تحليل فوركس فني يومي لخمسة أزواج

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD finally made a breakout above the range area after two weeks of consolidation as you can see on my h4 chart below. This fact should continue the major bullish scenario targeting 1.4400 – 1.4500 area this week. On the downside, immediate support at 1.4281/50. Another consistent move and daily close below that support level would lead us back to neutral zone, even could create a false breakout bearish scenario testing 1.4150 – 1.4035 support area.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD finally made a breakout above the range area after two weeks of consolidation as you can see on my h4 chart below. This fact should continue the major bullish scenario targeting 1.4400 – 1.4500 area this week. On the downside, immediate support at 1.4281/50. Another consistent move and daily close below that support level would lead us back to neutral zone, even could create a false breakout bearish scenario testing 1.4150 – 1.4035 support area.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD was indecisive yesterday after a strong bullish run on Tuesday. The bias is neutral both on short and medium term as price still trapped in range area of 1.6400 – 1.5950 as you can see on my daily chart below. A bearish pullback warning indicated by CCI bearish divergence. Immediate support at 1.6250. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 1.6170/80 support area. Immediate resistance at 1.6335. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish retesting 1.6400 key resistance area.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD was indecisive yesterday after a strong bullish run on Tuesday. The bias is neutral both on short and medium term as price still trapped in range area of 1.6400 – 1.5950 as you can see on my daily chart below. A bearish pullback warning indicated by CCI bearish divergence. Immediate support at 1.6250. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 1.6170/80 support area. Immediate resistance at 1.6335. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish retesting 1.6400 key resistance area.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF had a bearish momentum yesterday on broad US Dollar weakness, but found a good support right at the lower line of the bullish channel and 0.9130 support area as you can see on my daily chart below. The bias is bearish in nearest term but note that we need a clear break below the bullish channel and 0.9130 to end the bullish correction scenario and continue the major bearish scenario at least testing 0.9000 – 0.8900. Immediate resistance at 0.9230. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but would keep the bullish correction scenario remains strong testing 0.9368.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF had a bearish momentum yesterday on broad US Dollar weakness, but found a good support right at the lower line of the bullish channel and 0.9130 support area as you can see on my daily chart below. The bias is bearish in nearest term but note that we need a clear break below the bullish channel and 0.9130 to end the bullish correction scenario and continue the major bearish scenario at least testing 0.9000 – 0.8900. Immediate resistance at 0.9230. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but would keep the bullish correction scenario remains strong testing 0.9368.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY still able to maintain its bullish intraday bias yesterday but still unable to make a break above 85.90 key resistance area and traded lower earlier today in Asian session hit 85.10. The bias is neutral in nearest term and some downside pullback could be seen today testing 84.71 support area. A clear break and daily close below 84.71 could trigger further bearish consolidation testing 84.15 but overall the major scenario remains strongly bullish for me. On the upside, a clear break above 85.51 would change the intraday bias back to bullish retesting 85.90. Above 85.90, 86.30/50 area would be the next nearest bullish target.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY still able to maintain its bullish intraday bias yesterday but still unable to make a break above 85.90 key resistance area and traded lower earlier today in Asian session hit 85.10. The bias is neutral in nearest term and some downside pullback could be seen today testing 84.71 support area. A clear break and daily close below 84.71 could trigger further bearish consolidation testing 84.15 but overall the major scenario remains strongly bullish for me. On the upside, a clear break above 85.51 would change the intraday bias back to bullish retesting 85.90. Above 85.90, 86.30/50 area would be the next nearest bullish target.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY continued its bullish bias yesterday, topped at 122.59 but corrected lower earlier today in Asian session hit 121.68. The bias is neutral in nearest term but overall my technical outlook remains strongly bullish targeting 125.44 and 127.90. Immediate support at 121.68 (current low). A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 121.20 support area but overall I still prefer a bullish scenario for this pair. On the upside, a clear break above 122.59 would continue the bullish momentum and end the current bearish correction phase.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY continued its bullish bias yesterday, topped at 122.59 but corrected lower earlier today in Asian session hit 121.68. The bias is neutral in nearest term but overall my technical outlook remains strongly bullish targeting 125.44 and 127.90. Immediate support at 121.68 (current low). A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 121.20 support area but overall I still prefer a bullish scenario for this pair. On the upside, a clear break above 122.59 would continue the bullish momentum and end the current bearish correction phase.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY continued its bullish momentum yesterday topped at 139.67 but corrected lower earlier today in Asian session and hit 138.65. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 138.10 support area but note that the current bearish pressure should be seen as a normal correction after strong bullish run since the intervention and I still prefer a bullish scenario at this phase. On my h1 chart below we can see price is moving in a range area between 139.67 – 138.10 indicates consolidation. A clear break above the range would continue the major bullish scenario testing 142.00 and 145.95.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY continued its bullish momentum yesterday topped at 139.67 but corrected lower earlier today in Asian session and hit 138.65. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 138.10 support area but note that the current bearish pressure should be seen as a normal correction after strong bullish run since the intervention and I still prefer a bullish scenario at this phase. On my h1 chart below we can see price is moving in a range area between 139.67 – 138.10 indicates consolidation. A clear break above the range would continue the major bullish scenario testing 142.00 and 145.95.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued it bullish momentum yesterday after made a clear break above 1.0370 and hit another new all time high at 1.0481 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bullish in nearest term testing 1.0500 – 1.0550 new all time high projection. Immediate support at 1.0419 (current low). A clear break below that area would lead us in neutral zone in nearest term and lead us to bearish consolidation phase testing 1.0370 (former resistance) but overall I think the bullish scenario should remain strong.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued it bullish momentum yesterday after made a clear break above 1.0370 and hit another new all time high at 1.0481 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bullish in nearest term testing 1.0500 – 1.0550 new all time high projection. Immediate support at 1.0419 (current low). A clear break below that area would lead us in neutral zone in nearest term and lead us to bearish consolidation phase testing 1.0370 (former resistance) but overall I think the bullish scenario should remain strong.

