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m.youssif 10-05-2011 09:46 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD attempted to push lower yesterday, hit my intraday bearish target around 1.6280, but further bearish pressure was rejected and closed significantly higher at 1.6405. The bias is neutral in nearest term but as long as price moves outside the bullish channel and below 1.6425/50 resistance area the bearish phase should remain intact. Immediate support at 1.6340. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias back to bearish again retesting 1.6280. Below 1.6280, there is a support around 1.6164 to be tested. On the upside, a clear break above 1.6450 would halt the short term bearish outlook, but I think we need a clear break at least back above 1.6600 to end the current bearish correction and keep the major bullish scenario strong.
http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t2-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 10-05-2011 09:46 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF bullish correction was paused yesterday, but 0.8710 still provided a good intraday support so far. Looks like price trapped in a range area of 0.8779 – 0.8710 and need a clear break on either side to see clearer intraday bias. A clear break above 0.8779 could continue the bullish correction testing 0.8900 while a clear break below 0.8710 could trigger further downside pressure testing 0.8624. The major bearish scenario remains intact but I think we would need a clear break below 0.8555 to end the bullish correction phase and continue the major bearish scenario.
http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...46-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 10-05-2011 09:47 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY had a bearish momentum yesterday after unable to make a clear break above 80.85. On hourly chart below we can see price still trapped in range area of 80.85 – 79.80 (50% – 61.8%) and need a clear break on either side to see clearer intraday bias. I still prefer a bearish scenario at this phase and expect a clear break below 79.80 testing 78.24 even 76.21. On the upside, a clear break above 80.85 could trigger further bullish pressure testing 82.00 but only a clear break back above 82.00 could be a threat to the current short term strong bearish outlook.
http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t6-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 10-05-2011 09:48 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY continued its bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 115.01 and closed at 115.18. The bias remains bearish in nearest term still targeting 114.00. Immediate resistance remains around 116.35. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 117.00/50 resistance area.
http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y2-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 10-05-2011 09:48 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY had a bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 131.21 but traded higher earlier today in Asian session and hit 131.92. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Potential range area between 132.97 – 130.20 but as long as price stays below 132.97 I still prefer a bearish scenario at this phase. A clear break above 132.97 would halt the current strong bearish outlook testing 134.00/25 resistance area. On the downside, a clear break below 130.20 could continue the bearish scenario testing 128.45 support area even lower. http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...44-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 10-05-2011 09:49 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD had a moderate bullish momentum yesterday. There are no significant movement so far and price still struggling around 0.0770. The bias remains neutral in nearest term. Although the bearish pressure seems losing its momentum now, we need a clear break at least above 1.0877 to end the current bearish correction phase and continue the major bullish scenario retesting 1.1010 even aiming for new historical high projection. Immediate support at 1.0700. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish retesting 1.0581 key support area.
http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...41-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 10-05-2011 11:04 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
At this point, further decline is still in favor in EUR/GBP as long as 0.8817 minor resistance holds. Sustained break of 0.8739 support will argue that whole rise from 0.8284 has completed and deeper fall could then be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.8284 to 0.9041 at 0.8573 first. On the upside, above 0.8817 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring recovery first. But break of 0.9041 is needed confirm rise resumption. Otherwise, risk of another fall remains.
In the bigger picture, the sharp reversal last week raises the possibility that rebound from 0.8067 has completed with three waves up to 0.9041. The corrective structure will in turn indicate that correction from 0.9799 is still in progress for another low below 0.8067 before completed. Break of 0.8671 support will affirm this case and target a test on 0.8067/8284 support zone next. Nevertheless, break of 0.9041 again will re-affirm the case that medium term correction from 0.9799 has completed with three waves downside to 0.8607 already. In such case, the long term up trend that started back in 2000 might be resuming for another high above 0.9799.

