تحليل فوركس فني يومي لخمسة أزواج

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF continued its bullish momentum on Friday and now traded above 0.8900 suggests further bullish correction continuation testing 0.9000 in nearest term. On the downside, another move back below 0.8900 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as direction would become unclear but as long as price stays above 0.8779 we are still in a bullish phase which started after the breakout above the bearish channel and I still prefer a bullish intraday outlook at this phase.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF continued its bullish momentum on Friday and now traded above 0.8900 suggests further bullish correction continuation testing 0.9000 in nearest term. On the downside, another move back below 0.8900 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as direction would become unclear but as long as price stays above 0.8779 we are still in a bullish phase which started after the breakout above the bearish channel and I still prefer a bullish intraday outlook at this phase.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY made another volatile but indecisive movement on Friday. The bias remains neutral in nearest term as price is moving in a sideways mode. On daily chart below we can see the bearish momentum since the fall from 85.51 found a support at 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 76.21 – 85.51 around 79.80 and the trend line support. We also have a hammer candle stick formation which stopped the bearish momentum. We need a clear break below the trend line support and 79.80 to continue the bearish scenario. As long as price stays above 80.85 the intraday technical bias remains more to the upside, but also need a clear break above 81.33 to continue the bullish momentum testing 82.00 resistance area. Hourly CCI remains in a bullish territory while h4 and daily in a neutral zone.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY made another volatile but indecisive movement on Friday. The bias remains neutral in nearest term as price is moving in a sideways mode. On daily chart below we can see the bearish momentum since the fall from 85.51 found a support at 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 76.21 – 85.51 around 79.80 and the trend line support. We also have a hammer candle stick formation which stopped the bearish momentum. We need a clear break below the trend line support and 79.80 to continue the bearish scenario. As long as price stays above 80.85 the intraday technical bias remains more to the upside, but also need a clear break above 81.33 to continue the bullish momentum testing 82.00 resistance area. Hourly CCI remains in a bullish territory while h4 and daily in a neutral zone.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY continued its bearish momentum on Friday, fell below 114.00 but still struggling around that area so far. The bias is bearish in nearest term especially if price able to make a clear break below 114.00 targeting 112.05. Immediate resistance at 114.50. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 115.50 but overall I still prefer a bearish scenario at this phase.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY continued its bearish momentum on Friday, fell below 114.00 but still struggling around that area so far. The bias is bearish in nearest term especially if price able to make a clear break below 114.00 targeting 112.05. Immediate resistance at 114.50. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 115.50 but overall I still prefer a bearish scenario at this phase.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY continued its bearish momentum on Friday but bounced a little bit higher earlier today in Asian session and hit 131.18 after found a support around 130.20. The bias is neutral in nearest term and price also still trapped in a range area. I still prefer a bearish scenario but need a clear break below 130.20 to continue the bearish pressure testing 127.77. Immediate resistance at 131.55 followed by 132.30.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY continued its bearish momentum on Friday but bounced a little bit higher earlier today in Asian session and hit 131.18 after found a support around 130.20. The bias is neutral in nearest term and price also still trapped in a range area. I still prefer a bearish scenario but need a clear break below 130.20 to continue the bearish pressure testing 127.77. Immediate resistance at 131.55 followed by 132.30.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued its bearish momentum on Friday, fell below 1.0540 and struggling around that area now. The bias is bearish in nearest term especially if price able to move consistently below 1.0540 targeting 1.0440 – 1.0388 support area. Immediate resistance at 1.0620. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but as long as price stays below 1.0700 and the trend line resistance (white) my short/medium outlook remains more to the downside with potential medium bearish target around 1.0200.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued its bearish momentum on Friday, fell below 1.0540 and struggling around that area now. The bias is bearish in nearest term especially if price able to move consistently below 1.0540 targeting 1.0440 – 1.0388 support area. Immediate resistance at 1.0620. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but as long as price stays below 1.0700 and the trend line resistance (white) my short/medium outlook remains more to the downside with potential medium bearish target around 1.0200.

[m.youssif]

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside for the moment. As noted before, whole rise from 1.2873 has possibly completed at 1.4938 already. Further decline will remain in favor as long as 1.4338 resistance holds, towards 1.3427/3860 support zone next. Though, a break of 1.4338 will suggest short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.
In the bigger picture, EUR/USD is still trading above medium term trend line support from 1.1875 (now at 1.3430) and thus, rise from there should still be in progress. We'd continue to favor the bullish case that correction from 1.6039 has completed with three waves down to 1.1875 already and. Above 1.4938 will target 1.5143 resistance first. Break will affirm the bullish case of long term up trend resumption for another high above 1.6039. However, sustained trading below the mentioned trend line support will indicate that there should at least be one more medium term decline, possibly for below 1.1875, before correction from 1.6039 completes.

[m.youssif]

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside for the moment. As noted before, whole rise from 1.2873 has possibly completed at 1.4938 already. Further decline will remain in favor as long as 1.4338 resistance holds, towards 1.3427/3860 support zone next. Though, a break of 1.4338 will suggest short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.
In the bigger picture, EUR/USD is still trading above medium term trend line support from 1.1875 (now at 1.3430) and thus, rise from there should still be in progress. We'd continue to favor the bullish case that correction from 1.6039 has completed with three waves down to 1.1875 already and. Above 1.4938 will target 1.5143 resistance first. Break will affirm the bullish case of long term up trend resumption for another high above 1.6039. However, sustained trading below the mentioned trend line support will indicate that there should at least be one more medium term decline, possibly for below 1.1875, before correction from 1.6039 completes.

