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رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the upside for the moment and current rally should now extend further to 1.1 psychological level first. On the downside, however, break of 1.0773 support will indicate short term topping, possibly with bearish divergence in 4 hours MACD. In such case, deeper retreat would be seen back to 1.0388/0581 support zone. In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8066 is part of the up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 and is still in healthy status. AUD/USD is staying comfortably inside medium term rising channel with daily MACD staying above signal line. Current rise should be target 1.1 psychological level next. Break will target 100% projection of 0.8315 to 1.0181 from 0.9704 at 1.1570. On the downside, break of 1.0254 resistance turned support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CAD was held above 0.9453 support and recovers and the development suggests that consolidation from there is still in progress. Intraday bias is turned neutral again and stronger recovery might be seen. But upside is still expected to be limited by near term falling trend line resistance (now at 0.9628) and bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.9453 will confirm down trend resumption and should target 100% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9353 next. In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and is possibly building up momentum again. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall would now be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/JPY continues to stay in tight range above 81.26 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 81.26 will indicate that fall from 85.51 has resumed and would then target 61.8% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 79.88 and below. On the upside, above 82.76 will suggest that pull back from 85.51 has completed and would flip bias back to the upside for retesting this resistance. In the bigger picture, with 80.50 support intact, we're still favoring the case that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Above 85.51 will target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. However, note that strong resistance has been seen from the falling 55 weeks EMA and long term falling trend line. That is, there is no confirmation of reversal yet. A break of 80.50 will indicate that rebound from 76.40 was likely just a correction and the long term down trend is still in progress for another low below 76.40. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429a1.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
At this point, GBP/JPY's rebound fro 132.98 is still in favor to continue and intraday bias remains cautiously on the upside for 139.99 resistance first. On the downside, below 134.06 will turn bias neutral again and bring more consolidations. But after all, note that with 132.96 support intact, we'd stay bullish and expect rebound from 122.40 to resume sooner or later. In the bigger picture, as noted before, choppy fall from 163.05 is treated as second leg of the consolidation pattern that started at 2009 low of 118.81. Such decline should have completed at 122.40. In other words, the third leg of the consolidation should have started and should target 163.05 and possibly above in medium term. We'll stay bullish in the cross as long as 130.17 support holds. However, break of 130.17 will dampen this bullish view and would possibly bring another low below 122.40 before reversal. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
With 120.37 minor support intact, current rebound in EUR/JPY is still in favor to continue towards 123.31 resistance. Break will confirm resumption of recent rally towards 61.8% retracement of 139.21 to 105.42 at 126.30 next. On the downside, below 120.37 will turn intraday bias neutral first. Break of 118.49 will bring another fall to extend the consolidation from 123.31. But after all, as long as 115.53 support holds, we'd maintain the bullish view to expect rise from 106.57 to resume sooner or later. In the bigger picture, sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA continues to affirm the case of medium term reversal. That is, whole decline from 2008 high of 169.96 has completed with three waves down to 105.42 already, on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD and RSI. Current rise from 105.42 should extends towards 139.21 resistance (which is close to 50% retracement of 169.96 to 105.42 at 137.69) for confirmation. On the downside, break of 113.54 support, however, will invalidate this bullish view and will turn focus back to 105.42 low instead. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/CHF continues to stay in consolidation above 1.2728 and intraday bias remains neutral. Note that with 1.2971 resistance intact, we'd favor a break of 1.2728 support eventually. Break of 1.2728 will confirm resumption of fall from 1.3234. Also, this will affirm the view that consolidation from 1.2401 is already finished at 1.3234. In such case, bias will be back on the downside for another low below 1.2401. On the upside, however, above 1.2971 will suggest that fall from 1.3234 has completed and would turn bias back to the upside and bring stronger rebound. Also, this will argue that consolidation pattern from 1.2401 is possibly still in progress. In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6287 (2007 high) is still in progress and in any case, medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3833 resistance holds. The current down trend would likely continue through 1.2 psychological level towards 100% projection of 1.5138 to 1.2765 from 1.3833 at 1.1460, which is close to long term projection level at 1.1516. However, break of 1.3833 will confirm medium term bottoming and should bring strong rebound to 1.4315 resistance and above. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