m.youssif 10-05-2011 11:05 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside with 1.2628 minor resistance intact and further decline should be seen to 1.2401/32 support zone. As noted before, consolidation pattern from 1.2401 should have completed at 1.3234 already and fall from there is resuming the larger down trend. Break of 1.2401 will target 161.8% projection of 1.3234 to 1.2728 from 1.2961 at 1.2142 next. On the upside, above 1.2628 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring recovery. But upside should be limited below 1.2971 resistance and bring fall resumption.
In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6287 (2007 high) is still in progress and in any case, medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3833 resistance holds. The current down trend would likely continue through 1.2 psychological level towards long term projection level at 1.1516. However, break of 1.3833 will confirm medium term bottoming and should bring strong rebound to 1.4315 resistance and above.

m.youssif 10-05-2011 11:06 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Further decline could still be seen in GBP/JPY with 134.23 minor resistance intact. Focus will remain on 130.17 cluster support (100% projection of 139.99 to 132.98 from 137.01 at 130.00). Decisive break there will suggest that whole rebound from 122.40 has completed already and will bring deeper fall to retest this low. Meanwhile, strong support from 130.00/17 and rebound will retain the bullish case that rise from 122.40 is still in progress. Above 134.23 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. Further break of 137.01 resistance will flip bias back to the upside for 139.99 and above.
In the bigger picture, as noted before, choppy fall from 163.05 is treated as second leg of the consolidation pattern that started at 2009 low of 118.81. Question remain on whether such decline has completed at 122.40 already. We'll remain cautiously bullish on the cross as long as 130.17 support holds and expect rise from 122.40 to resume sooner or later towards 163.05 or above. However, sustained break of 130.17 will indicate that another low below 122.40 would be seen before GBP/JPY finally reverses.

m.youssif 10-05-2011 11:06 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EUR/JPY dips further to as low as 114.79 so far and met mentioned 100% projection of 123.31 to 116.46 from 121.82 at 114.97, 50% retracement of 106.57 to 123.31 at 114.94. Further decline is still in favor with 117.57 minor resistance intact and focus will remain on 113.54 support. Decisive break there will indicate that whole rebound from 106.57 has completed at 123.31 already and will bring deeper fall to retest this low next. Though, strong rebound above there, will retain the bullish case that rebound from 106.57 is still in progress. Above 117.57 will flip bias back to the upside for 121.82 resistance first.
In the bigger picture, as long as 1113.54 support holds, we'd still slightly favor the bullish case that EUR/JPY has bottomed out in the longer term at 105.42 already. A break of 123.31 should pave the way to 139.21 resistance (which is close to 50% retracement of 169.96 to 105.42 at 137.69) to confirm completion of whole down trend from 2008 high of 169.96. However, break of 105.42 will invalidate this bullish case and indicate that down trend from 169.96 is still in progress for another low below 105.42 before reversal.

m.youssif 10-05-2011 11:07 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USD/JPY's consolidation from 79.58 temporary is still in progress and further recovery could be seen. But still, upside is expected to be limited by 82.76 resistance and bring resumption of fall from 85.51. Below 80.15 minor support will flip bias back to the downside and would target a retest on 76.40 low. Nevertheless, break of 82.76 resistance will turn focus back to 85.51 resistance instead.
In the bigger picture, note that USD/JPY's rebound from 76.40 was held by medium term long term falling trend line as well as the 55 weeks EMA. Thus, down trend from 124.13 could still be in progress. Current fall from 85.51 might now extend through 76.40 for a new record low. In any case, break of 85.51 is now needed to revive the case that USD/JPY's down trend has finished. Otherwise, we'll stay cautiously bearish in the pair.

m.youssif 10-05-2011 11:07 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Further decline is still mildly in favor in EUR/USD with 1.4440 minor resistance intact and current fall from 1.4938 could extend to 1.4157 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2873 to 1.4938 at 1.4149). But downside should be contained there and bring rise resumption. Above 1.4440 minor resistance will flip bias back to the upside for retesting 1.4938 resistance first.
In the bigger picture, while the fall from 1.4938 was steep and deep, there is no indicate of trend reversal yet. Rise from 1.2873 is still expected to resume sooner or later towards 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. However note that sustained break of 1.4157 cluster support will suggest that rise from 1.2873 has finished and deeper fall could be seen to lower trend line support (now at 1.3393). Sustained break there will invalidate the bullish view and open up the case for a retest of 1.1875 low.

