تحليل فوركس فني يومي لخمسة أزواج

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD made another volatile but indecisive yesterday. Price slipped above the range area, topped at 1.4939 but closed lower at 1.4826. There are no changes in my daily technical outlook. On daily chart below we can see price has been moving in a sideways condition since April 28 without consistent momentum and convincing bullish/bearish candle. The market is indecisive ahead of ECB today and US NFP tomorrow and I hope we can see clearer direction and consistent momentum after those two important events. Overall the technical bias remains strongly to the upside still targeting 1.5000 even 1.5143 (November 2009 high). On the downside, 1.4767/50 still provided a good intraday support so far, but a clear break below that area could trigger further bearish correction testing 1.4647 but as long as price moves inside the bullish channel the major bullish scenario should remain intact.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD made another volatile but indecisive yesterday. Price slipped above the range area, topped at 1.4939 but closed lower at 1.4826. There are no changes in my daily technical outlook. On daily chart below we can see price has been moving in a sideways condition since April 28 without consistent momentum and convincing bullish/bearish candle. The market is indecisive ahead of ECB today and US NFP tomorrow and I hope we can see clearer direction and consistent momentum after those two important events. Overall the technical bias remains strongly to the upside still targeting 1.5000 even 1.5143 (November 2009 high). On the downside, 1.4767/50 still provided a good intraday support so far, but a clear break below that area could trigger further bearish correction testing 1.4647 but as long as price moves inside the bullish channel the major bullish scenario should remain intact.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD was volatile but indecisive yesterday, made a Doji on daily chart. The bias is neutral in nearest term but as long as price unable to stay consistently above 1.6550/70 the intraday bias remains more to the downside, testing 1.6425 – 1.6350 and the lower line of the bullish channel as you can see on my daily chart below. The major bullish scenario remains intact and the current bearish pressure is still considered as corrective movement but a break below the bullish channel will be a serious threat to the strong bullish outlook. On the upside, a clear break above 1.6550/70 could trigger further bullish momentum testing 1.6737/00 resistance area. Fundamental focus is on BoE/MPC rate decision today and US NFP tomorrow.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD was volatile but indecisive yesterday, made a Doji on daily chart. The bias is neutral in nearest term but as long as price unable to stay consistently above 1.6550/70 the intraday bias remains more to the downside, testing 1.6425 – 1.6350 and the lower line of the bullish channel as you can see on my daily chart below. The major bullish scenario remains intact and the current bearish pressure is still considered as corrective movement but a break below the bullish channel will be a serious threat to the strong bullish outlook. On the upside, a clear break above 1.6550/70 could trigger further bullish momentum testing 1.6737/00 resistance area. Fundamental focus is on BoE/MPC rate decision today and US NFP tomorrow.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF was indecisive yesterday, made a Doji on daily chart but now traded below 0.8624 suggests more bearish intraday bias still targeting 0.8500 support area. Price may keep moving in a sideways condition ahead of US NFP tomorrow, but overall my technical outlook remains strongly bearish. Immediate resistance remains around 0.8650 followed by 0.8779.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF was indecisive yesterday, made a Doji on daily chart but now traded below 0.8624 suggests more bearish intraday bias still targeting 0.8500 support area. Price may keep moving in a sideways condition ahead of US NFP tomorrow, but overall my technical outlook remains strongly bearish. Immediate resistance remains around 0.8650 followed by 0.8779.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY continued its bearish momentum yesterday, break below 80.85 and hit 80.43 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bearish in nearest term targeting 79.80 area (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 76.21 – 85.51). On the upside, another move back above 80.85 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but as long as price moves below 82.00 I still prefer a bearish scenario at this phase.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY continued its bearish momentum yesterday, break below 80.85 and hit 80.43 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bearish in nearest term targeting 79.80 area (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 76.21 – 85.51). On the upside, another move back above 80.85 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but as long as price moves below 82.00 I still prefer a bearish scenario at this phase.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 120.81 but whipsawed to the downside, closed at 119.50 and hit 119.25 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bearish in nearest term especially if price able to make another strong break below 119.20 targeting 118.40/00 support area. Immediate resistance at 120.38 followed by 121.00.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 120.81 but whipsawed to the downside, closed at 119.50 and hit 119.25 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bearish in nearest term especially if price able to make another strong break below 119.20 targeting 118.40/00 support area. Immediate resistance at 120.38 followed by 121.00.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY attempted to push higher yesterday, slipped above 134.00 but whipsawed to the downside, closed at 132.87 and now struggling around 132.97 support area as you can see on my h4 chart below. The bias remains bearish in nearest term especially if price able to move consistently below 132.97 targeting 130.20 support area. Immediate resistance remains around 134.00. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but overall I still prefer a bearish scenario at this phase.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY attempted to push higher yesterday, slipped above 134.00 but whipsawed to the downside, closed at 132.87 and now struggling around 132.97 support area as you can see on my h4 chart below. The bias remains bearish in nearest term especially if price able to move consistently below 132.97 targeting 130.20 support area. Immediate resistance remains around 134.00. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but overall I still prefer a bearish scenario at this phase.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued its bearish momentum yesterday, break below 1.0770 and hit 1.0695 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bearish in nearest term targeting 1.0581 support area. On daily below we can see 1.0770 provided an intraday resistance. Another move back above 1.0770 would lead us to neutral zone but as long as price moves below 1.0877 the bearish correction intraday outlook remains intact. It is too early to talk about a bearish reversal scenario, but a clear break below 1.0581 may give us a good reason to think about a bearish reversal, at least in a medium term outlook.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued its bearish momentum yesterday, break below 1.0770 and hit 1.0695 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bearish in nearest term targeting 1.0581 support area. On daily below we can see 1.0770 provided an intraday resistance. Another move back above 1.0770 would lead us to neutral zone but as long as price moves below 1.0877 the bearish correction intraday outlook remains intact. It is too early to talk about a bearish reversal scenario, but a clear break below 1.0581 may give us a good reason to think about a bearish reversal, at least in a medium term outlook.