With 0.8845 minor support intact, intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains mildly on the upside for further rally. Break of 0.8922 will confirm resumption of recent rally and should target 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 next. On the downside, below 0.8845 minor support will flip bias back to the downside for another fall to extend the consolidation from 0.8922. But we'll stay bullish as long as 0.8713 support holds and expect rise from 0.8284 to resume sooner or later. In the bigger picture, the sustained break of medium term trend line resistance revived the case that correction from 0.9799 has finished with three waves downside to 0.8607 already. The long term up trend that started back in 2000 might be resuming. Further break of 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 will indicate that rise from 0.8067 is likely developing into an impulsive wave and will further affirm this bullish case. EUR/GBP should then target a new high above 0.9799 then. On the downside, however, break of 0.8713 support will argue that whole rise from 0.8284 has possibly finished. This will in turn dampen the bullish view and indicate that price actions from 0.8067 are merely a correction in the larger decline, rather than reversal. Focus will then turn back to 0.8284 support. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside and further rally is expected to 161.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.3860 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. On the downside, below 1.4772 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But, retreat is expected to be contained above 1.4492 support and bring rally resumption. In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and more consolidations could be seen below 1.6744 temporary top. But downside is expected to be contained by 1.6431 support and bring rally resumption. Above 1.6744 will target 100% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6992, which is close to 1.7 psychological level and 1.7043 key resistance. In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance and above. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CHF's down trend resumes by taking out 0.8670 today and reaches as low as 0.8644 so far in early US session. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 100% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8486. Next. On the upside, above 0.8832 resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of recovery. In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level should now pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/JPY's break of 81.26 indicates that recent fall from 85.51 has resumed and intraday bias is now back on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 79.88 and possibly below. On the upside, above 82.76 will suggest that pull back from 85.51 has completed and would flip bias back to the upside for retesting this resistance instead. In the bigger picture, with 80.50 support intact, we're still favoring the case that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Above 85.51 will target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. However, note that strong resistance has been seen from the falling 55 weeks EMA and long term falling trend line. That is, there is no confirmation of reversal yet. A break of 80.50 will indicate that rebound from 76.40 was likely just a correction and the long term down trend is still in progress for another low below 76.40. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429a1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110429a2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURUSD Weekly Summary: April 30 The EURUSD continued its bullish momentum this week, topped at 1.4881 and closed at 1.4803. Overall the bullish technical bias remains strong at least targeting 1.5000. On h4 chart below we can see price also still maintain its current bullish characteristic where the broken resistances (1.4518, 1.4647, 1.4790) become a good supports. 1.4790 is the key intraday support at this phase and as long as price stays above that area my intraday bias remains more to the upside. A clear break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 1.4647 but as long as price moves inside the bullish channel the major bullish outlook should remain intact. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...16-300x189.jpg Have a great weekend and see you guys next week. |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Weekly Outlook
EUR/USD jumped to as high as 1.4880 last week before making temporary top there and retreats mildly. Initial bias is neutral this week and some consolidations might be seen first. But retreat is expected to be contained by 1.4492 support and bring another rise. Above 1.4880 will target 161.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. In the long term picture, correction from 1.6039 might have completed at 1.1875 already. Meanwhile, up trend from 2000 low of 0.8223 might be resuming. Break of 1.5143 resistance will affirm this case and should pave the wave through 2008 high of 1.6039 to 61.8% projection of 0.8223 to 1.6039 from 1.1875 at 1.6705. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBP/USD rose further to as high as 1.6744 last week and remained strong. Daily MACD's break of down trend line suggests that the pair is gaining momentum again. Hence, while some consolidations might be seen below 1.6744 temporary top initially this week, we'd expect downside to be contained above 1.6431 support and bring another rise. Above 1.6744 will target 100% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6992, which is close to 1.7 psychological level and 1.7043 key resistance. In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation. In the longer term picture, the corrective nature of the multi-decade advance from 1.0463 (85 low) to 2.1161 as well as the impulsive nature of the fall from there suggests that GBP/USD is now in an early stage of a long term down trend. Another low below 1.3503 is anticipated after rebound from 1.3503 is confirmed to be completed. