تحليل فوركس فني يومي لخمسة أزواج

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD was volatile but indecisive yesterday. Price broke above 1.6425/50 resistance area, topped at 1.6516 but whipsawed to the downside and closed at 1.6365. The bias remains neutral in nearest term, but yesterday’s bullish failure with strong selling activities should give us more downside intraday bias testing 1.6280. A clear break below that area would trigger further bearish pressure testing 1.6164 even would drag my attention to further bearish outlook toward 1.6000. On the upside, another move above 1.6425/50 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as direction would become unclear but only a clear break above 1.6600 would be a threat to the current bearish outlook.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD was volatile but indecisive yesterday. Price broke above 1.6425/50 resistance area, topped at 1.6516 but whipsawed to the downside and closed at 1.6365. The bias remains neutral in nearest term, but yesterday’s bullish failure with strong selling activities should give us more downside intraday bias testing 1.6280. A clear break below that area would trigger further bearish pressure testing 1.6164 even would drag my attention to further bearish outlook toward 1.6000. On the upside, another move above 1.6425/50 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as direction would become unclear but only a clear break above 1.6600 would be a threat to the current bearish outlook.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF continued its bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 0.8882 and closed at 0.8860. Former resistance 0.8779 provided a good intraday support as you can see on my h4 chart below. The bias remains bullish in nearest term testing 0.8900. A clear break above that area would trigger further bullish momentum targeting 0.9000. On the downside, only a clear break back below 0.8779 could halt the current strong bullish intraday outlook since the violation to the major bearish channel.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF continued its bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 0.8882 and closed at 0.8860. Former resistance 0.8779 provided a good intraday support as you can see on my h4 chart below. The bias remains bullish in nearest term testing 0.8900. A clear break above that area would trigger further bullish momentum targeting 0.9000. On the downside, only a clear break back below 0.8779 could halt the current strong bullish intraday outlook since the violation to the major bearish channel.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY was indecisive yesterday, made a Doji on daily chart, but so far still able to maintain its bullish intraday bias by moving above 80.85 and the ascending triangle formation as you can see on my h4 chart below suggests further potential bullish pullback testing 82.00. Another move back below 80.85 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but we need a clear break below 79.80 to continue the bearish scenario since the fall from 85.51.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY was indecisive yesterday, made a Doji on daily chart, but so far still able to maintain its bullish intraday bias by moving above 80.85 and the ascending triangle formation as you can see on my h4 chart below suggests further potential bullish pullback testing 82.00. Another move back below 80.85 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but we need a clear break below 79.80 to continue the bearish scenario since the fall from 85.51.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY had a significant bearish momentum yesterday, erased all bullish momentum on Tuesday and now traded back below 116.00 suggests potential bearish continuation, still targeting 114.00 in nearest term. Another clear break above 116.00 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as direction would become unclear and might lead us to a sideways intraday condition. On the upside, we need a clear break at least above 117.00 to halt the current strong bearish intraday outlook. CCI relatively in negative area on hourly, h4 and daily chart suggests a bearish view.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY had a significant bearish momentum yesterday, erased all bullish momentum on Tuesday and now traded back below 116.00 suggests potential bearish continuation, still targeting 114.00 in nearest term. Another clear break above 116.00 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as direction would become unclear and might lead us to a sideways intraday condition. On the upside, we need a clear break at least above 117.00 to halt the current strong bearish intraday outlook. CCI relatively in negative area on hourly, h4 and daily chart suggests a bearish view.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY was volatile but indecisive yesterday, made a Doji on daily chart. Price attempted to push higher, broke above 132.97, but whipsawed to the downside after found resistance around 134.00. The bias remains neutral in nearest term as direction still unclear and my wait and see mode is now activated. Immediate support at 132.40. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 131.80 and reopen the door for another downside scenario testing 130.20. On the upside, a clear break above 134.00/25 could trigger further bullish momentum testing 135.00.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY was volatile but indecisive yesterday, made a Doji on daily chart. Price attempted to push higher, broke above 132.97, but whipsawed to the downside after found resistance around 134.00. The bias remains neutral in nearest term as direction still unclear and my wait and see mode is now activated. Immediate support at 132.40. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 131.80 and reopen the door for another downside scenario testing 130.20. On the upside, a clear break above 134.00/25 could trigger further bullish momentum testing 135.00.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD had a significant bearish momentum yesterday after failed to make a clear break above 1.0877, break below 1.0770 and hit 1.0585 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term but note that 1.0581/40 still considered as a strong intraday support and need a clear break below that area to continue the bearish pressure testing 1.0440 support area. Immediate resistance at 1.0704 (current high). A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as direction would become unclear but as long as price stays below 1.0877 the bearish phase should remain intact.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD had a significant bearish momentum yesterday after failed to make a clear break above 1.0877, break below 1.0770 and hit 1.0585 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term but note that 1.0581/40 still considered as a strong intraday support and need a clear break below that area to continue the bearish pressure testing 1.0440 support area. Immediate resistance at 1.0704 (current high). A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as direction would become unclear but as long as price stays below 1.0877 the bearish phase should remain intact.

