تحليل فوركس فني يومي لخمسة أزواج

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY continued its bearish pressure yesterday, slipped below 126.10 and hit 125.48. We are in critical technical point now, where further bearish scenario is potential, targeting 124.50 area in nearest term, even lower. On the upside, immediate resistance at 126.50. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as price may consolidate in the last day of 2010. Happy New Year! May we all have a more profitable year.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY continued its bearish pressure yesterday, slipped below 126.10 and hit 125.48. We are in critical technical point now, where further bearish scenario is potential, targeting 124.50 area in nearest term, even lower. On the upside, immediate resistance at 126.50. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as price may consolidate in the last day of 2010. Happy New Year! May we all have a more profitable year.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD was indecisive yesterday, made a Doji on daily chart. This Doji makes me look at the other Doji on November 05, where price made a big downside correction after touched the all time high at 1.0182 as you can see on my daily chart below. Will it be the same scenario this time? No one can tell but it is potential, even with a double top bearish scenario which could create further downside scenario lower than 0.9536 from a long term outlook. Very tempting scenario don’t you think? The bias is neutral in nearest term. Clear break above 1.0182/90 could trigger further bullish momentum aiming for 1.0277 new historical high projection and may cancel the double top bearish reversal scenario. Immediate support at 1.0100. Break below that area could be an early validation of a double top bearish reversal scenario. Happy New Year! May we all have a more profitable year.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD was indecisive yesterday, made a Doji on daily chart. This Doji makes me look at the other Doji on November 05, where price made a big downside correction after touched the all time high at 1.0182 as you can see on my daily chart below. Will it be the same scenario this time? No one can tell but it is potential, even with a double top bearish scenario which could create further downside scenario lower than 0.9536 from a long term outlook. Very tempting scenario don’t you think? The bias is neutral in nearest term. Clear break above 1.0182/90 could trigger further bullish momentum aiming for 1.0277 new historical high projection and may cancel the double top bearish reversal scenario. Immediate support at 1.0100. Break below that area could be an early validation of a double top bearish reversal scenario. Happy New Year! May we all have a more profitable year.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD was corrected higher last week as Dollar was broadly lower in the last week of 2010. My medium outlook remains neutral as price still moves in range area of 1.2968 – 1.3497 as you can on my daily chart below. I still prefer a bearish scenario, but if price makes a clear break above 1.3497 this week, I have no technical reason to maintain my bearish outlook with 1.3600 – 1.3750 resistance area to be tested. Earlier today in Asian session, the pair was traded lower, hit 1.3276 after peaked at 1.3423 on Friday. The bias is bearish in nearest term especially if price make further downside break below 1.3270 testing 1.3200 – 1.3170 support area. Immediate resistance at 1.3323. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term, but would give another chance for further upside pressure testing 1.3497 key resistance area. On the downside, bearish continuation scenario would have further validation on a clear break below the trend line support.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD was corrected higher last week as Dollar was broadly lower in the last week of 2010. My medium outlook remains neutral as price still moves in range area of 1.2968 – 1.3497 as you can on my daily chart below. I still prefer a bearish scenario, but if price makes a clear break above 1.3497 this week, I have no technical reason to maintain my bearish outlook with 1.3600 – 1.3750 resistance area to be tested. Earlier today in Asian session, the pair was traded lower, hit 1.3276 after peaked at 1.3423 on Friday. The bias is bearish in nearest term especially if price make further downside break below 1.3270 testing 1.3200 – 1.3170 support area. Immediate resistance at 1.3323. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term, but would give another chance for further upside pressure testing 1.3497 key resistance area. On the downside, bearish continuation scenario would have further validation on a clear break below the trend line support.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD continued its bullish correction on Friday as Dollar was broadly lower during the last week of 2010, topped at 1.5663 but traded lower earlier today in Asian session and hit 1.5531. The bias is neutral in nearest term. We are still in bullish correction phase, but as long as price moves inside the bearish channel the major scenario remains to the downside. Immediate support at 1.5475. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 1.5400 – 1.5350 but as long as the trend line support hold, we may see another strong upside rebound and market likely to remain volatile. Immediate resistance at 1.5600. Clear break above that area could trigger further bullish momentum targeting 1.5650 – 1.5700 and the upper line of the bearish channel which could be a serious threat to the bearish outlook.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD continued its bullish correction on Friday as Dollar was broadly lower during the last week of 2010, topped at 1.5663 but traded lower earlier today in Asian session and hit 1.5531. The bias is neutral in nearest term. We are still in bullish correction phase, but as long as price moves inside the bearish channel the major scenario remains to the downside. Immediate support at 1.5475. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 1.5400 – 1.5350 but as long as the trend line support hold, we may see another strong upside rebound and market likely to remain volatile. Immediate resistance at 1.5600. Clear break above that area could trigger further bullish momentum targeting 1.5650 – 1.5700 and the upper line of the bearish channel which could be a serious threat to the bearish outlook.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF was indecisive on Friday, made a Doji on Daily chart. The bias is neutral in nearest term but still within a context of major bearish scenario. Immediate resistance at 0.9395 followed by 0.9440. Immediate support at 0.9300 – 0.9275 which is remain the nearest bearish target. Below that support area, 0.9200 – 0.9000 would be the next bearish target.