[m.youssif]

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside with 1.6307 minor resistance and further decline should be seen towards key near term support level at 1.5935. On the upside, above 1.6307 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring recovery. But risk will remain on the downside as long as 1.6515 resistance holds and further decline is still in favor.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, below 1.5935 support will indicate that rise from 1.4230 is completed and further break of 1.5343 will confirm this case and target 1.3503/4230 support zone.

[m.youssif]

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside with 1.6307 minor resistance and further decline should be seen towards key near term support level at 1.5935. On the upside, above 1.6307 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring recovery. But risk will remain on the downside as long as 1.6515 resistance holds and further decline is still in favor.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5935 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, below 1.5935 support will indicate that rise from 1.4230 is completed and further break of 1.5343 will confirm this case and target 1.3503/4230 support zone.

[m.youssif]

With 0.8797 minor support intact, intraday bias in USD/CHF remains mildly on the upside but focus is still on 0.9006 resistance. Sustained break there will also have near term falling channel, as well as 55 days EMA (now at 0.9005) taken out. Such development will suggest that USD/CHF has formed a medium term bottom at 0.8552 and stronger rise should then be seen towards 0.9339 resistance for confirmation. Nevertheless, reversal from the current resistance zone of 0.8895/9006, followed by break of 0.8797 minor support will retain the bearish case and flip bias back to the downside for a new low below 0.8552.
In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 0.8552 is strong, there is no indication of trend reversal yet. Whole decline from 1.1729 is still expected to continue towards 100% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at at 0.7798. However, sustained trading above 55 days EMA (now at 0.9009) will indicate that 0.8552 should be a medium term bottom and USD/CHF should then rebound back into 0.9462/1.0065 resistance zone instead.

[m.youssif]

With 0.8797 minor support intact, intraday bias in USD/CHF remains mildly on the upside but focus is still on 0.9006 resistance. Sustained break there will also have near term falling channel, as well as 55 days EMA (now at 0.9005) taken out. Such development will suggest that USD/CHF has formed a medium term bottom at 0.8552 and stronger rise should then be seen towards 0.9339 resistance for confirmation. Nevertheless, reversal from the current resistance zone of 0.8895/9006, followed by break of 0.8797 minor support will retain the bearish case and flip bias back to the downside for a new low below 0.8552.
In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 0.8552 is strong, there is no indication of trend reversal yet. Whole decline from 1.1729 is still expected to continue towards 100% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at at 0.7798. However, sustained trading above 55 days EMA (now at 0.9009) will indicate that 0.8552 should be a medium term bottom and USD/CHF should then rebound back into 0.9462/1.0065 resistance zone instead.

[m.youssif]

At this point, intraday bias in AUD/USD remains mildly on the downside as correction from 1.1010 would extend further towards 100% projection of 1.1010 to 1.0536 from 1.0887 at 1.0413. On the upside, above 1.0715 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first. But risk will remain on the downside as long as 1.0887 resistance holds.
In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8066 is part of the up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 and is still in healthy status. AUD/USD is staying comfortably inside medium term rising channel. Current rise should target 100% projection of 0.6008 to 0.9404 from 0.8066 at 1.1462 next. On the downside, break of 1.0254 resistance turned support will, however, suggest that 1.1010 is a medium top and in such case, deeper decline would be seen towards 0.9404 support to correct the whole up trend from 0.6008.

[m.youssif]

At this point, intraday bias in AUD/USD remains mildly on the downside as correction from 1.1010 would extend further towards 100% projection of 1.1010 to 1.0536 from 1.0887 at 1.0413. On the upside, above 1.0715 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first. But risk will remain on the downside as long as 1.0887 resistance holds.
In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8066 is part of the up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 and is still in healthy status. AUD/USD is staying comfortably inside medium term rising channel. Current rise should target 100% projection of 0.6008 to 0.9404 from 0.8066 at 1.1462 next. On the downside, break of 1.0254 resistance turned support will, however, suggest that 1.1010 is a medium top and in such case, deeper decline would be seen towards 0.9404 support to correct the whole up trend from 0.6008.

[m.youssif]

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside for the moment. As noted before, a head and shoulder bottom bottom pattern should be formed (ls: 0.9525, h: 0.9444, rs: 0.9512) and 0.9444 might be a medium term bottom. Further rise should be seen to 100% projection of 0.9444 to 0.9710 from 0.9512 at 0.9778 first. Break will affirm the case of medium term reversal and target key resistance at 0.9972. On the downside, though, below 0.9603 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn focus back to 0.9444 low instead.
In the bigger picture, at this point, there is no indicate that medium term down trend from 2009 high of 1.3063 has completed yet. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall could be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level. Meanwhile, sustained break of 0.9972 will suggest that USD/CAD has indeed bottomed out already and should bring stronger rally towards 55 weeks EMA (now at 1.0063) first.

[m.youssif]

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside for the moment. As noted before, a head and shoulder bottom bottom pattern should be formed (ls: 0.9525, h: 0.9444, rs: 0.9512) and 0.9444 might be a medium term bottom. Further rise should be seen to 100% projection of 0.9444 to 0.9710 from 0.9512 at 0.9778 first. Break will affirm the case of medium term reversal and target key resistance at 0.9972. On the downside, though, below 0.9603 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn focus back to 0.9444 low instead.
In the bigger picture, at this point, there is no indicate that medium term down trend from 2009 high of 1.3063 has completed yet. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall could be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level. Meanwhile, sustained break of 0.9972 will suggest that USD/CAD has indeed bottomed out already and should bring stronger rally towards 55 weeks EMA (now at 1.0063) first.