Winning Stratgies استراتيجات فوركس

[abdellatif]

2Market’s reactions to news

Another way for traders to gauge the market sentiment is by analyzing how the
market responds to unanticipated news
The forex market is very efficient at discounting future expectations by
incorporating them into current prices. Very often, when news comes out better
than is expected by economists and analysts, the currency of that country is more
likely to soar against another currency. When the news is worse than expected, that
currency is more likely to fall against another currency

However, if the news or data turn out to be worse than expected and still the
currency price soars, that is, the market reacts in a very bullish way to worse than
expected data, a bright red flag should be waving at you. The opposite situation also
applies: if price action remains very bearish to much better than expected news, it
signals a highly suspect price move

In short, you should look out for a contrarian market reaction to better or worse than
expected news. Under these circumstances, it is better to assume that the price
move is hardly supported by substance, and could reverse sometime soon.Abullish
price move that is not accompanied by evidence will soon be due for a reality
check, just like a bearish price move that is not accompanied by evidence is very
likely to be corrected very soon. If you day trade the forex market, you may judge
the market’s reaction based on one piece of news, but if you position trade, monitor
the market’s reactions to several news to see if the responses are still contrary

For example, if a piece of news turns out to be worse than expected, and assuming
that there are no pre-release rumours or leaks of the news, and the currency pair
rallies to break above a significant resistance level, you have reasons to suspect that
the breakout move is likely to be false and unsustainable. Even if the currency pair
manages to make new highs later on, you should be prepared for a possible trend
reversal very soon. Monitoring the market’s reactions to news can enable traders to
identify corrective moves in the forex market

Not all news items get the same amount of attention from big market players; news
relating to the job or housing market usually get more attention. The relative
.significance of news will vary from time to time

[abdellatif]

2Market’s reactions to news

Another way for traders to gauge the market sentiment is by analyzing how the
market responds to unanticipated news
The forex market is very efficient at discounting future expectations by
incorporating them into current prices. Very often, when news comes out better
than is expected by economists and analysts, the currency of that country is more
likely to soar against another currency. When the news is worse than expected, that
currency is more likely to fall against another currency

However, if the news or data turn out to be worse than expected and still the
currency price soars, that is, the market reacts in a very bullish way to worse than
expected data, a bright red flag should be waving at you. The opposite situation also
applies: if price action remains very bearish to much better than expected news, it
signals a highly suspect price move

In short, you should look out for a contrarian market reaction to better or worse than
expected news. Under these circumstances, it is better to assume that the price
move is hardly supported by substance, and could reverse sometime soon.Abullish
price move that is not accompanied by evidence will soon be due for a reality
check, just like a bearish price move that is not accompanied by evidence is very
likely to be corrected very soon. If you day trade the forex market, you may judge
the market’s reaction based on one piece of news, but if you position trade, monitor
the market’s reactions to several news to see if the responses are still contrary

For example, if a piece of news turns out to be worse than expected, and assuming
that there are no pre-release rumours or leaks of the news, and the currency pair
rallies to break above a significant resistance level, you have reasons to suspect that
the breakout move is likely to be false and unsustainable. Even if the currency pair
manages to make new highs later on, you should be prepared for a possible trend
reversal very soon. Monitoring the market’s reactions to news can enable traders to
identify corrective moves in the forex market

Not all news items get the same amount of attention from big market players; news
relating to the job or housing market usually get more attention. The relative
.significance of news will vary from time to time

[abdellatif]

Summary

As you have seen, market sentiment can be used, and should be used, to time your
trade and identify profitable trading conditions. The Market Sentiment Strategy has
to be applied in conjunction with other strategies as it does not have precise entry
and exit signals. By making use of information on the net speculative positioning
of currency futures and by observing the market’s reactions to news, you will be
better equipped to gauge the market sentiment and will be able to use that extra
edge to help you see what is actually happening or is going to happen in the spot
forex market. Once you get a sense of the current market sentiment, you can then
decide whether it is best to trade with or against the sentiment, taking into account
all other factors

While it may be sensible to trade in the direction of the current sentiment
sometimes, trading against the sentiment can also be a profitable strategy, provided
that you have valid reasons to do so. For example, when the COT report indicates
extreme positioning of the market, or when the market seems to be feeding off false
euphoria on worse than expected news, it may be better to trade against the overall
sentiment. You should, however, wait for a more precise signal that the current
sentiment is wearing off before going against it, as sometimes false euphoria can
last for quite some time before resulting in a reversal. This signal could be a failed
breakout of some sort or some other pattern failure

Always keep in mind that currency prices are, after all, the expressed perceptions
of traders and market sentiment is really the blood that drives the market on the
"whole. Using the Market Sentiment Strategy can help you identify the “what
whether to go long or short of a currency); while technical analysis shows you the)
when” by helping to pinpoint the price you should enter or exit your positions"

Strategy 2
Trend Riding
يتبع..