m.youssif 10-05-2011 11:08 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBP/USD's break of 1.6406 minor resistance suggests that a temporary low is in place at 1.6269 and intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment. Nevertheless, another fall is still expected as long as 1.6573 resistance holds. Below 1.6269 will target 1.6166 support first.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.

m.youssif 10-05-2011 11:09 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USD/CHF's recovery from 0.8552 short term low is still in progress for 38.2% retracement of 0.9399 to 0.8552 at 0.8853. But after all, upside is expected to be limited by 0.8895 support turned resistance and bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below 0.8707 minor support will flip bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8552 support first.
In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 is already broken and USD/CHF should now target 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

m.youssif 10-05-2011 01:50 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
No change in AUD/USD's outlook. Consolidation from 1.1010 is still in progress and could extend further with another fall. Below 1.0536 will turn bias to the downside again and bring fall resumption towards 50% retracement of 0.9704 to 1.1010 at 1.0357. On the upside, break of 1.1010 will confirm up trend resumption and should target upper channel resistance at 1.1218.
In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8066 is part of the up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 and is still in healthy status. AUD/USD is staying comfortably inside medium term rising channel. Current rise should target 100% projection of 0.6008 to 0.9404 from 0.8066 at 1.1462 next. On the downside, break of 1.0254 resistance turned support will, however, suggest that 1.1010 is a medium top and in such case, deeper decline would be seen towards 0.9404 support to correct the whole up trend from 0.6008.

m.youssif 10-05-2011 01:51 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
No change in USD/CAD's outlook. Further rise is still in favor with 0.9567 minor support intact, towards near term falling channel resistance (now at 0.9761). On the downside, below 0.9567 minor support will flip bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9444. But break of 0.9444 is needed to confirm down trend resumption. Otherwise, we'll stay neural and expect more consolidations first.
In the bigger picture, medium term down trend from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds. Further fall would be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level. Meanwhile, sustained break of 0.9972 will suggest that USD/CAD has indeed bottomed out already and should bring stronger rally towards 55 weeks EMA (now at 1.0063) first.

m.youssif 10-05-2011 05:44 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Mid-Day Outlook


EUR/USD might have formed a temporary low at 1.4254 but another fall will remain in favor as long as 1.4440 minor resistance holds. But focus will remain on 1.4157 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2873 to 1.4938 at 1.4149). We'd still expect pull back from 1.4938 to be contained there and bring up trend resumption. Above 1.4440 minor resistance will flip bias back to the upside for retesting 1.4938 resistance first. However, sustained break of 1.4157 will bring deeper decline towards medium term channel at 1.3429 instead.
In the bigger picture, while the fall from 1.4938 was steep and deep, there is no indicate of trend reversal yet. Rise from 1.2873 is still expected to resume sooner or later towards 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. However note that sustained break of 1.4157 cluster support will suggest that rise from 1.2873 has finished and deeper fall could be seen to lower trend line support (now at 1.3393). Sustained break there will invalidate the bullish view and open up the case for a retest of 1.1875 low.

