تحليل فوركس فني يومي لخمسة أزواج

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD had a bearish momentum yesterday and hit 1.6276 earlier today in Asian session after another failure to make a clear break above 1.6400. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 1.6250 – 1.6170 but note that the daily outlook remains sideways. Immediate resistance at 1.6360. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish retesting 1.6400 but we need a clear break above 1.6400 to continue the bullish scenario, still testing 1.6450 – 1.6500.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD had a bearish momentum yesterday and hit 1.6276 earlier today in Asian session after another failure to make a clear break above 1.6400. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 1.6250 – 1.6170 but note that the daily outlook remains sideways. Immediate resistance at 1.6360. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish retesting 1.6400 but we need a clear break above 1.6400 to continue the bullish scenario, still testing 1.6450 – 1.6500.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF still able to maintain its bearish bias so far and hit 0.9017 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bearish in nearest term still targeting 0.9000 – 0.8900. Immediate resistance at 0.9070. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to neutral but only a clear break above 0.9130 could halt the current strong bearish outlook.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF still able to maintain its bearish bias so far and hit 0.9017 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bearish in nearest term still targeting 0.9000 – 0.8900. Immediate resistance at 0.9070. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to neutral but only a clear break above 0.9130 could halt the current strong bearish outlook.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY was corrected lower yesterday, broke below 84.70 and hit 83.45 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 83.00 but note that the major scenario remains bullish and only a consistent move below 82.00 could be a threat to the major bullish outlook. On the upside, immediate resistance at 84.50. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term and we need a clear break above 85.00 to end this bearish correction phase retesting 85.90 key resistance area.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY was corrected lower yesterday, broke below 84.70 and hit 83.45 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 83.00 but note that the major scenario remains bullish and only a consistent move below 82.00 could be a threat to the major bullish outlook. On the upside, immediate resistance at 84.50. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term and we need a clear break above 85.00 to end this bearish correction phase retesting 85.90 key resistance area.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY was corrected lower yesterday and slipped below 120.75 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 119.30 as we are now in bearish correction phase but note the major bullish scenario remains intact. I don’t expect any movement below 119.30, but a clear break below 119.30 could trigger further bearish pullback testing 118.00 even 116.00 support area. Immediate resistance at 121.50. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term and only a clear break above 122.59 would end this bearish consolidation phase, still targeting 125.44 and 127.90.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY was corrected lower yesterday and slipped below 120.75 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 119.30 as we are now in bearish correction phase but note the major bullish scenario remains intact. I don’t expect any movement below 119.30, but a clear break below 119.30 could trigger further bearish pullback testing 118.00 even 116.00 support area. Immediate resistance at 121.50. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term and only a clear break above 122.59 would end this bearish consolidation phase, still targeting 125.44 and 127.90.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY had a bearish momentum yesterday after broke below the range area as you can see on my h1 chart below and hit 135.96 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 135.00. Immediate resistance at 137.50. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 138.00 but only a clear break above 139.00 would end this bearish correction phase.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY had a bearish momentum yesterday after broke below the range area as you can see on my h1 chart below and hit 135.96 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 135.00. Immediate resistance at 137.50. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 138.00 but only a clear break above 139.00 would end this bearish correction phase.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD was corrected lower yesterday and hit 1.0388 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 1.0330 but unless price fall below 1.0200 the major bullish outlook should remains strong. On the upside, we need a clear break above 1.0500 to end this bearish correction phase still targeting 1.0650 – 1.0700 new all time high projection.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD was corrected lower yesterday and hit 1.0388 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 1.0330 but unless price fall below 1.0200 the major bullish outlook should remains strong. On the upside, we need a clear break above 1.0500 to end this bearish correction phase still targeting 1.0650 – 1.0700 new all time high projection.

[m.youssif]

USD/CAD's break of 0.9623 minor resistance indicates that a short term bottom is in place with bullish convergence condition in 4 hours MACD. Intraday bias is mildly on the upside for stronger recovery to 0.9666 support turned resistance. But upside should be limited below 0.9750 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9972 to 0.9525 at 0.9749) and bring down trend resumption. Below 0.9525 will target 100% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9353.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and has just resumed. Daily MACD's break of it's trend line suggests that the down trend is possibly regaining momentum again. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall would now be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level.

[m.youssif]

USD/CAD's break of 0.9623 minor resistance indicates that a short term bottom is in place with bullish convergence condition in 4 hours MACD. Intraday bias is mildly on the upside for stronger recovery to 0.9666 support turned resistance. But upside should be limited below 0.9750 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9972 to 0.9525 at 0.9749) and bring down trend resumption. Below 0.9525 will target 100% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9353.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and has just resumed. Daily MACD's break of it's trend line suggests that the down trend is possibly regaining momentum again. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall would now be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level.

[m.youssif]

AUD/USD's break of 1.0506 minor support and the sharp retreat indicates that a short term top is likely in place at 1.0581 with bearish divergence condition in 4 hours MACD. Intraday bias is turned neutral and some consolidations could be seen first. Nevertheless, consolidations should be relatively brief as long as 1.0287 support holds and we'd expect recent rally to resume sooner rather than later. Above 1.0581 will target 161.8% projection of 0.9536 to 1.0254 from 0.9704 at 1.0866 next. However, break of 1.0287 will bring deeper fall towards 61.8% retracement of 0.9704 to 1.0581 at 1.0039 instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 is still in progress and would extend further. Daily MACD's strong rise suggests that the up trend is regaining momentum again. Current rally could target 100% projection of 0.4773 to 0.9849 from 0.6008 at 1.1084. On the downside, break of 0.9704 support in needed to signal medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

[m.youssif]

AUD/USD's break of 1.0506 minor support and the sharp retreat indicates that a short term top is likely in place at 1.0581 with bearish divergence condition in 4 hours MACD. Intraday bias is turned neutral and some consolidations could be seen first. Nevertheless, consolidations should be relatively brief as long as 1.0287 support holds and we'd expect recent rally to resume sooner rather than later. Above 1.0581 will target 161.8% projection of 0.9536 to 1.0254 from 0.9704 at 1.0866 next. However, break of 1.0287 will bring deeper fall towards 61.8% retracement of 0.9704 to 1.0581 at 1.0039 instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 is still in progress and would extend further. Daily MACD's strong rise suggests that the up trend is regaining momentum again. Current rally could target 100% projection of 0.4773 to 0.9849 from 0.6008 at 1.1084. On the downside, break of 0.9704 support in needed to signal medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

[m.youssif]

USD/JPY's retreat from 85.51 is still in progress and deeper fall might be seen. But downside is expected to be contained above 81.97 support and bring rally resumption. Above 85.51 will target 61.8% retracement of 94.97 to 76.40 at 87.87 first. Sustained break there will further affirm the case of medium term reversal and should target 94.97 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.24) will confirm this case and target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. On the downside, break of 80.50 support is needed to invalidate this view, otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish.

[m.youssif]

USD/JPY's retreat from 85.51 is still in progress and deeper fall might be seen. But downside is expected to be contained above 81.97 support and bring rally resumption. Above 85.51 will target 61.8% retracement of 94.97 to 76.40 at 87.87 first. Sustained break there will further affirm the case of medium term reversal and should target 94.97 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.24) will confirm this case and target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. On the downside, break of 80.50 support is needed to invalidate this view, otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish.

[seragsamy]

متابعة مستمرة ومجهود جميل بالتوفيق لك يارب

[seragsamy]

متابعة مستمرة ومجهود جميل بالتوفيق لك يارب