[m.youssif]

EUR/USD's fall from 1.4938 extended further to as low as 1.4172 but is still holding above 1.4157 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2873 to 1.4938 at 1.4149). At this point, we'd still expect downside to be contained by this 1.4149/57 support level and bring rebound. Above 1.4422 minor resistance will flip bias back to the upside for retesting 1.4938 high first. However, sustained break of 1.4157 will indicate that whole rise from 1.2873 is finished and should bring deeper decline towards medium term channel at 1.3445 instead.
In the bigger picture, while the fall from 1.4938 was steep and deep, there is no indicate of trend reversal yet. Rise from 1.2873 is still expected to resume sooner or later towards 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. However note that sustained break of 1.4157 cluster support will suggest that rise from 1.2873 has finished and deeper fall could be seen to lower trend line support (now at 1.3393). Sustained break there will invalidate the bullish view and open up the case for a retest of 1.1875 low.

[m.youssif]

EUR/USD's fall from 1.4938 extended further to as low as 1.4172 but is still holding above 1.4157 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2873 to 1.4938 at 1.4149). At this point, we'd still expect downside to be contained by this 1.4149/57 support level and bring rebound. Above 1.4422 minor resistance will flip bias back to the upside for retesting 1.4938 high first. However, sustained break of 1.4157 will indicate that whole rise from 1.2873 is finished and should bring deeper decline towards medium term channel at 1.3445 instead.
In the bigger picture, while the fall from 1.4938 was steep and deep, there is no indicate of trend reversal yet. Rise from 1.2873 is still expected to resume sooner or later towards 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. However note that sustained break of 1.4157 cluster support will suggest that rise from 1.2873 has finished and deeper fall could be seen to lower trend line support (now at 1.3393). Sustained break there will invalidate the bullish view and open up the case for a retest of 1.1875 low.

[m.youssif]

GBP/USD's recovery was brief and was limited at 1.6515 and weakens again. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. As noted before, with 1.6573 minor resistance intact, another fall remains in favor. Below 1.6269 will resume the whole decline from 1.6744 to 1.6166 support first. Break will target 1.5935 key near term support next. However, above 1.6573 will indicate that fall from 1.6744 is finished and will bring stronger rally to retest this resistance instead.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.

[m.youssif]

GBP/USD's recovery was brief and was limited at 1.6515 and weakens again. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. As noted before, with 1.6573 minor resistance intact, another fall remains in favor. Below 1.6269 will resume the whole decline from 1.6744 to 1.6166 support first. Break will target 1.5935 key near term support next. However, above 1.6573 will indicate that fall from 1.6744 is finished and will bring stronger rally to retest this resistance instead.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.

[m.youssif]

USD/CHF rises further to as high as 0.8885 so far and broke mentioned 38.2% retracement of 0.9399 to 0.8552 at 0.8853. Further rise could still be seen with 0.8783 minor support intact, But we'd expect strong resistance at 0.8895/9006 resistance zone to limit upside and bring down trend resumption. Below 0.8783 will flip bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8552 low first.
In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 is already broken and USD/CHF should now target 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

[m.youssif]

USD/CHF rises further to as high as 0.8885 so far and broke mentioned 38.2% retracement of 0.9399 to 0.8552 at 0.8853. Further rise could still be seen with 0.8783 minor support intact, But we'd expect strong resistance at 0.8895/9006 resistance zone to limit upside and bring down trend resumption. Below 0.8783 will flip bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8552 low first.
In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 is already broken and USD/CHF should now target 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9339 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

[m.youssif]

AUD/USD's recovery was limited at 1.0887 and subsequent sharp decline suggests that correction from 1.1010 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 1.0526 and then 100% projection of 1.1010 to 1.0536 from 1.0887 at 1.0413. On the upside, though, above 1.0887 will turn focus back to 1.1010 high instead.
In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8066 is part of the up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 and is still in healthy status. AUD/USD is staying comfortably inside medium term rising channel. Current rise should target 100% projection of 0.6008 to 0.9404 from 0.8066 at 1.1462 next. On the downside, break of 1.0254 resistance turned support will, however, suggest that 1.1010 is a medium top and in such case, deeper decline would be seen towards 0.9404 support to correct the whole up trend from 0.6008.

[m.youssif]

AUD/USD's recovery was limited at 1.0887 and subsequent sharp decline suggests that correction from 1.1010 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 1.0526 and then 100% projection of 1.1010 to 1.0536 from 1.0887 at 1.0413. On the upside, though, above 1.0887 will turn focus back to 1.1010 high instead.
In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8066 is part of the up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 and is still in healthy status. AUD/USD is staying comfortably inside medium term rising channel. Current rise should target 100% projection of 0.6008 to 0.9404 from 0.8066 at 1.1462 next. On the downside, break of 1.0254 resistance turned support will, however, suggest that 1.1010 is a medium top and in such case, deeper decline would be seen towards 0.9404 support to correct the whole up trend from 0.6008.