تحليل فوركس فني يومي لخمسة أزواج

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD made a false breakout yesterday, topped at 1.3273 but whipsawed to the downside, closed at 1.3108 and hit 1.3083 earlier today in Asian session. This false breakout gives us a technical clue that Euro could have more downside pressure. On daily chart below, I made a new alternative trend line support (white) to show that critical support area around 1.3000 – 1.2900 is being tested now. This support area could still hold for the remaining days of 2010 and long counter trend intra-day position anticipating bullish correction/consolidation does make sense technically, but for me it is clear that the bias is more to the downside and I still prefer a bearish scenario. Immediate resistance at 1.3170 – 1.3200. Break above that area could trigger further upside consolidation testing 1.3300 resistance area but false breakouts remain highly potential.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD made a false breakout yesterday, topped at 1.3273 but whipsawed to the downside, closed at 1.3108 and hit 1.3083 earlier today in Asian session. This false breakout gives us a technical clue that Euro could have more downside pressure. On daily chart below, I made a new alternative trend line support (white) to show that critical support area around 1.3000 – 1.2900 is being tested now. This support area could still hold for the remaining days of 2010 and long counter trend intra-day position anticipating bullish correction/consolidation does make sense technically, but for me it is clear that the bias is more to the downside and I still prefer a bearish scenario. Immediate resistance at 1.3170 – 1.3200. Break above that area could trigger further upside consolidation testing 1.3300 resistance area but false breakouts remain highly potential.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 1.5509 but whipsawed to the downside, bottomed at 1.5344 and now struggling around 1.5400. It’s a volatile and a little bit difficult market especially for intra-day traders but from a broader outlook, it’s not difficult to see that overall bias remains strongly bearish. Trading in the end of the year is never easy as consolidation usually happen, making some false breakout/down. Note that although the major scenario is clearly more to the downside, price still unable to make a clear break below the trend line support so far. Price may slip several times below the trend line, but the trend line remains a strong support and may hold for the remaining days of 2010. Nearest bearish target is seen around 1.5300. Immediate resistance at 1.5450 – 1.5500. I prefer to stand aside until next year, but will keep my eyes on price action around the trend line support.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 1.5509 but whipsawed to the downside, bottomed at 1.5344 and now struggling around 1.5400. It’s a volatile and a little bit difficult market especially for intra-day traders but from a broader outlook, it’s not difficult to see that overall bias remains strongly bearish. Trading in the end of the year is never easy as consolidation usually happen, making some false breakout/down. Note that although the major scenario is clearly more to the downside, price still unable to make a clear break below the trend line support so far. Price may slip several times below the trend line, but the trend line remains a strong support and may hold for the remaining days of 2010. Nearest bearish target is seen around 1.5300. Immediate resistance at 1.5450 – 1.5500. I prefer to stand aside until next year, but will keep my eyes on price action around the trend line support.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF continued its bearish pressure yesterday, bottomed at 0.9437 but closed higher at 0.9518. As long as price stay below 0.9550 the nearest bias remains bearish re-testing 0.9437 – 0.9400 which could be an important daily support for the remaining days of 2010. I personally will stop trading until next year. A break above 0.9550 could trigger further upside pullback testing 0.9600 but as long as price moves inside the bearish channel the major scenario remains strongly bearish.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF continued its bearish pressure yesterday, bottomed at 0.9437 but closed higher at 0.9518. As long as price stay below 0.9550 the nearest bias remains bearish re-testing 0.9437 – 0.9400 which could be an important daily support for the remaining days of 2010. I personally will stop trading until next year. A break above 0.9550 could trigger further upside pullback testing 0.9600 but as long as price moves inside the bearish channel the major scenario remains strongly bearish.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY attempted to push lower yesterday, bottomed at 81.81 but closed higher at 82.41 after “landed” perfectly at the trend line support as you can see on my h4 chart below. The bias is neutral in nearest term but overall pressure remains bearish. We need a clear break below the trend line support and 81.81 to continue the bearish scenario testing 80.00 region. Immediate resistance at 82.80. Break above that area could trigger further upside pullback testing 83.50.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY attempted to push lower yesterday, bottomed at 81.81 but closed higher at 82.41 after “landed” perfectly at the trend line support as you can see on my h4 chart below. The bias is neutral in nearest term but overall pressure remains bearish. We need a clear break below the trend line support and 81.81 to continue the bearish scenario testing 80.00 region. Immediate resistance at 82.80. Break above that area could trigger further upside pullback testing 83.50.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY continued its bearish momentum yesterday after failed to break above 109.50, bottomed at 107.61 and closed at 108.04. The bias is bearish in nearest term targeting 107.30 even 106.25 support area. Immediate resistance at 108.33. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term with 109.50 resistance area to be re-tested but I still prefer a bearish scenario.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY continued its bearish momentum yesterday after failed to break above 109.50, bottomed at 107.61 and closed at 108.04. The bias is bearish in nearest term targeting 107.30 even 106.25 support area. Immediate resistance at 108.33. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term with 109.50 resistance area to be re-tested but I still prefer a bearish scenario.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY continued its bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 126.10 and closed at 126.62. The bias remains bearish in nearest term especially if price make another break below 126.10 targeting 125.30 area. Immediate resistance at 127.50. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but the major scenario remains strongly bearish and I still prefer a bearish scenario at this phase.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY continued its bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 126.10 and closed at 126.62. The bias remains bearish in nearest term especially if price make another break below 126.10 targeting 125.30 area. Immediate resistance at 127.50. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but the major scenario remains strongly bearish and I still prefer a bearish scenario at this phase.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 1.0151 but closed lower at 1.0091 on broad Dollar strength. We are in critical technical/psychological area where price is now targeting long time high at 1.0182. Long term traders may look for a potential double top bearish scenario around 1.0182 with a big downside target but limited risk ( I personally very interested in doing that) while it’s a good idea for intra-day traders to stand aside until next year before jump into the market. Immediate support at 1.0087 (current low). Break below that area could trigger further bearish pullback testing 1.0000 – 0.9987 support area but nearest term bias remains bullish as long as price moves inside the bearish channel.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 1.0151 but closed lower at 1.0091 on broad Dollar strength. We are in critical technical/psychological area where price is now targeting long time high at 1.0182. Long term traders may look for a potential double top bearish scenario around 1.0182 with a big downside target but limited risk ( I personally very interested in doing that) while it’s a good idea for intra-day traders to stand aside until next year before jump into the market. Immediate support at 1.0087 (current low). Break below that area could trigger further bearish pullback testing 1.0000 – 0.9987 support area but nearest term bias remains bullish as long as price moves inside the bearish channel.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD made a convincing bullish correction yesterday, topped at 1.3237 and hit 1.3258 earlier today in Asian session. If you look at the daily chart, it’s the first convincing bullish candle since December 13 and so far I think it’s a normal correction and major scenario remains bearish with 1.3000 – 1.2900 support area to be tested. On h4 chart below we can see price is moving in triangle formation indicates consolidation. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 1.3300 and the upper line of the triangle. A clear break above the triangle could be a technical threat to the bearish outlook, but note that false breakout remains highly potential. Immediate support at 1.3200 – 1.3170. A clear break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure re-testing 1.3100 – 1.3060 strong support area.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD made a convincing bullish correction yesterday, topped at 1.3237 and hit 1.3258 earlier today in Asian session. If you look at the daily chart, it’s the first convincing bullish candle since December 13 and so far I think it’s a normal correction and major scenario remains bearish with 1.3000 – 1.2900 support area to be tested. On h4 chart below we can see price is moving in triangle formation indicates consolidation. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 1.3300 and the upper line of the triangle. A clear break above the triangle could be a technical threat to the bearish outlook, but note that false breakout remains highly potential. Immediate support at 1.3200 – 1.3170. A clear break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure re-testing 1.3100 – 1.3060 strong support area.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD also made a significant bullish correction yesterday, topped at 1.5516 and hit 1.5528 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 1.5650 resistance area since a bounce from major trend line support could trigger strong upside pullback, but the major scenario remains to the downside as long as price moves inside the bearish channel and any bullish movement now should be considered as a counter trend moves. Immediate support at 1.5450. Clear break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 1.5400 1.5350 support area but looks like we still have some room inside the bearish channel for further potential upside correction especially if price still move above the trend line support.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD also made a significant bullish correction yesterday, topped at 1.5516 and hit 1.5528 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 1.5650 resistance area since a bounce from major trend line support could trigger strong upside pullback, but the major scenario remains to the downside as long as price moves inside the bearish channel and any bullish movement now should be considered as a counter trend moves. Immediate support at 1.5450. Clear break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 1.5400 1.5350 support area but looks like we still have some room inside the bearish channel for further potential upside correction especially if price still move above the trend line support.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF made another strong bearish momentum yesterday bottomed at 0.9438 and hit 0.9415 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bearish in nearest term testing 0.9350. Immediate resistance at 0.9475. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term and may lead us to further upside consolidation in this end of the year testing 0.9550 resistance area.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF made another strong bearish momentum yesterday bottomed at 0.9438 and hit 0.9415 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bearish in nearest term testing 0.9350. Immediate resistance at 0.9475. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term and may lead us to further upside consolidation in this end of the year testing 0.9550 resistance area.