تحليل فوركس فني يومي لخمسة أزواج

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD had a moderate bearish momentum yesterday. The major scenario remains bearish as long as price still moves inside the bearish channel, but need a clear break below the trend line support, which has proven itself as a strong support area at this phase. I only see potential good trades to short around the upper line of the bearish channel (around 1.5700) or long around the trend line support (around 1.5370 – 1.5400) with tight stop loss. Any trades between those area is not “safe” for me, as short term volatility could easily hit our stop loss as market remains consolidating without clear direction and consistent momentum and the risk-reward ratio is bad. I still prefer a bearish scenario and expect a clear break below the trend line support, but until that happen, we have no further validation for the bearish continuation scenario. Be patient.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD had a moderate bearish momentum yesterday. The major scenario remains bearish as long as price still moves inside the bearish channel, but need a clear break below the trend line support, which has proven itself as a strong support area at this phase. I only see potential good trades to short around the upper line of the bearish channel (around 1.5700) or long around the trend line support (around 1.5370 – 1.5400) with tight stop loss. Any trades between those area is not “safe” for me, as short term volatility could easily hit our stop loss as market remains consolidating without clear direction and consistent momentum and the risk-reward ratio is bad. I still prefer a bearish scenario and expect a clear break below the trend line support, but until that happen, we have no further validation for the bearish continuation scenario. Be patient.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF made another indecisive movement yesterday, made another Doji on Daily chart. The bias remains neutral in nearest term and we may now enter the consolidation phase with potential upside correction, but the main scenario remains strongly bearish. Immediate resistance remains at 0.9395 followed by 0.9440. On the downside, clear break below 0.9300 could trigger further bearish momentum testing 0.9200 region.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF made another indecisive movement yesterday, made another Doji on Daily chart. The bias remains neutral in nearest term and we may now enter the consolidation phase with potential upside correction, but the main scenario remains strongly bearish. Immediate resistance remains at 0.9395 followed by 0.9440. On the downside, clear break below 0.9300 could trigger further bearish momentum testing 0.9200 region.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY had a significant bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 81.74 and hit 81.93 earlier today in Asian session. If you look at the daily chart, yesterday’s bullish candle was the first convincing bullish candle since strong bearish momentum from 84.35, so this was a normal bullish correction. However, the bias remains bullish in nearest term targeting 82.33. A clear break above that area could trigger further short term bullish momentum and change the medium term outlook from bearish to neutral. On the downside, we need another clear break below 81.30 to keep the strong bearish scenario intact still targeting 80.00 support area.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY had a significant bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 81.74 and hit 81.93 earlier today in Asian session. If you look at the daily chart, yesterday’s bullish candle was the first convincing bullish candle since strong bearish momentum from 84.35, so this was a normal bullish correction. However, the bias remains bullish in nearest term targeting 82.33. A clear break above that area could trigger further short term bullish momentum and change the medium term outlook from bearish to neutral. On the downside, we need another clear break below 81.30 to keep the strong bearish scenario intact still targeting 80.00 support area.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY failed to continue its bearish bias yesterday, violated the minor bearish channel to the upside as you can see on my h4 chart below. The bias is bullish in nearest term especially if price able to make a clear break above 109.50 testing 110.10/50 and could be a serious threat to the major bearish scenario. Immediate support at 108.60. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure re-testing 107.30 and keep the bearish scenario remains strong as a false breakout scenario could be produced.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY failed to continue its bearish bias yesterday, violated the minor bearish channel to the upside as you can see on my h4 chart below. The bias is bullish in nearest term especially if price able to make a clear break above 109.50 testing 110.10/50 and could be a serious threat to the major bearish scenario. Immediate support at 108.60. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure re-testing 107.30 and keep the bearish scenario remains strong as a false breakout scenario could be produced.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY continued its bullish correction yesterday and hit 126.94 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 128.00 as the failure to make a clear break below the horizontal support area could trigger some upside rebounds. If we look at the daily chart, the bullish correction/consolidation move in the last two days is actually a normal correction and the major scenario remains bearish, but unless price make a clear break below 125.50, we may see further upside pullback. Immediate support at 126.33 (current low). Break below that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but would give a bearish pressure another chance to test 125.50 support area.