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CHF's down trend continued last week and dropped to new record low of 0.8625. Initial bias remains on the downside this week and further fall should now be seen to 100% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8486 next. On the upside, break of 0.8832 resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of recovery. In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 is already broken and USD/CHF should now target 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. In the longer term picture, long term down trend from 2000 high of 1.8305 is still in progress. There are various interpretation of the price actions. But after all, USD/CHF should be resuming the set of impulsive fall from 1.8305 to 1.1288. The current down trend might now be targeting next projection level of 100% projection of 1.8305 to 1.1288 from 1.3283 at 0.6266. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w2.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w3.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w4.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUD/USD soared to another record high of 1.0976 last week and remained firm. Initial bias remains on the upside this week for 1.1 psychological level first. Sustained break there will pave the way to upper channel resistance at 1.1160 next. On the downside, below 1.0862 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But break of 1.0675 support is needed to signal short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8066 is part of the up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 and is still in healthy status. AUD/USD is staying comfortably inside medium term rising channel with daily MACD staying above signal line. Current rise should be target 100 projection of 0.6008 to 0.9404 from 0.8066 at 1.1462 next. On the downside, break of 1.0254 resistance turned support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. In the longer term picture, long term up trend from 0.4773 (01 low) is still in progress and would possibly target 100% projection of 0.4773 to 0.9849 from 0.6008 at 1.1084. At this point, there is no sign of loss of momentum yet. Sustained trading above this level will target 138.2% projection at 1.3023, which is close to 1.3 psychological level. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w2.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w3.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w4.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USD/CAD's down trend resumed towards the end of last week by breaking 0.9453 low and reached as low as 0.9445. Initial bias will remain on the downside this week for 100% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9353 first. On the upside, break of 0.9757 resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of recovery. In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and is possibly building up momentum again. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall would now be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level. In the longer term picture, firstly, there is no clear indication that the long term down trend from 2002 high of 1.6196 has reversed. Secondly, the medium term fall from 1.3063 is so far looking corrective. Hence, we're slightly favoring the case that price actions from 0.9056 are developing into a long term corrective pattern. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w2.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w3.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Despite brief recovery, USD/JPY's fall from 85.51 extended further to as low as 81.03 last week and remained weak. Initial bias remains on the downside this week and further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 79.88 and below. On the upside, break of 82.76 resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming or outlook will remain bearish even in case of recovery. In the bigger picture, persistent weakness in the pair after hitting 85.51 dampens the bullish view that an important bottom is formed at 76.40. Also, note that strong resistance has been seen from the falling 55 weeks EMA and long term falling trend line. That is, there is no confirmation of reversal yet. Break of 80.50 support will indicate that rebound from 76.40 was likely just a correction and the long term down trend is still in progress for another low below 76.40. In the long term picture, the minimum target of trend resumption, that is, a break of 79.75 low (1995 low) was met. While the rebound to 85.51 was strong, there is no indication of reversal of the multi-decade down trend yet. We'd look at the structure of the rise, as well as whether USD/JPY could take out 100 psychological level before giving favor to the trend reversal case. Otherwise, we'll treat current price actions as part of a long term consolidation pattern at best. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w2.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w3.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w4.