m.youssif 11-05-2011 08:47 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD had another volatile but indecisive market yesterday, made another Doji on daily chart. The bias remains neutral in nearest term. Overall price is still in a bearish phase since the fall from 1.4939 but we have a violated falling wedge formation as you can see on my hourly chart below suggests potential threat to the current short term strong bearish outlook testing 1.4518 resistance area ( 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.4939 – 1.4253) especially if price able to move consistently above 1.4415/38 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement of 1.4939 – 1.4253). Immediate support at 1.4320. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 1.4253 support area and keep the bearish phase testing 1.4150 – 1.4000 intact.
http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y5-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 11-05-2011 08:47 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD was able to maintain its bearish bias yesterday and found a good intraday resistance around 1.6425 and still moves below the bullish channel. However, I think the bias remains neutral in nearest term as price might be in a consolidation phase and need a clear break below 1.6280 to continue the bearish scenario testing 1.6164. On the upside, 1.6425/50 remains a key resistance and a clear break above that area could continue the bullish pressure testing 1.6600.
http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t3-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 11-05-2011 08:49 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF continued its bullish correction yesterday, broke above 0.8779 and topped at 0.8822. This fact could continue the bullish correction scenario targeting 0.8900 in nearest term. On the downside, another move below 0.8779 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 0.8710 and may keep price in a sideways condition. The major bearish scenario remains intact but would need a clear break below 0.8555 to continue the bearish scenario.
http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...47-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 11-05-2011 08:50 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY had a bullish momentum yesterday and now struggling around 80.85 resistance area. On h4 chart below we have an ascending triangle formation suggests potential upside scenario especially if price able to move consistently above 80.85 testing 82.00 key resistance area. The bearish outlook since the fall from 85.51 remains intact but need a clear break below 79.80 to continue the bearish scenario testing 78.24 even 76.21.
http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t7-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 11-05-2011 08:50 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY failed to continue its bearish bias yesterday and now traded above 116.00 resistance area. The bias is bullish in nearest term especially if price able to make a clear break above the minor trend line resistance (red) and 116.88 testing 117.50 even 119.25 resistance area. However, as long as price moves below the major trend line resistance (white) the bearish scenario since the fall from 123.31 should remain intact. On the downside, another move back below 116.00 would keep the bearish scenario remains strong testing 114.00 support area.
http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...h4-300x190.jpg

m.youssif 11-05-2011 08:51 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY had a bullish momentum yesterday on broad Yen weakness but still trapped in the range area. There are no changes in my daily technical outlook and as long as price stays below 132.97 I still prefer a bearish scenario at this phase. A clear break above 132.97 could trigger further bullish pressure testing 134.00. Immediate support at 131.50 followed by 130.20.
http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...45-300x190.jpg

m.youssif 11-05-2011 08:52 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued its bullish momentum yesterday and now seems ready to test 1.0877 resistance area. The bias is bullish in nearest term especially if price able to make a clear break above 1.0877 targeting 1.1010 which could end the bearish correction phase after the failure to make a clear break below 1.0581, aiming for another new historical high projection. Immediate support at 1.0770. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish retesting 1.0581 key support area and keep the bearish correction outlook intact.
http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...42-300x190.jpg

m.youssif 11-05-2011 07:58 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
Mid-Day Outlook


No change in EUR/USD's outlook. Another fall is still in favor with 1.4440 minor resistance intact. But focus will remain on 1.4157 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2873 to 1.4938 at 1.4149). We'd still expect pull back from 1.4938 to be contained there and bring up trend resumption. Above 1.4440 minor resistance will flip bias back to the upside for retesting 1.4938 resistance first. However, sustained break of 1.4157 will bring deeper decline towards medium term channel at 1.3429 instead.
In the bigger picture, while the fall from 1.4938 was steep and deep, there is no indicate of trend reversal yet. Rise from 1.2873 is still expected to resume sooner or later towards 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. However note that sustained break of 1.4157 cluster support will suggest that rise from 1.2873 has finished and deeper fall could be seen to lower trend line support (now at 1.3393). Sustained break there will invalidate the bullish view and open up the case for a retest of 1.1875 low.

m.youssif 11-05-2011 07:58 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBP/USD's rebounds to as high as 1.6515 so far today but upside is still limited below 1.6573 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral. Another fall is still in favor with 1.6573 resistance intact. Below 1.6269 will resume the whole decline from 1.6744 to 1.6166 support first. Break will target 1.5935 key near term support next. However, above 1.6573 will indicate that fall from 1.6744 is finished and will bring stronger rally to retest this resistance instead.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.