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY continued its bullish correction yesterday and hit 126.94 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 128.00 as the failure to make a clear break below the horizontal support area could trigger some upside rebounds. If we look at the daily chart, the bullish correction/consolidation move in the last two days is actually a normal correction and the major scenario remains bearish, but unless price make a clear break below 125.50, we may see further upside pullback. Immediate support at 126.33 (current low). Break below that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but would give a bearish pressure another chance to test 125.50 support area.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD was corrected lower yesterday, bottomed at 1.0149 and hit 1.0122 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term especially if price able to break below 1.0115/20 support area testing 1.0050/00. On the upside, another movement above 1.0182 would keep the major bullish scenario strong, testing 1.0228/56 before set to make further historical highs.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD was corrected lower yesterday, bottomed at 1.0149 and hit 1.0122 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term especially if price able to break below 1.0115/20 support area testing 1.0050/00. On the upside, another movement above 1.0182 would keep the major bullish scenario strong, testing 1.0228/56 before set to make further historical highs.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 1.3431 but whipsawed to the downside, closed at 1.3309. Medium bias remains neutral/unclear as price still trapped in range area of 1.3500 – 1.2968. On h4 chart below we can see price slipped below the minor bullish channel indicates potential bearish bias in nearest term testing 1.3200 – 1.3170 support area but I’m only interested shorting the Euro around 1.3500. Immediate resistance at 1.3370. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.3400/50 but only a clear break above 1.3500 would be a threat to the bearish outlook. Overall price still consolidation without clear direction and consistent momentum so do not rush jump into the market.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 1.3431 but whipsawed to the downside, closed at 1.3309. Medium bias remains neutral/unclear as price still trapped in range area of 1.3500 – 1.2968. On h4 chart below we can see price slipped below the minor bullish channel indicates potential bearish bias in nearest term testing 1.3200 – 1.3170 support area but I’m only interested shorting the Euro around 1.3500. Immediate resistance at 1.3370. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.3400/50 but only a clear break above 1.3500 would be a threat to the bearish outlook. Overall price still consolidation without clear direction and consistent momentum so do not rush jump into the market.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD continued its bullish correction yesterday, topped at 1.5644 and closed at 1.5595, made another bullish daily candle. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 1.5700 and the upper line of the bearish channel. As long as the bearish channel hold, the major scenario remains bearish so the upper line of the bearish channel still a good place for a short position, but a valid violation to the bearish channel could be an early signal of a bullish reversal and activate my bullish mode testing 1.6000 region. Immediate support at 1.5550. Break below that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.5500 – 1.5450 but as long as price moves above the trend line we are still in consolidation phase with a neutral medium bias.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD continued its bullish correction yesterday, topped at 1.5644 and closed at 1.5595, made another bullish daily candle. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 1.5700 and the upper line of the bearish channel. As long as the bearish channel hold, the major scenario remains bearish so the upper line of the bearish channel still a good place for a short position, but a valid violation to the bearish channel could be an early signal of a bullish reversal and activate my bullish mode testing 1.6000 region. Immediate support at 1.5550. Break below that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.5500 – 1.5450 but as long as price moves above the trend line we are still in consolidation phase with a neutral medium bias.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF made a significant bullish correction yesterday, topped at 0.9515 and closed at 0.9478. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 0.9550 and the upper line of the bearish channel. A clear break above the bearish channel could be a threat to the current bearish outlook with potential bullish reversal scenario testing 0.9750 area. Immediate support at 0.9440. Break below that area would keep the major bearish scenario remains strong testing 0.9350/00 support area.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF made a significant bullish correction yesterday, topped at 0.9515 and closed at 0.9478. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 0.9550 and the upper line of the bearish channel. A clear break above the bearish channel could be a threat to the current bearish outlook with potential bullish reversal scenario testing 0.9750 area. Immediate support at 0.9440. Break below that area would keep the major bearish scenario remains strong testing 0.9350/00 support area.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY continued its bullish correction yesterday but still unable to break above 82.33 so far. The bias remains bullish in nearest term but need a clear break above 82.33 to continue the bullish correction, lead us to neutral medium bias testing 82.80 resistance area even higher. Immediate support at 81.70. Break below that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term and only a clear break below 81.30 would re-activated my bearish mode testing 80.00.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY continued its bullish correction yesterday but still unable to break above 82.33 so far. The bias remains bullish in nearest term but need a clear break above 82.33 to continue the bullish correction, lead us to neutral medium bias testing 82.80 resistance area even higher. Immediate support at 81.70. Break below that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term and only a clear break below 81.30 would re-activated my bearish mode testing 80.00.