[abdellatif]

Summary

As you have seen, market sentiment can be used, and should be used, to time your
trade and identify profitable trading conditions. The Market Sentiment Strategy has
to be applied in conjunction with other strategies as it does not have precise entry
and exit signals. By making use of information on the net speculative positioning
of currency futures and by observing the market’s reactions to news, you will be
better equipped to gauge the market sentiment and will be able to use that extra
edge to help you see what is actually happening or is going to happen in the spot
forex market. Once you get a sense of the current market sentiment, you can then
decide whether it is best to trade with or against the sentiment, taking into account
all other factors

While it may be sensible to trade in the direction of the current sentiment
sometimes, trading against the sentiment can also be a profitable strategy, provided
that you have valid reasons to do so. For example, when the COT report indicates
extreme positioning of the market, or when the market seems to be feeding off false
euphoria on worse than expected news, it may be better to trade against the overall
sentiment. You should, however, wait for a more precise signal that the current
sentiment is wearing off before going against it, as sometimes false euphoria can
last for quite some time before resulting in a reversal. This signal could be a failed
breakout of some sort or some other pattern failure

Always keep in mind that currency prices are, after all, the expressed perceptions
of traders and market sentiment is really the blood that drives the market on the
"whole. Using the Market Sentiment Strategy can help you identify the “what
whether to go long or short of a currency); while technical analysis shows you the)
when” by helping to pinpoint the price you should enter or exit your positions"

Strategy 2
Trend Riding
يتبع..

[abdellatif]

Strategy 2
Trend Riding

؟Who doesn’t like a trend

;Many traders live by the often-repeated “the trend is your friend until the end” rule
they are comforted with the knowledge that they are with the majority of the
market. Being able to ride on a trend is akin to making full use of the wind direction
to steer your ship towards your destination. For a ship to go against the wind
requires a tremendous amount of effort – one has to fight the stubborn resistance
from the opposing wind. Indeed, for most of the time, it pays more to be on the side
of the current trend than to go against it. In the forex market, trend riders can
capture any trend regardless of whether it is rising or falling in an attempt to
generate trading profits

Forex tends to have quite trending markets, regardless of which time frame you are
looking at – trends are often formed on hourly, daily or weekly charts. This is due
to the fact that currency price movements are very much influenced by the
underlying macroeconomic factors which in turn shape the market players’ views
of where currency prices should be heading. With trends possibly having a long
lifespan stretching to months, or even years, it is no wonder that many traders and
fund managers exalt the strategy of hitching onto trends, with the glorious aim of
capturing enormous profits from start to finish

Trend riding is one of my favourite trading approaches, and I often ride the uptrend
or downtrend after the trend has been established, rather than anticipating the move
before it happens. I would say that even though the trend is your friend most of the
times, one has to use a variety of methods to distinguish between a continuation of
the trend and a possible trend reversal. But before you can ride on trends, you first
need to identify what the current trend is, and to determine the time frame of
the trend

Time Frames of Trends

Sometimes, people ask me for my opinion on the current trend for certain currency
pairs, I reply with another question in return, “According to the past 5 mins, 5
hours, 5 days or 5 weeks?” Some traders are not aware that different trends exist in
different time frames. The question of what kind of trend is in place cannot be
separated from the time frame that a trend is in. Trends are, after all, used to
determine the relative direction of prices in a market over different time periods

:There are mainly three types of trends in terms of time measurement

(1primary (long-term
2intermediate (medium-term), and
. 3short-term
These are discussed in further detail below

1Primary trend

Aprimary trend lasts the longest period of time, and its lifespan may range between
eight months and two years. This is the major trend that can be spotted easily on
longer term charts such as the daily, weekly or monthly charts. Long-term traders
who trade according to the primary trend are the most concerned about the
fundamental picture of the currency pairs that they are trading, since fundamental
factors will provide these traders with an idea of supply and demand on a bigger
scale

2Intermediate trend

Within a primary trend, there will be counter-cyclical trends, and such price
movements form the intermediate trend. This type of trend could last from a month
to as long as eight months. Knowing what the intermediate trend is of great
importance to the position trader who tends to hold positions for several weeks or
months at one go

3Short-term trend

A short-term trend can last for a few days to as long as a month. It appears during
the course of the intermediate trend due to global capital flows reacting to daily
economic news and political situations. Day traders are concerned with spotting
and identifying short-term trends and as such short-term price movements are
aplenty in the currency market, and can provide significant profit opportunities
within a very short period of time

No matter which time frame you may trade, it is vital to monitor and identify the
primary trend, the intermediate trend, and the short-term trend for a better overall
picture of the trend

[abdellatif]