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Despite edging higher to 0.8936 last week, EUR/GBP failed to sustain gain there and retreated. Initial bias will be neutral this week for some consolidations. But we'd continue to favor another rise as long as 0.8739 support holds. Above 0.8936 should bring rally resumption towards 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 next. However, break of 0.8379 will indicate that a short term top is at least formed and should bring deeper fall back to 0.8354/8671 support zone instead. In the bigger picture, the sustained break of medium term trend line resistance revived the case that correction from 0.9799 has finished with three waves downside to 0.8607 already. The long term up trend that started back in 2000 might be resuming. Further break of 100% projection of 0.8067 to 0.8940 from 0.8284 at 0.9157 will indicate that rise from 0.8067 is likely developing into an impulsive wave and will further affirm this bullish case. EUR/GBP should then target a new high above 0.9799 then. On the downside, however, break of 0.8739 support will argue that whole rise from 0.8284 has possibly finished. This will in turn dampen the bullish view and indicate that price actions from 0.8067 are merely a correction in the larger decline, rather than reversal. Focus will then turn back to 0.8284 support. In the long term picture, long term up trend from 2000 low of 0.5680 shouldn't be over yet and the choppy fall from 2008 high of 0.9799 should be a correction only. We'd expect such correction to be contained by 0.7963/0.8186 support zone and bring up trend resumption. Rise from 0.5680 is still expected to extend beyond 0.9799 high eventually. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w2.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w3.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w4.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/CHF continued to consolidate in range above 127.28 last week. With 1.2971 resistance intact, there is no change in the bearish view. That is, consolidations from 124.01 is likely finished with three waves up to 1.3234 already. Fall from there is still in progress and below 1.2728 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2401 and below. On the upside, however, above 1.2971 will suggest that fall from 1.3234 has completed and would turn bias back to the upside and bring stronger rebound. Also, this will argue that consolidation pattern from 1.2401 is possibly still in progress. In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6287 (2007 high) is still in progress and in any case, medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3833 resistance holds. The current down trend would likely continue through 1.2 psychological level towards 100% projection of 1.5138 to 1.2765 from 1.3833 at 1.1460, which is close to long term projection level at 1.1516. However, break of 1.3833 will confirm medium term bottoming and should bring strong rebound to 1.4315 resistance and above. In the long term picture, fall from 1.6827 should be resuming whole down trend from 1993 high of 1.8234. Sustained trading below 1.3 psychological level will send the cross further lower to 138.2% projection of 1.8234 to 1.4391 from 1.6827 at 1.1516. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w2.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w3.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w4.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EUR/JPY's rebound from 116.46 extended to 121.82 last week but lost momentum since then. With 4 hours MACD crossed below signal line, initial bias is neutral this week. Another rise remains in favor as long as 118.49 minor support holds and above 121.81 will bring another rally to 123.31 resistance first. Break will confirm that whole rebound from 106.57 has resumed and should target 61.8% retracement of 139.21 to 105.42 at 126.30 next. Below 118.49 will bring another fall to extend the correction from 123.31. But after all, stay bullish in the cross as long as 113.54 support holds and expect rise from 106.57 to resume eventually. Though, break there will dampen this view and will bring deeper decline towards 106.57 low instead. In the bigger picture, sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA continues to affirm the case of medium term reversal. That is, whole decline from 2008 high of 169.96 has completed with three waves down to 105.42 already, on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD and RSI. Current rise from 105.42 should extends towards 139.21 resistance (which is close to 50% retracement of 169.96 to 105.42 at 137.69) for confirmation. On the downside, break of 113.54 support, however, will invalidate this bullish view and will turn focus back to 105.42 low instead. In the long term picture, up trend from 88.96 (00 low) has completed at 169.96 and made a long term top there. Based on the five wave structure of the rise from 88.96 to 169.96, we're favoring that fall from 169.96 is corrective in nature. While the correction from 169.96 should have completed at 105.42 already, it's early to conclude up trend resumption yet and we'll look at the structure of the rise from 105.42 to determine the chance of breaking 169.96 high with the current rally. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w2.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w3.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w4.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBP/JPY recovered to 137.01 last week before losing momentum and retreated from there. With 4 hours MACD staying below signal line, initial bias will be neutral this week. But we'd favor another rise as long as 134.06 minor support holds. ABove 137.01 will bring another rise to retest 139.99 resistance first. Below 134.06 will bring deeper fall to extend the correction from 139.99. But after all, we'd stay cautiously bullish as long as 130.17 support holds and expect rise from 122.40 to resume eventually. However, sustained break of 130.17 will dampen this view and turn focus back to 122.40 low instead. In the bigger picture, as noted before, choppy fall from 163.05 is treated as second leg of the consolidation pattern that started at 2009 low of 118.81. Such decline should have completed at 122.40. In other words, the third leg of the consolidation should have started and should target 163.05 and possibly above in medium term. We'll stay bullish in the cross as long as 130.17 support holds. However, break of 130.17 will dampen this bullish view and would possibly bring another low below 122.40 before reversal. In the longer term picture, fall from 251.09 is treated as resumption of multi decade down trend. Note that the fall from 215.87 is not treated as the fifth wave, but the third wave inside the third wave that started at 241.35. Another long term decline is still expected after completion of the correction/consolidation from 118.81, towards 100 psychological level. