تحليل فوركس فني يومي لخمسة أزواج

[محمد نوارج]

بارك الله لك يا باشا وجزاك الله كل الخير ..،

[محمد نوارج]

بارك الله لك يا باشا وجزاك الله كل الخير ..،

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 1.4049 but whipsawed to the downside and closed significantly lower at 1.3911. This movement still reflect unclear direction this week, a difficult market. I made a new wide bearish channel on h4 chart as a result of volatile, big but unclear movement since Tuesday. So far, I think overall the bearish bias since the fall from 1.4158 remains intact. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Immediate support at 1.3800. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure re-testing 1.3700. Immediate resistance at 1.4000. Break above that area could trigger further upside pressure testing the upper line of the bearish channel before re-testing 1.4158.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 1.4049 but whipsawed to the downside and closed significantly lower at 1.3911. This movement still reflect unclear direction this week, a difficult market. I made a new wide bearish channel on h4 chart as a result of volatile, big but unclear movement since Tuesday. So far, I think overall the bearish bias since the fall from 1.4158 remains intact. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Immediate support at 1.3800. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure re-testing 1.3700. Immediate resistance at 1.4000. Break above that area could trigger further upside pressure testing the upper line of the bearish channel before re-testing 1.4158.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD had another bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 1.5685 and closed at 1.5715. The bias is bearish in nearest term re-testing the lower line of the bullish channel and 1.5649 – 1.5600 support area. Immediate resistance is seen at 1.5750 which is located around 23.6 Fibo retracement of 1.6105 – 1.5649. Break above that area could trigger further bullish momentum testing 1.5848/77 area and keep us in high volatile but unclear movement since Tuesday.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD had another bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 1.5685 and closed at 1.5715. The bias is bearish in nearest term re-testing the lower line of the bullish channel and 1.5649 – 1.5600 support area. Immediate resistance is seen at 1.5750 which is located around 23.6 Fibo retracement of 1.6105 – 1.5649. Break above that area could trigger further bullish momentum testing 1.5848/77 area and keep us in high volatile but unclear movement since Tuesday.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF regained its bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 0.9691 and closed at 0.9680. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 0.9750. Immediate support at 0.9650. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 0.9570/50 support area. As long as price moves inside the bullish channel we are still in bullish phase but broad Dollar volatility without clear direction this week could be an obstacle to the bullish run.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF regained its bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 0.9691 and closed at 0.9680. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 0.9750. Immediate support at 0.9650. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 0.9570/50 support area. As long as price moves inside the bullish channel we are still in bullish phase but broad Dollar volatility without clear direction this week could be an obstacle to the bullish run.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY made another insignificant movement yesterday. No significant technical move so far so there is no change in my technical view. Price still trapped in range area of 81.95 – 80.85 and need a clear break on either side to see clearer direction. Break below 80.85 could trigger further bearish pressure targeting 80.00 and keep the major bearish scenario remains strong while break above 81.95 could trigger further bullish correction testing 82.87. Aggressive traders may long around 80.85 or short around 81.95 with tight stop loss.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY made another insignificant movement yesterday. No significant technical move so far so there is no change in my technical view. Price still trapped in range area of 81.95 – 80.85 and need a clear break on either side to see clearer direction. Break below 80.85 could trigger further bearish pressure targeting 80.00 and keep the major bearish scenario remains strong while break above 81.95 could trigger further bullish correction testing 82.87. Aggressive traders may long around 80.85 or short around 81.95 with tight stop loss.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 113.92 but found resistance at the upper line of the bearish channel as you can see on my h4 chart below and closed lower at 113.05. The bias is neutral in nearest term but as long as the bearish channel hold we are still in major bearish scenario and only violation to the bearish channel could be a threat to the bearish outlook testing 114.65. Immediate support at 112.40. Break below that area could trigger further bearish momentum testing 111.60.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 113.92 but found resistance at the upper line of the bearish channel as you can see on my h4 chart below and closed lower at 113.05. The bias is neutral in nearest term but as long as the bearish channel hold we are still in major bearish scenario and only violation to the bearish channel could be a threat to the bearish outlook testing 114.65. Immediate support at 112.40. Break below that area could trigger further bearish momentum testing 111.60.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Weekly Summary

The EURUSD made another volatile but indecisive movement this week, made another Doji on weekly chart. Those Dojis in the last two weeks have lower highs and lows, indicating that the bearish bias since the fall from 1.4158 may still intact. Although the market is volatile and unclear where neither of bullish nor bearish can maintain momentum consistently, we still have a wide bearish channel after price violated the bullish channel as you can see on my h4 chart below suggests that overall we are still in bearish phase after strong bullish momentum. About two hours ago, one of my subscribers asked me about the CCI. So I think it’s a good idea to look at the CCI during two different type of price movement lately. Let’s take a look at my h4 chart below. Look at CCI in blue circle. Since the beginning of the bullish run in mid-September, CCI has been moving consistently above 100 and if price made a bearish correction, CCI never fall below the zero line before moving up back above 100. At the same time, price also move to the upside smoothly inside the bullish channel. The combination of price action and CCI behavior reflects a clear and strong bullish movement, make trading is relatively easier as direction is clear and momentum is consistent. Now look at the CCI in red circle. CCI doesn’t consistently move above 100 or below -100. We still have a bearish channel but the fact that CCI can not consistently move below -100 suggest that the current bearish bias is still vulnerable. It also means that the bearish momentum since downside movement from 1.4158 still has no validation from the CCI and compared to what happened during the bullish momentum since mid-September, it is relatively harder to trade in the last couple of weeks. CCI, like any other modern indicators is not a god and should not be used as single tool to make trade decision. However, it is useful to see whether we have a good and solid momentum or not.
For the upcoming week, I will pay attention to the upper line of the bearish channel and 1.4000 resistance area. A clear break above 1.4000 and violation to the upside of the bearish channel could cancel the bearish outlook testing 1.4158 even 1.4400. Important support at 1.3800. Clear break below that area could continue the bearish bias testing 1.3700 and 1.3600. I hope we can see clearer direction and consistent momentum, bullish or bearish and consistent CCI above 100 or below -100.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Weekly Summary