Strategy 2
Trend Riding

؟Who doesn’t like a trend

;Many traders live by the often-repeated “the trend is your friend until the end” rule
they are comforted with the knowledge that they are with the majority of the
market. Being able to ride on a trend is akin to making full use of the wind direction
to steer your ship towards your destination. For a ship to go against the wind
requires a tremendous amount of effort – one has to fight the stubborn resistance
from the opposing wind. Indeed, for most of the time, it pays more to be on the side
of the current trend than to go against it. In the forex market, trend riders can
capture any trend regardless of whether it is rising or falling in an attempt to
generate trading profits

Forex tends to have quite trending markets, regardless of which time frame you are
looking at – trends are often formed on hourly, daily or weekly charts. This is due
to the fact that currency price movements are very much influenced by the
underlying macroeconomic factors which in turn shape the market players’ views
of where currency prices should be heading. With trends possibly having a long
lifespan stretching to months, or even years, it is no wonder that many traders and
fund managers exalt the strategy of hitching onto trends, with the glorious aim of
capturing enormous profits from start to finish

Trend riding is one of my favourite trading approaches, and I often ride the uptrend
or downtrend after the trend has been established, rather than anticipating the move
before it happens. I would say that even though the trend is your friend most of the
times, one has to use a variety of methods to distinguish between a continuation of
the trend and a possible trend reversal. But before you can ride on trends, you first
need to identify what the current trend is, and to determine the time frame of
the trend

Time Frames of Trends

Sometimes, people ask me for my opinion on the current trend for certain currency
pairs, I reply with another question in return, “According to the past 5 mins, 5
hours, 5 days or 5 weeks?” Some traders are not aware that different trends exist in
different time frames. The question of what kind of trend is in place cannot be
separated from the time frame that a trend is in. Trends are, after all, used to
determine the relative direction of prices in a market over different time periods

:There are mainly three types of trends in terms of time measurement

(1primary (long-term
2intermediate (medium-term), and
. 3short-term
These are discussed in further detail below

1Primary trend

Aprimary trend lasts the longest period of time, and its lifespan may range between
eight months and two years. This is the major trend that can be spotted easily on
longer term charts such as the daily, weekly or monthly charts. Long-term traders
who trade according to the primary trend are the most concerned about the
fundamental picture of the currency pairs that they are trading, since fundamental
factors will provide these traders with an idea of supply and demand on a bigger
scale

2Intermediate trend

Within a primary trend, there will be counter-cyclical trends, and such price
movements form the intermediate trend. This type of trend could last from a month
to as long as eight months. Knowing what the intermediate trend is of great
importance to the position trader who tends to hold positions for several weeks or
months at one go

3Short-term trend

A short-term trend can last for a few days to as long as a month. It appears during
the course of the intermediate trend due to global capital flows reacting to daily
economic news and political situations. Day traders are concerned with spotting
and identifying short-term trends and as such short-term price movements are
aplenty in the currency market, and can provide significant profit opportunities
within a very short period of time

No matter which time frame you may trade, it is vital to monitor and identify the
primary trend, the intermediate trend, and the short-term trend for a better overall
picture of the trend

[abdellatif]

مرفق الكتاب كامل للمهتمين بالمتابعة للاطلاع عليه في فترة الايجازة..فهو مفيد جدا لكل مضارب..نهاية سعيدة اتمناه لكممم



للتحميل اضغط هنا

[abdellatif]

مرفق الكتاب كامل للمهتمين بالمتابعة للاطلاع عليه في فترة الايجازة..فهو مفيد جدا لكل مضارب..نهاية سعيدة اتمناه لكممم



للتحميل اضغط هنا

[معاذ عودات]

شكرا اخي عبد ...
بارك الله فيك على هذا المجهود
كل مواضيعك تعمل الفائده ما شاءالله ...

[معاذ عودات]

شكرا اخي عبد ...
بارك الله فيك على هذا المجهود
كل مواضيعك تعمل الفائده ما شاءالله ...

[greenius]

ممتاز الموضوع

[greenius]

ممتاز الموضوع

[abdellatif]

	المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة صياد الفوركس

	شكرا اخي عبد ... بارك الله فيك على هذا المجهود كل مواضيعك تعمل الفائده ما شاءالله ...

	المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة greenius

	ممتاز الموضوع

اتمنى لكم الافادة ان شاء الله..هناك اشياء قيمة تفيد الواحد ان تعلمها في سوق يحتاج ان تدرسه من فوق و تحت..بالتوفيق لكم..

[abdellatif]

	المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة صياد الفوركس

	شكرا اخي عبد ... بارك الله فيك على هذا المجهود كل مواضيعك تعمل الفائده ما شاءالله ...

	المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة greenius

	ممتاز الموضوع

اتمنى لكم الافادة ان شاء الله..هناك اشياء قيمة تفيد الواحد ان تعلمها في سوق يحتاج ان تدرسه من فوق و تحت..بالتوفيق لكم..