تحليل فوركس فني يومي لخمسة أزواج

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD continued its bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 1.2983 and hit 1.2969 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bearish in nearest term, testing 1.2920 and the trend line support. From another technical perspective as you can see on my daily chart below, the trend line support is also the neckline of a head and shoulders pattern. A clear break below the neckline would confirm the bearish continuation scenario at least testing 1.2700 – 1.2600 area. Immediate resistance at 1.3040. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term. Note that as long as the trend line support/neckline hold, we are still in consolidation phase where bearish continuation scenario is not validated yet. Fundamental focus on the US NFP number today, which is expected to be good, forecast around 159K with previous number only 39K. A better than expected US NFP number could send the Euro lower below the neckline and confirm the bearish continuation scenario while a worse than expected number could prevent further bearish pressure and keep price in range area but I think overall the pressure remains to the downside.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD continued its bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 1.2983 and hit 1.2969 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bearish in nearest term, testing 1.2920 and the trend line support. From another technical perspective as you can see on my daily chart below, the trend line support is also the neckline of a head and shoulders pattern. A clear break below the neckline would confirm the bearish continuation scenario at least testing 1.2700 – 1.2600 area. Immediate resistance at 1.3040. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term. Note that as long as the trend line support/neckline hold, we are still in consolidation phase where bearish continuation scenario is not validated yet. Fundamental focus on the US NFP number today, which is expected to be good, forecast around 159K with previous number only 39K. A better than expected US NFP number could send the Euro lower below the neckline and confirm the bearish continuation scenario while a worse than expected number could prevent further bearish pressure and keep price in range area but I think overall the pressure remains to the downside.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 1.5562 but whipsawed to the downside, bottomed at 1.5445 and hit 1.5435 earlier today in Asian session. On h4 chart below we can see price slipped below the minor trend line support indicates potential further bearish pressure testing 1.5370/50 and the trend line support in nearest term, but note that as long as price stay above the trend line support we are still in consolidation phase. Immediate resistance at 1.5525/50 area. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.5600/50. Fundamental focus on the US NFP number today, which is expected to be good, forecast around 159K with previous number only 39K. A better than expected US NFP number could push Sterling lower testing the trend line support while a worse than expected result could prevent further bearish pressure and keep price in range area, but the major scenario remains to the downside.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 1.5562 but whipsawed to the downside, bottomed at 1.5445 and hit 1.5435 earlier today in Asian session. On h4 chart below we can see price slipped below the minor trend line support indicates potential further bearish pressure testing 1.5370/50 and the trend line support in nearest term, but note that as long as price stay above the trend line support we are still in consolidation phase. Immediate resistance at 1.5525/50 area. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.5600/50. Fundamental focus on the US NFP number today, which is expected to be good, forecast around 159K with previous number only 39K. A better than expected US NFP number could push Sterling lower testing the trend line support while a worse than expected result could prevent further bearish pressure and keep price in range area, but the major scenario remains to the downside.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF was indecisive yesterday, made a Doji on daily chart. The bias is neutral in nearest term but still with more upside bias after the violation of the bearish channel testing 0.9750 – 0.9800 resistance area. Immediate support remains around 0.9600 followed by 0.9550. Fundamental focus on US NFP today.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF was indecisive yesterday, made a Doji on daily chart. The bias is neutral in nearest term but still with more upside bias after the violation of the bearish channel testing 0.9750 – 0.9800 resistance area. Immediate support remains around 0.9600 followed by 0.9550. Fundamental focus on US NFP today.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY was indecisive yesterday, made a Doji on daily chart. The bias is neutral in nearest term but overall still with more upside bias after the false breakdown below the trend line support and strong break above 82.33 testing 84.40 key resistance area. Immediate support remains around 82.80. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pullback testing 82.33 support area.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY was indecisive yesterday, made a Doji on daily chart. The bias is neutral in nearest term but overall still with more upside bias after the false breakdown below the trend line support and strong break above 82.33 testing 84.40 key resistance area. Immediate support remains around 82.80. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pullback testing 82.33 support area.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY had a bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 108.10 and closed at 108.26. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 107.30 before targeting 106.25 support area. Immediate resistance at 109.00 and the trend line resistance (around 109.50). A clear break above the trend line resistance could be a threat to the bearish scenario and potential bullish reversal scenario.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY had a bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 108.10 and closed at 108.26. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 107.30 before targeting 106.25 support area. Immediate resistance at 109.00 and the trend line resistance (around 109.50). A clear break above the trend line resistance could be a threat to the bearish scenario and potential bullish reversal scenario.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY was indecisive yesterday. The bias is neutral in nearest term and we are still in critical phase with 129.30 as a key resistance area, where a clear break above that area could be an early signal of a bullish reversal scenario at least testing 130.30. Immediate support at 128.41 (yesterday’s low). Clear break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure targeting 128.00 – 127.50 support area and could be an early signal of bearish continuation testing 126.50 even lower.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY was indecisive yesterday. The bias is neutral in nearest term and we are still in critical phase with 129.30 as a key resistance area, where a clear break above that area could be an early signal of a bullish reversal scenario at least testing 130.30. Immediate support at 128.41 (yesterday’s low). Clear break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure targeting 128.00 – 127.50 support area and could be an early signal of bearish continuation testing 126.50 even lower.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued its bearish correction yesterday, bottomed at 0.9927 and hit 0.9918 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bearish in nearest term as a psychological correction after hit historical high and the breakdown below the trend line support as you can see on my h4 chart below testing 0.9860. We already have four consecutive bearish daily candles since the fall from 1.0256 so any upside pullback is normal. Immediate resistance at 0.9987 – 1.0013. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as price would be in consolidation phase both on nearest and medium term outlook.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued its bearish correction yesterday, bottomed at 0.9927 and hit 0.9918 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bearish in nearest term as a psychological correction after hit historical high and the breakdown below the trend line support as you can see on my h4 chart below testing 0.9860. We already have four consecutive bearish daily candles since the fall from 1.0256 so any upside pullback is normal. Immediate resistance at 0.9987 – 1.0013. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as price would be in consolidation phase both on nearest and medium term outlook.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Weekly Summary: Slipped below the neckline, Euro could hit 1.2700 – 1.2600 next week