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF was indecisive on Friday, made a Doji on Daily chart. The bias is neutral in nearest term but still within a context of major bearish scenario. Immediate resistance at 0.9395 followed by 0.9440. Immediate support at 0.9300 – 0.9275 which is remain the nearest bearish target. Below that support area, 0.9200 – 0.9000 would be the next bearish target.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY ended 2010 with bearish bias after violated the trend line support, hit 80.93 on Friday but corrected higher earlier today in Asian session, struggling around 81.30 area. The bias remains bearish in nearest term still targeting 80.00 support area especially if price able to make another break below 80.93. Immediate resistance at 81.80. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 82.33. Overall CCI indicator still moves in negative territory suggests potential downside pressure.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY ended 2010 with bearish bias after violated the trend line support, hit 80.93 on Friday but corrected higher earlier today in Asian session, struggling around 81.30 area. The bias remains bearish in nearest term still targeting 80.00 support area especially if price able to make another break below 80.93. Immediate resistance at 81.80. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 82.33. Overall CCI indicator still moves in negative territory suggests potential downside pressure.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY attempted to push higher on Friday, topped at 108.90 but traded lower earlier today in Asian session, hit 107.92. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 107.30 and 106.25. Immediate resistance at 108.45 (current high). Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term re-testing 108.90, but only a clear break above 109.50 could be a serious threat to the current bearish outlook.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY attempted to push higher on Friday, topped at 108.90 but traded lower earlier today in Asian session, hit 107.92. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 107.30 and 106.25. Immediate resistance at 108.45 (current high). Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term re-testing 108.90, but only a clear break above 109.50 could be a serious threat to the current bearish outlook.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY was corrected high on Friday, topped at 126.98 and struggling around 126.50 at the time I wrote this comment, moves in a volatile but ranging market condition since Thursday. This fact should not be a surprise as from a longer term outlook on daily chart price is in critical phase, testing a major support as you can see on my daily chart below. The major scenario remains bearish, but note that the horizontal line could be a potential bottom for now. However, I see no technical bullish reversal signal so far, so I still prefer a bearish scenario at this phase especially if price able to make another strong break below 125.50 targeting 124.50. On the upside, a break above 127.00 could trigger further bullish pullback testing 127.50 which could open the door for further bullish pullback as we have no significant bullish correction since the strong bearish move from the mid of December but until I see a potential bullish reversal signal, I am still in a bearish mode.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY was corrected high on Friday, topped at 126.98 and struggling around 126.50 at the time I wrote this comment, moves in a volatile but ranging market condition since Thursday. This fact should not be a surprise as from a longer term outlook on daily chart price is in critical phase, testing a major support as you can see on my daily chart below. The major scenario remains bearish, but note that the horizontal line could be a potential bottom for now. However, I see no technical bullish reversal signal so far, so I still prefer a bearish scenario at this phase especially if price able to make another strong break below 125.50 targeting 124.50. On the upside, a break above 127.00 could trigger further bullish pullback testing 127.50 which could open the door for further bullish pullback as we have no significant bullish correction since the strong bearish move from the mid of December but until I see a potential bullish reversal signal, I am still in a bearish mode.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued its bullish momentum on Friday, made a new historical high at 1.0256 and so far still able to move above 1.0182 key level. While a big downside correction scenario may still interested for a long term traders, nearest term bias remains strongly bullish targeting 1.0277 – 1.0300 new historical high projection. Immediate support at 1.0178. Clear break below that area could trigger further bearish pullback testing 1.0100.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued its bullish momentum on Friday, made a new historical high at 1.0256 and so far still able to move above 1.0182 key level. While a big downside correction scenario may still interested for a long term traders, nearest term bias remains strongly bullish targeting 1.0277 – 1.0300 new historical high projection. Immediate support at 1.0178. Clear break below that area could trigger further bearish pullback testing 1.0100.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD was volatile but indecisive yesterday. There are no significant technical movement so far and overall still ranging between 1.3500 – 1.2968. This trendless/consolidation market is not an ideal condition to have any position. Be patient and do not rush jump into the market. The bias is neutral both in nearest and medium term. Immediate resistance at 1.3400. Clear break above that area could trigger further bullish pressure testing 1.3500. Immediate support at 1.3300. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure re-testing 1.3250 (yesterday’s low). I still prefer a bearish scenario, but a clear break above 1.3500 could be an early signal of a bullish reversal scenario and would activate my bullish mode.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD was volatile but indecisive yesterday. There are no significant technical movement so far and overall still ranging between 1.3500 – 1.2968. This trendless/consolidation market is not an ideal condition to have any position. Be patient and do not rush jump into the market. The bias is neutral both in nearest and medium term. Immediate resistance at 1.3400. Clear break above that area could trigger further bullish pressure testing 1.3500. Immediate support at 1.3300. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure re-testing 1.3250 (yesterday’s low). I still prefer a bearish scenario, but a clear break above 1.3500 could be an early signal of a bullish reversal scenario and would activate my bullish mode.