تحليل فوركس فني يومي لخمسة أزواج

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF slipped below 0.8624 yesterday but further bearish pressure was limited and now back above that area. The bias is neutral in nearest term. I still prefer a bearish scenario but would need a consistent move below 0.8624/00 to continue the bearish scenario still targeting 0.8500 support area. Immediate resistance at 0.8650. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish but as long as price stays below 0.8779 I still prefer a bearish scenario.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF slipped below 0.8624 yesterday but further bearish pressure was limited and now back above that area. The bias is neutral in nearest term. I still prefer a bearish scenario but would need a consistent move below 0.8624/00 to continue the bearish scenario still targeting 0.8500 support area. Immediate resistance at 0.8650. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish but as long as price stays below 0.8779 I still prefer a bearish scenario.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY slipped below 80.85 yesterday but closed a little bit higher at 81.02. The bias remains bearish in nearest term especially if price able to move consistently below 80.85 targeting 79.80. Immediate resistance at 81.10 followed by 81.60. A clear break above 81.60 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but as long as price moves below 82.00 I still prefer a bearish scenario.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY slipped below 80.85 yesterday but closed a little bit higher at 81.02. The bias remains bearish in nearest term especially if price able to move consistently below 80.85 targeting 79.80. Immediate resistance at 81.10 followed by 81.60. A clear break above 81.60 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but as long as price moves below 82.00 I still prefer a bearish scenario.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY was volatile but indecisive yesterday. On hourly chart below we can see price attempted to push higher but found a good resistance at the violated trend line support. This fact keeps the bearish phase intact testing 118.40/00 support area. Immediate resistance at 120.38. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 121.00.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY was volatile but indecisive yesterday. On hourly chart below we can see price attempted to push higher but found a good resistance at the violated trend line support. This fact keeps the bearish phase intact testing 118.40/00 support area. Immediate resistance at 120.38. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 121.00.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY continued its bearish momentum yesterday after break below the bullish channel and now seems ready to test 132.97 support area as you can see on my h4 chart below. A clear break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 131.93 even lower. Immediate resistance at 134.00. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but as long as price moves below 135.00 the overall intraday bias should remain more to the downside.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY continued its bearish momentum yesterday after break below the bullish channel and now seems ready to test 132.97 support area as you can see on my h4 chart below. A clear break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 131.93 even lower. Immediate resistance at 134.00. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but as long as price moves below 135.00 the overall intraday bias should remain more to the downside.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued its bearish correction yesterday and now seems ready to test 1.0770 as you can see on my daily chart below. A clear break below 1.0770 could continue the bearish correction testing 1.0581. Immediate resistance at 1.0865 (current high). A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.0930 and keep the major bullish scenario remains strong.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued its bearish correction yesterday and now seems ready to test 1.0770 as you can see on my daily chart below. A clear break below 1.0770 could continue the bearish correction testing 1.0581. Immediate resistance at 1.0865 (current high). A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.0930 and keep the major bullish scenario remains strong.

[m.youssif]

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral and more consolidation could be seen below 1.4901 temporary top. But downside should be contained by 1.4492 support and bring another rise. Above 1.4901 will target 161.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level.

In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

[m.youssif]

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral and more consolidation could be seen below 1.4901 temporary top. But downside should be contained by 1.4492 support and bring another rise. Above 1.4901 will target 161.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level.

In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

[m.youssif]

GBP/USD is still staying in consolidation fro 1.6744 and intraday bias is neutral for the moment. As noted before, we'd still expect downside of the consolidation to be contained by 1.5431 support and bring rally resumption. Break of 1.6744 will target 100% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6992, which is close to 1.7 psychological level and 1.7043 key resistance. However break of 1.6431 will dampen this view and bring deeper decline to 1.6166 first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.

[m.youssif]

GBP/USD is still staying in consolidation fro 1.6744 and intraday bias is neutral for the moment. As noted before, we'd still expect downside of the consolidation to be contained by 1.5431 support and bring rally resumption. Break of 1.6744 will target 100% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6992, which is close to 1.7 psychological level and 1.7043 key resistance. However break of 1.6431 will dampen this view and bring deeper decline to 1.6166 first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.

[m.youssif]

Intraday in USD/CHF remains on the downside with 0.8695 minor resistance intact and current fall should be targeting 100% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8486 next. On the upside, above 0.8695 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring recovery. But upside should be limited by 0.8895 support turned resistance and bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 is already broken and USD/CHF should now target 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

[m.youssif]

Intraday in USD/CHF remains on the downside with 0.8695 minor resistance intact and current fall should be targeting 100% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8486 next. On the upside, above 0.8695 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring recovery. But upside should be limited by 0.8895 support turned resistance and bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 is already broken and USD/CHF should now target 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

[m.youssif]

AUD/USD's consolidation from 1.1010 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. As discussed before, break of 1.0657 support is needed to signal short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish and we'd expect recent rally to resume sooner rather than later. Above 1.1010 will target upper channel resistance at 1.1183 next. Though, break of 1.0675 will bring deeper pull back towards 1.0388 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8066 is part of the up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 and is still in healthy status. AUD/USD is staying comfortably inside medium term rising channel with daily MACD staying above signal line. Current rise should be target 100 projection of 0.6008 to 0.9404 from 0.8066 at 1.1462 next. On the downside, break of 1.0254 resistance turned support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

[m.youssif]

AUD/USD's consolidation from 1.1010 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. As discussed before, break of 1.0657 support is needed to signal short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish and we'd expect recent rally to resume sooner rather than later. Above 1.1010 will target upper channel resistance at 1.1183 next. Though, break of 1.0675 will bring deeper pull back towards 1.0388 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8066 is part of the up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 and is still in healthy status. AUD/USD is staying comfortably inside medium term rising channel with daily MACD staying above signal line. Current rise should be target 100 projection of 0.6008 to 0.9404 from 0.8066 at 1.1462 next. On the downside, break of 1.0254 resistance turned support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

[m.youssif]

USD/CAD's recovery from 0.9444 extends further today and the development indicates that consolidations from 0.9453 is still in progress. While stronger rise cannot be ruled out, we'd stay bearish in the pair as long as 0.9575 resistance holds and expect another decline soon. Break of 0.9444 will extend recent down trend towards 100% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9353 first. Break there will pave the way to key support level at 0.9056, which is close to 0.9 psychological level. Above 0.9575 will argue that a short term term bottom is formed and would bring stronger rebound towards 0.9720 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and is possibly building up momentum again. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall would now be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level.

[m.youssif]

USD/CAD's recovery from 0.9444 extends further today and the development indicates that consolidations from 0.9453 is still in progress. While stronger rise cannot be ruled out, we'd stay bearish in the pair as long as 0.9575 resistance holds and expect another decline soon. Break of 0.9444 will extend recent down trend towards 100% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9353 first. Break there will pave the way to key support level at 0.9056, which is close to 0.9 psychological level. Above 0.9575 will argue that a short term term bottom is formed and would bring stronger rebound towards 0.9720 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and is possibly building up momentum again. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall would now be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level.