[m.youssif]

EUR/USD retreats mildly after rising to 1.4348 but with 1.4251 minor support intact, intraday bias remains on the upside and further rise should still be seen to 100% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.4414. On the downside, below 1.4251 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.4020 support holds.

In the bigger picture, the break of 1.4281 resistance firstly confirms that whole medium term rebound from 1.1875 has resumed. FUrther rise should now be seen towards 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Also, note that current development also affirms the case that medium term correction 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into and impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high. On the downside, break of 1.3427 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

[m.youssif]

EUR/USD retreats mildly after rising to 1.4348 but with 1.4251 minor support intact, intraday bias remains on the upside and further rise should still be seen to 100% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.4414. On the downside, below 1.4251 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.4020 support holds.

In the bigger picture, the break of 1.4281 resistance firstly confirms that whole medium term rebound from 1.1875 has resumed. FUrther rise should now be seen towards 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Also, note that current development also affirms the case that medium term correction 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into and impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high. On the downside, break of 1.3427 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

[m.youssif]

With 4 hours MACD crossed below signal line, a temporary top is in place at GBP/USD at 1.6362 and intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment. We'd still favor another rise as long as 1.6175 support holds. Break of 1.6400 resistance will confirm that whole rise from 1.5343 has resumed and should target 61.8% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6588. However, below 1.6175 will flip bias back to the downside for 1.5935 to continue to consolidation from 1.6400.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5343 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.

[m.youssif]

With 4 hours MACD crossed below signal line, a temporary top is in place at GBP/USD at 1.6362 and intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment. We'd still favor another rise as long as 1.6175 support holds. Break of 1.6400 resistance will confirm that whole rise from 1.5343 has resumed and should target 61.8% projection of 1.5343 to 1.6400 from 1.5935 at 1.6588. However, below 1.6175 will flip bias back to the downside for 1.5935 to continue to consolidation from 1.6400.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 (2009 low) are treated as consolidation to long term down trend from 2007 high of 2.1161. Rise from 1.4230 is treated as the third leg of such consolidation and with 1.5343 support intact, such rise could still continue for 1.7043 resistance. But after all, strong resistance should be seen between 1.7043 and 50% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.3503 at 1.7332 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.4230 support will be the first signal of down trend resumption and will turn focus to 1.3503 low for confirmation.

[m.youssif]

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and with 0.9126 minor support intact, another rise cannot be ruled out yet. But even in that case, upside should be limited by near term falling trend line resistance (now at 0.9559) and bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below 0.9126 minor support will flip bias to the downside for 0.8921 low first. Break will confirm fall resumption for 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664.

In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9774 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

[m.youssif]

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and with 0.9126 minor support intact, another rise cannot be ruled out yet. But even in that case, upside should be limited by near term falling trend line resistance (now at 0.9559) and bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below 0.9126 minor support will flip bias to the downside for 0.8921 low first. Break will confirm fall resumption for 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664.

In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9774 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.