The EURUSD had a significant bearish movement this week, made a big bearish candle on weekly chart, hit 1.2900 support area and slipped below the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern as you can see on my daily chart below, suggests potential bearish continuation scenario testing 1.2700 – 1.2600 area next week especially if price able to make convincing move below the neckline and 1.2900 support level. Immediate resistance at 1.3020 (Friday’s high). Break above that area could trigger further upside correction testing 1.3150 region and lead us back to a range market, but unless we have big surprise on Euro fundamental condition that could create a sentiment shift , I think overall the pressure should remain strongly bearish.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Weekly Summary: Slipped below the neckline, Euro could hit 1.2700 – 1.2600 next week


The EURUSD had a significant bearish movement this week, made a big bearish candle on weekly chart, hit 1.2900 support area and slipped below the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern as you can see on my daily chart below, suggests potential bearish continuation scenario testing 1.2700 – 1.2600 area next week especially if price able to make convincing move below the neckline and 1.2900 support level. Immediate resistance at 1.3020 (Friday’s high). Break above that area could trigger further upside correction testing 1.3150 region and lead us back to a range market, but unless we have big surprise on Euro fundamental condition that could create a sentiment shift , I think overall the pressure should remain strongly bearish.

[محمد نوارج]

جزاكَ الله كل خير يا غالي ..،

[محمد نوارج]

جزاكَ الله كل خير يا غالي ..،

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD attempted to push lower earlier today in Asian session, hit 1.2884 but corrected higher traded around 1.2925 at the time I wrote this comment. The bias remains bearish in nearest term especially if price able to make another strong break below 1.2884 testing 1.2828 – 1.2800 support area before targeting 1.2700 – 1.2600 this week as the head and shoulders bearish scenario would have further validation. Immediate resistance at 1.2970. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.3020 resistance area but any upside correction after strong bearish movement last week is normal and my major technical outlook remains strongly bearish for the single currency.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD attempted to push lower earlier today in Asian session, hit 1.2884 but corrected higher traded around 1.2925 at the time I wrote this comment. The bias remains bearish in nearest term especially if price able to make another strong break below 1.2884 testing 1.2828 – 1.2800 support area before targeting 1.2700 – 1.2600 this week as the head and shoulders bearish scenario would have further validation. Immediate resistance at 1.2970. Break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.3020 resistance area but any upside correction after strong bearish movement last week is normal and my major technical outlook remains strongly bearish for the single currency.