[seragsamy]

جزيل الشكر لك أخى العزيز على المتابعة الدائمة والتحديث اليومى

بارك الله فيك

[seragsamy]

جزيل الشكر لك أخى العزيز على المتابعة الدائمة والتحديث اليومى

بارك الله فيك

[m.youssif]

Upside momentum in EUR/USD is a bit unconvincing for the moment. But we'd continue to favor further rally with 1.4754 minor support intact. Current rise should be targeting 161.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. On the downside, however, break of 1.4754 support will indicate that a short term top is formed, possibly with bearish divergence condition in 4 hours MACD and should bring pull back through 1.4492 support instead.

In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

[m.youssif]

Upside momentum in EUR/USD is a bit unconvincing for the moment. But we'd continue to favor further rally with 1.4754 minor support intact. Current rise should be targeting 161.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. On the downside, however, break of 1.4754 support will indicate that a short term top is formed, possibly with bearish divergence condition in 4 hours MACD and should bring pull back through 1.4492 support instead.

In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

[m.youssif]

Intraday bias in GBP/UISD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.6744 continues. As noted before, we'd still expect downside of the consolidation to be contained by 1.5431 support and bring rally resumption. Break of 1.6744 will target 100% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6992, which is close to 1.7 psychological level and 1.7043 key resistance. However break of 1.6431 will dampen this view and bring deeper decline to 1.6166 first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.

[m.youssif]

Intraday bias in GBP/UISD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.6744 continues. As noted before, we'd still expect downside of the consolidation to be contained by 1.5431 support and bring rally resumption. Break of 1.6744 will target 100% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6992, which is close to 1.7 psychological level and 1.7043 key resistance. However break of 1.6431 will dampen this view and bring deeper decline to 1.6166 first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.