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w2.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w3.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110430w4.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPUSD Forecast The GBPUSD attempted to push higher earlier today in Asian session, topped at 1.6737 but whipsawed to the downside and hit 1.6649 at the time I wrote this comment. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 1.6630/20 support area which could provide a good intraday support. A clear break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 1.6550 support area but overall the major scenario remains to the upside, targeting 1.6850 – 1.7000 and any downside pressure at this phase should be seen just as a consolidation/correction movement. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...ly-300x190.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDCHF Forecast The USDCHF continued its bearish bias on Friday bottomed at 0.8624 but corrected higher earlier today in Asian session and hit 0.8695. The bias is neutral in nearest term but overall the scenario remains strongly to the downside as long as price moves inside the bearish channel as you can see on my h4 chart below. Immediate resistance at 0.8746 – 0.8779. On the downside we need a clear break below 0.8624 to continue the bearish scenario testing 0.8600 – 0.8500 support area. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...h4-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDJPY Forecast The USDJPY was corrected higher earlier today in Asian session and hit 81.68. The bias is neutral in nearest term but as long as price stays below 82.00 the overall intraday bias remains to the downside, still targeting 80.85 – 79.80 support area. A clear break above 82.00 could be a threat to the current bearish outlook testing 82.50/73 resistance area. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...rt-300x188.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURJPY Forecast The EURJPY continued its bearish bias on Friday, slipped below 120.38 but unable to stay below that area so far. Key intraday support provided by the trend line support (white) as you can see on my hourly chart below. A consistent move below 120.38 and violation to the trend line support could continue the bearish pressure testing 118.40/00 support area. On the upside, immediate resistance at 121.00. We need a clear break above that area to keep the bullish outlook intact testing 121.80 – 123.31 resistance area. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...h1-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPJPY Forecast The GBPJPY was indecisive on Friday. Price slipped below 135.50 but unable to stay below that area so far. The bias is neutral in nearest term. As long as price stays below 135.90 the intraday bias is more to the downside testing 134.70/20. As long as price moves inside the bullish channel I still prefer a bullish scenario at this phase but would need a consistent movement at least back above 136.00 to keep the bullish scenario remains strong testing 137.00 – 139.67 this week. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...h1-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
AUDUSD Forecast The AUDUSD made another new historical high earlier today in Asian session at 1.1009 but corrected lower around 1.0940 at the time I wrote this comment. The bias is neutral in nearest term but overall price is still in a strong bullish outlook aiming for another new historical high projection around 1.1050 – 1.1100. On the downside, only a clear break below 1.0877 could trigger further significant bearish correction but overall my technical bias remains strongly bullish. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...ly-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURUSD Forecast The EURUSD attempted to push higher earlier today in Asian session, topped at 1.4862 but further upside pressure is limited so far. On h1 chart below we can see price is moving in range area of 1.4881 – 1.4767. The major scenario remains to the upside but need a clear break above 1.4881 to continue the bullish scenario at least targeting 1.5000. On the downside, a clear break below 1.4767 would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 1.4647 but overall I still prefer a bullish scenario as the major bullish trend remains intact and any bearish pressure at this phase should be seen only as a consolidation/correction movement. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y1-300x190.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
متابعة متميزة ومجهود جميل أخى العزيز وتحليلات رائعة
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رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
Mid-Day Outlook