m.youssif 11-05-2011 07:59 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USD/CHF's rebound from 0.8552 is still in progress and reaches as high as 0.8848 so far in early US session, just inch below mentioned 38.2% retracement of 0.9399 to 0.8552 at 0.8853. Further rise could still be seen with 0.8707 minor support intact but upside is expected to be limited by 0.8895 support turned resistance and bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below 0.8707 minor support will flip bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8552 support first.
In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 is already broken and USD/CHF should now target 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

m.youssif 11-05-2011 07:59 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USD/JPY rises further to 81.31 so far in early US session and recovery from 79.58 is still in progress Nevertheless, upside is expected to be limited by 82.76 resistance and bring resumption of fall from 85.51. Below 80.15 minor support will flip bias back to the downside and would target a retest on 76.40 low. Nevertheless, break of 82.76 resistance will turn focus back to 85.51 resistance instead.
In the bigger picture, note that USD/JPY's rebound from 76.40 was held by medium term long term falling trend line as well as the 55 weeks EMA. Thus, down trend from 124.13 could still be in progress. Current fall from 85.51 might now extend through 76.40 for a new record low. In any case, break of 85.51 is now needed to revive the case that USD/JPY's down trend has finished. Otherwise, we'll stay cautiously bearish in the pair.

m.youssif 11-05-2011 08:00 PM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBP/JPY's strong rebound from 130.88 today suggests that correction from 139.99 might be completed at 130.88, ahead of mentioned 130.17 cluster support (100% projection of 139.99 to 132.98 from 137.01 at 130.00). Intraday bias is cautiously on the upside for the moment. Break of 134.23 minor resistance will affirm this case and target 137.01. Further break there should resume rebound from 122.40 to 139.99 and above. On the downside, we'd still favor the case of further rally as long as 130.17 cluster support holds. Nevertheless, decisive break of 130.17 will indicate that whole rebound from 122.40 has completed already and will bring deeper fall to retest this low.
In the bigger picture, as noted before, choppy fall from 163.05 is treated as second leg of the consolidation pattern that started at 2009 low of 118.81. Question remains on whether such decline has completed at 122.40 already. We'll remain cautiously bullish on the cross as long as 130.17 support holds and expect rise from 122.40 to resume sooner or later towards 163.05 or above. However, sustained break of 130.17 will indicate that another low below 122.40 would be seen before GBP/JPY finally reverses.

m.youssif 12-05-2011 08:42 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD continued its bearish momentum yesterday after unable to make a clear break above 1.4415/38 resistance area, bottomed at 1.4171 and closed at 1.4206. The bias is bearish in nearest term especially if price able to make another clear/strong break below 1.4171/50 targeting 1.4000. Since the fall from 1.4939 we have been seeing important supports were broken one by one by strong bearish pressure and so far there is no sign of Euro recovery and no significant support until 1.4000. Immediate resistance at 1.4250/80. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but only a clear break at least above 1.4500 could stop/pause the current strong bearish outlook.
http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t1-300x188.jpg

m.youssif 12-05-2011 08:43 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD was volatile but indecisive yesterday. Price broke above 1.6425/50 resistance area, topped at 1.6516 but whipsawed to the downside and closed at 1.6365. The bias remains neutral in nearest term, but yesterday’s bullish failure with strong selling activities should give us more downside intraday bias testing 1.6280. A clear break below that area would trigger further bearish pressure testing 1.6164 even would drag my attention to further bearish outlook toward 1.6000. On the upside, another move above 1.6425/50 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as direction would become unclear but only a clear break above 1.6600 would be a threat to the current bearish outlook.
http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t4-300x188.jpg

m.youssif 12-05-2011 08:44 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF continued its bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 0.8882 and closed at 0.8860. Former resistance 0.8779 provided a good intraday support as you can see on my h4 chart below. The bias remains bullish in nearest term testing 0.8900. A clear break above that area would trigger further bullish momentum targeting 0.9000. On the downside, only a clear break back below 0.8779 could halt the current strong bullish intraday outlook since the violation to the major bearish channel.
http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...48-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 12-05-2011 08:44 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY was indecisive yesterday, made a Doji on daily chart, but so far still able to maintain its bullish intraday bias by moving above 80.85 and the ascending triangle formation as you can see on my h4 chart below suggests further potential bullish pullback testing 82.00. Another move back below 80.85 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but we need a clear break below 79.80 to continue the bearish scenario since the fall from 85.51.
http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...t8-300x190.jpg