The EURUSD made another volatile but indecisive movement this week, made another Doji on weekly chart. Those Dojis in the last two weeks have lower highs and lows, indicating that the bearish bias since the fall from 1.4158 may still intact. Although the market is volatile and unclear where neither of bullish nor bearish can maintain momentum consistently, we still have a wide bearish channel after price violated the bullish channel as you can see on my h4 chart below suggests that overall we are still in bearish phase after strong bullish momentum. About two hours ago, one of my subscribers asked me about the CCI. So I think it’s a good idea to look at the CCI during two different type of price movement lately. Let’s take a look at my h4 chart below. Look at CCI in blue circle. Since the beginning of the bullish run in mid-September, CCI has been moving consistently above 100 and if price made a bearish correction, CCI never fall below the zero line before moving up back above 100. At the same time, price also move to the upside smoothly inside the bullish channel. The combination of price action and CCI behavior reflects a clear and strong bullish movement, make trading is relatively easier as direction is clear and momentum is consistent. Now look at the CCI in red circle. CCI doesn’t consistently move above 100 or below -100. We still have a bearish channel but the fact that CCI can not consistently move below -100 suggest that the current bearish bias is still vulnerable. It also means that the bearish momentum since downside movement from 1.4158 still has no validation from the CCI and compared to what happened during the bullish momentum since mid-September, it is relatively harder to trade in the last couple of weeks. CCI, like any other modern indicators is not a god and should not be used as single tool to make trade decision. However, it is useful to see whether we have a good and solid momentum or not.
For the upcoming week, I will pay attention to the upper line of the bearish channel and 1.4000 resistance area. A clear break above 1.4000 and violation to the upside of the bearish channel could cancel the bearish outlook testing 1.4158 even 1.4400. Important support at 1.3800. Clear break below that area could continue the bearish bias testing 1.3700 and 1.3600. I hope we can see clearer direction and consistent momentum, bullish or bearish and consistent CCI above 100 or below -100.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD had significant bullish momentum earlier today in Asian session, slipped above the bearish channel as you can see on my h4 chart below. This fact could be a threat to the bearish scenario especially if price able to consistently move above the bullish channel testing 1.4049 and 1.4158 in nearest term. Immediate support at 1.3953 (current low). Break below that area could trigger further bearish pullback testing 1.3900 and 1.3800 and lead us back to difficult situation similar to what happened in the last two weeks where direction is unclear and momentum is not consistent.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD had significant bullish momentum earlier today in Asian session, slipped above the bearish channel as you can see on my h4 chart below. This fact could be a threat to the bearish scenario especially if price able to consistently move above the bullish channel testing 1.4049 and 1.4158 in nearest term. Immediate support at 1.3953 (current low). Break below that area could trigger further bearish pullback testing 1.3900 and 1.3800 and lead us back to difficult situation similar to what happened in the last two weeks where direction is unclear and momentum is not consistent.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD bounced higher earlier today in Asian session after found support at the lower line of the major bullish channel as you can see on my h4 chart below. This fact keeps the major bullish scenario intact especially if price able to make a clear break above 1.5750 and 23% Fibo retracement of 1.6105 – 1.5649 testing 1.5800 – 1.5850. On the downside, only a clear break below the major bullish channel and 1.5650 support area could be a threat to the major bullish scenario.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD bounced higher earlier today in Asian session after found support at the lower line of the major bullish channel as you can see on my h4 chart below. This fact keeps the major bullish scenario intact especially if price able to make a clear break above 1.5750 and 23% Fibo retracement of 1.6105 – 1.5649 testing 1.5800 – 1.5850. On the downside, only a clear break below the major bullish channel and 1.5650 support area could be a threat to the major bullish scenario.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF was corrected lower earlier today in Asian session, struggling around 0.9730 support area as you can see on my h4 chart below. The bias is bearish in nearest term especially if break below 0.9730 testing 0.9650 but as long as price move inside the bullish channel we are still in bullish phase. Immediate resistance at 0.9830 (Friday’s high). Break below that area could trigger further upside momentum testing 0.9877.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF was corrected lower earlier today in Asian session, struggling around 0.9730 support area as you can see on my h4 chart below. The bias is bearish in nearest term especially if break below 0.9730 testing 0.9650 but as long as price move inside the bullish channel we are still in bullish phase. Immediate resistance at 0.9830 (Friday’s high). Break below that area could trigger further upside momentum testing 0.9877.