EUR/USD continues to stay in tight range below 1.4880 and intraday bias remains neutral. More consolidations could be seen with risk of deeper retreat. But downside is expected to be contained by 1.4492 support and bring another rise. Above 1.4880 will target 161.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110502b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110502b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBP/USD continues to stay in tight range below 1.6744 and intraday bias remains neutral. Some more sideway trading might be seen but we'd expect retreat to be contained above 1.6431 support and bring another rise. Above 1.6744 will target 100% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6992, which is close to 1.7 psychological level and 1.7043 key resistance. In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110502b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110502b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
No change in USD/CHF's outlook. With 0.8759 minor resistance intact, intraday bias remains on the downside and further fall should be seen towards 100% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8486 next. On the upside, above 0.8759 will turn bias neutral and bring recovery. But upside should be limited by 0.8895 support turned resistance and bring fall resumption. In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 is already broken and USD/CHF should now target 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110502b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110502b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
No change in USD/JPY's outlook. With 82.75 resistance intact, fall from 85.51 is still expected to continue towards 61.8% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 79.88 and below. On the upside, though, break of 82.76 will indicate that fall from 85.51 has completed and would flip bias back for the upside for retesting this resistance instead. In the bigger picture, persistent weakness in the pair after hitting 85.51 dampens the bullish view that an important bottom is formed at 76.40. Also, note that strong resistance has been seen from the falling 55 weeks EMA and long term falling trend line. That is, there is no confirmation of reversal yet. Break of 80.50 support will indicate that rebound from 76.40 was likely just a correction and the long term down trend is still in progress for another low below 76.40. http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110502b1.gif http://www.actionforex.com/images/st...20110502b2.gif |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURUSD Forecast The EURUSD slipped above the range area yesterday as you can see on my hourly chart below, topped at 1.4901 but further bullish momentum was rejected and closed lower at 1.4793. There are no changes in my daily technical outlook. The major scenario remains bullish but still in consolidation phase and need a clear break from the range area to see clearer intraday direction. I still prefer a bullish scenario and expect an upside break out still targeting 1.5000, but a clear break below 1.4767 could trigger further downside pullback testing 1.4647 support area. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y2-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPUSD Forecast The GBPUSD continued its bearish correction earlier today in Asian session, fell below 1.6630/20 support area and hit 1.6584. The bias remains bearish in nearest term especially if price able to make another break below 1.6584 testing 1.6550 – 1.6500 support area. Immediate resistance at 1.6650. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but would keep the major bullish scenario remains strong testing 1.6737 before testing 1.6850 resistance area. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...rt-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDCHF Forecast The USDCHF was indecisive yesterday. There are no changes in my daily technical outlook. The bias remains neutral in nearest term. The major scenario remains strongly bearish but looks like we have a good intraday support around 0.8624 and need a clear break below that area to continue the bearish scenario targeting 0.8500. On the upside, only a clear break above 0.8779 and violation to the bearish channel can be a threat to the current strong major bearish outlook. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...41-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
USDJPY Forecast The USDJPY was indecisive yesterday, made a Doji on daily chart but overall still able to maintain its bearish intraday bias and now testing 80.85 support area, which is the 50% Fibonacci retracement of 76.21 – 85.51. A clear break below 80.85 could trigger further bearish pressure testing 79.80 (61.8%). Immediate resistance at 81.40. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but as long as price stays below 82.00 my intraday bias remains more to the downside. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t1-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
EURJPY Forecast The EURJPY attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 121.02 but whipsawed to the downside and hit 119.74 earlier today in Asian session. On hourly chart below we can see the trend line support has been broken to the downside suggests potential further bearish pressure testing 119.50 – 118.40 support area. On the upside, immediate resistance at 120.38 (former support). A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as direction would become unclear testing 121.00 resistance area. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...12-300x189.jpg |
رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
GBPJPY Forecast The GBPJPY continued its bearish pressure yesterday and hit 134.37 earlier today in Asian session. On hourly chart below we can see the bullish channel has been violated to the downside suggests a serious threat to the major bullish outlook. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 133.75 – 132.97. Immediate resistance at 135.00. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 135.90 but would keep the major bullish scenario intact. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...11-300x189.jpg |
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