m.youssif 12-05-2011 08:45 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY had a significant bearish momentum yesterday, erased all bullish momentum on Tuesday and now traded back below 116.00 suggests potential bearish continuation, still targeting 114.00 in nearest term. Another clear break above 116.00 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as direction would become unclear and might lead us to a sideways intraday condition. On the upside, we need a clear break at least above 117.00 to halt the current strong bearish intraday outlook. CCI relatively in negative area on hourly, h4 and daily chart suggests a bearish view.
http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y3-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 12-05-2011 08:45 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY was volatile but indecisive yesterday, made a Doji on daily chart. Price attempted to push higher, broke above 132.97, but whipsawed to the downside after found resistance around 134.00. The bias remains neutral in nearest term as direction still unclear and my wait and see mode is now activated. Immediate support at 132.40. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 131.80 and reopen the door for another downside scenario testing 130.20. On the upside, a clear break above 134.00/25 could trigger further bullish momentum testing 135.00.
http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...ly-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 12-05-2011 08:46 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD had a significant bearish momentum yesterday after failed to make a clear break above 1.0877, break below 1.0770 and hit 1.0585 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term but note that 1.0581/40 still considered as a strong intraday support and need a clear break below that area to continue the bearish pressure testing 1.0440 support area. Immediate resistance at 1.0704 (current high). A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as direction would become unclear but as long as price stays below 1.0877 the bearish phase should remain intact.
http://fxisite.fxinstructorllc.netdn...y5-300x189.jpg

m.youssif 12-05-2011 10:47 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
EUR/USD's fall from 1.4938 extended further to as low as 1.4172 but is still holding above 1.4157 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2873 to 1.4938 at 1.4149). At this point, we'd still expect downside to be contained by this 1.4149/57 support level and bring rebound. Above 1.4422 minor resistance will flip bias back to the upside for retesting 1.4938 high first. However, sustained break of 1.4157 will indicate that whole rise from 1.2873 is finished and should bring deeper decline towards medium term channel at 1.3445 instead.
In the bigger picture, while the fall from 1.4938 was steep and deep, there is no indicate of trend reversal yet. Rise from 1.2873 is still expected to resume sooner or later towards 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. However note that sustained break of 1.4157 cluster support will suggest that rise from 1.2873 has finished and deeper fall could be seen to lower trend line support (now at 1.3393). Sustained break there will invalidate the bullish view and open up the case for a retest of 1.1875 low.

m.youssif 12-05-2011 10:48 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
GBP/USD's recovery was brief and was limited at 1.6515 and weakens again. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. As noted before, with 1.6573 minor resistance intact, another fall remains in favor. Below 1.6269 will resume the whole decline from 1.6744 to 1.6166 support first. Break will target 1.5935 key near term support next. However, above 1.6573 will indicate that fall from 1.6744 is finished and will bring stronger rally to retest this resistance instead.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.

m.youssif 12-05-2011 10:48 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
USD/CHF rises further to as high as 0.8885 so far and broke mentioned 38.2% retracement of 0.9399 to 0.8552 at 0.8853. Further rise could still be seen with 0.8783 minor support intact, But we'd expect strong resistance at 0.8895/9006 resistance zone to limit upside and bring down trend resumption. Below 0.8783 will flip bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8552 low first.
In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 is already broken and USD/CHF should now target 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

m.youssif 12-05-2011 10:49 AM

رد: █▓▒░ تحليل فني يومي لخمسة أزواج █▓▒░
 
AUD/USD's recovery was limited at 1.0887 and subsequent sharp decline suggests that correction from 1.1010 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 1.0526 and then 100% projection of 1.1010 to 1.0536 from 1.0887 at 1.0413. On the upside, though, above 1.0887 will turn focus back to 1.1010 high instead.
In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8066 is part of the up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 and is still in healthy status. AUD/USD is staying comfortably inside medium term rising channel. Current rise should target 100% projection of 0.6008 to 0.9404 from 0.8066 at 1.1462 next. On the downside, break of 1.0254 resistance turned support will, however, suggest that 1.1010 is a medium top and in such case, deeper decline would be seen towards 0.9404 support to correct the whole up trend from 0.6008.


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