[m.youssif]

Mid-Day Outlook

EUR/USD's sharp break of 1.4754 support indicates that a short term top is formed at 1.4938 after hitting upper channel resistance, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hours MACD and RSI. Intraday bias is flipped back to the downside for 1.4492 support and possibly further lower channel support (now at 1.4366). On the upside, break of 1.4938 is needed to confirm rally resumption or we'd expect more corrective trading first.

In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

[m.youssif]

Mid-Day Outlook

EUR/USD's sharp break of 1.4754 support indicates that a short term top is formed at 1.4938 after hitting upper channel resistance, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hours MACD and RSI. Intraday bias is flipped back to the downside for 1.4492 support and possibly further lower channel support (now at 1.4366). On the upside, break of 1.4938 is needed to confirm rally resumption or we'd expect more corrective trading first.

In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.