no confirmation of reversal yet. A break of 80.50 will indicate that rebound from 76.40 was likely just a correction and the long term down trend is still in progress for another low below 76.40.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428b1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110428b2.gif

m.youssif 29-04-2011 01:06 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD was able to maintain its bullish bias yesterday. There were some downside pressures but 1.4790 area provided good intraday support so far. The bias remains bullish in nearest term but need another clear break above 1.4881 to continue the bullish scenario targeting 1.5000. On the downside, a consistent move below 1.4790 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.4700 but overall the major outlook remains to the upside.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...15-300x188.jpg

m.youssif 29-04-2011 01:07 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 1.6745 but whipsawed to the downside and closed lower at 1.6643. Overall price is still in a bullish outlook. 1.6635 still provide a good intraday support so far but strong selling activities yesterday force my intraday mode in neutral zone and need a consistent movement at least back above 1.6700 to continue the bullish scenario targeting 1.6850 and 1.7000. On the downside, a clear break below 1.6635 could trigger further bearish correction testing 1.6580 – 1.6500 support area.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y3-300x190.jpg

m.youssif 29-04-2011 01:08 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF attempted to push lower yesterday, bottomed at 0.8686 but further bearish pressure was rejected and closed higher at 0.8729. The bias is neutral in nearest term but still within a context of a strong bearish outlook still targeting 0.8600 – 0.8500 area. Immediate resistance remains around 0.8779 and the upper line of the bearish channel. A clear break above the bearish channel could trigger further upside pullback testing 0.8900 resistance area but I still prefer a bearish scenario at this phase.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...47-300x190.jpg

m.youssif 29-04-2011 01:08 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY had a bearish momentum yesterday and now traded below 81.61 support area suggests the downside pressure remains strong. The bias remains bearish in nearest term still targeting 80.85. Looks like there is a good intraday support around 81.25, but as long as price stays below 82.00 the intraday bias remains to the downside. Another move back above 82.00 would lead us to neutral zone as intraday direction would become unclear testing 82.50/73 resistance area.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t5-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 29-04-2011 01:09 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY was corrected lower yesterday but 120.38 support area still provide a good intraday support as you can see on my h4 chart below. I still prefer a bullish intraday outlook but a break below 120.38 could be a threat to my bullish intraday outlook testing 118.40/00 support area. On the upside we need a clear break above 121.40 to change the intraday bias back to bullish and keep the bullish scenario remains strong testing 121.80 – 122.50 before testing 123.31.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...46-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 29-04-2011 01:10 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY failed to continue its bullish momentum yesterday, fell below 135.90 and now struggling around that area as you can see on my h4 chart below. This fact forces my intraday bias to neutral zone but overall I still prefer a bullish scenario. A clear break below 135.50 would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 134.80 – 134.00 support area. On the upside, we need a clear break at least above 136.50 to keep the upside pressure remains strong testing 137.00 and 139.67


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...19-300x191.jpg

m.youssif 29-04-2011 01:11 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD was able to maintain its bullish bias yesterday. There were some minor downside pullback earlier today in Asian session but 1.0877 still provide a good intraday support. The bias remains bullish in nearest term still targeting new historical high projection around 1.1000 – 1.1050. A clear break below 1.0877 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.0770 – 1.0750 support area but the major scenario remains strongly to the upside.


http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...11-300x188.jpg

m.youssif 29-04-2011 01:23 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
With 1.4711 minor support intact, intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside and further rally is expected to 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. On the downside, below 1.4711 minor support will turn bias neutral again and bring consolidations. But, retreat is expected to be contained well above 1.4492 support and bring rally resumption.

In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429a2.gif

m.youssif 29-04-2011 01:23 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBP/USD's rally lost momentum after hitting 1.6744 and made a temporary top there. Some consolidations could be seen now but downside is expected to be contained by 1.6431 support and bring rally resumption. Above 1.6744 will target 100% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6992, which is close to 1.7 psychological level and 1.7043 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance and above. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429a2.gif

m.youssif 29-04-2011 01:24 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USD/CHF's consolidation from 0.8670 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral. Even in case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 0.8895 support turned resistance and bring fall resumption. Break of 0.8670 will target 100% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8486.

In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level should now pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429a1.gif

http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429a2.gif


الساعة الآن 04:28 PM

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