تحليل فوركس فني يومي لخمسة أزواج

[m.youssif]

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside and further fall should be seen to 0.8921 support first. Break will confirm down trend resumption for 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664. On the upside, above 0.9104 minor resistance will dampen the immediate bearish view and bring more consolidation first.

In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9774 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

[m.youssif]

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside and further fall should be seen to 0.8921 support first. Break will confirm down trend resumption for 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664. On the upside, above 0.9104 minor resistance will dampen the immediate bearish view and bring more consolidation first.

In the bigger picture, whole decline from 1.1729 is still in progress and is expected to develop into a five wave impulsive pattern, with fall from 1.0065 as third leg. Sustained trading below 0.9 psychological level will target 61.8% projection of 1.1729 to 0.9462 from 1.0065 at 0.8664 first and then 100% projection at 0.7798. On the upside, break of 0.9774 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

[m.youssif]

No change in USD/JPY's outlook as consolidations from 85.51 short term top is still in progress. Deeper retreat cannot be ruled out but downside is expected to be contained above 81.97 support and bring rally resumption. Above 85.51 will target 61.8% retracement of 94.97 to 76.40 at 87.87 first. Sustained break there will further affirm the case of medium term reversal and should target 94.97 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.24) will confirm this case and target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. On the downside, break of 80.50 support is needed to invalidate this view, otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish.

[m.youssif]

No change in USD/JPY's outlook as consolidations from 85.51 short term top is still in progress. Deeper retreat cannot be ruled out but downside is expected to be contained above 81.97 support and bring rally resumption. Above 85.51 will target 61.8% retracement of 94.97 to 76.40 at 87.87 first. Sustained break there will further affirm the case of medium term reversal and should target 94.97 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 85.24) will confirm this case and target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. On the downside, break of 80.50 support is needed to invalidate this view, otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD was unable to make a clear break above 1.4518 yesterday and corrected lower hit 1.4406 earlier today in Asian session. The CCI bearish divergence gave us a valid signal of bullish exhaustion and bearish correction. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 1.4350. A clear break below that area could open the door for further bearish pullback testing 1.4250. However, note that the current bearish intraday bias should be seen as a counter trend/corrective move and the major bullish outlook remains intact/strong as long as price still moves inside the bullish channel as you can see on my h4 chart below. Immediate resistance at 1.4470. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but only a clear break above 1.4518 could end the current bearish correction phase at least testing 1.4550 – 1.4600 area.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD was unable to make a clear break above 1.4518 yesterday and corrected lower hit 1.4406 earlier today in Asian session. The CCI bearish divergence gave us a valid signal of bullish exhaustion and bearish correction. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 1.4350. A clear break below that area could open the door for further bearish pullback testing 1.4250. However, note that the current bearish intraday bias should be seen as a counter trend/corrective move and the major bullish outlook remains intact/strong as long as price still moves inside the bullish channel as you can see on my h4 chart below. Immediate resistance at 1.4470. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but only a clear break above 1.4518 could end the current bearish correction phase at least testing 1.4550 – 1.4600 area.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD was indecisive yesterday. On hourly chart below we can see price is moving inside a triangle formation suggests a consolidation phase, looking for a new intraday bias. A clear break above the triangle and 1.6300 would change the intraday bias to bullish retesting 1.6400 key resistance area. On the other hand, a clear break below the triangle and 1.6220 would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 1.6170 – 1.6090.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD was indecisive yesterday. On hourly chart below we can see price is moving inside a triangle formation suggests a consolidation phase, looking for a new intraday bias. A clear break above the triangle and 1.6300 would change the intraday bias to bullish retesting 1.6400 key resistance area. On the other hand, a clear break below the triangle and 1.6220 would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 1.6170 – 1.6090.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF was indecisive yesterday. The bias is neutral in nearest term but overall outlook remains strongly bearish. On hourly chart below we can see price is trapped in range area of 0.8990 – 0.8927. The bias is neutral in nearest term and we need a clear break from the range area to see clearer intraday direction. A clear break above 0.8990 could trigger further upside pullback testing 0.9055. On the other hand, a clear break below 0.8927 would continue the bearish momentum testing 0.8850.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF was indecisive yesterday. The bias is neutral in nearest term but overall outlook remains strongly bearish. On hourly chart below we can see price is trapped in range area of 0.8990 – 0.8927. The bias is neutral in nearest term and we need a clear break from the range area to see clearer intraday direction. A clear break above 0.8990 could trigger further upside pullback testing 0.9055. On the other hand, a clear break below 0.8927 would continue the bearish momentum testing 0.8850.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY was indecisive yesterday. On hourly chart below we can see price is moving inside a descending triangle, suggests the bearish correction likely to continue especially if price able to make a clear break below the triangle and 83.45 testing 82.55/00 support area. However, note that the major bullish outlook remains intact. Immediate resistance at 84.20 area. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but only a clear break above 84.70 could end the current bearish correction phase.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY was indecisive yesterday. On hourly chart below we can see price is moving inside a descending triangle, suggests the bearish correction likely to continue especially if price able to make a clear break below the triangle and 83.45 testing 82.55/00 support area. However, note that the major bullish outlook remains intact. Immediate resistance at 84.20 area. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but only a clear break above 84.70 could end the current bearish correction phase.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY was indecisive yesterday but still able to maintain its bearish correction bias and hit 120.17 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 119.30 but note that the current bearish intraday outlook should be seen as a counter trend/corrective move and the major bullish scenario remains intact. Immediate resistance at 121.20/40 area. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term and could create some upside pressure testing 122.59 but only a clear break above 122.59 could end the current bearish correction phase.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY was indecisive yesterday but still able to maintain its bearish correction bias and hit 120.17 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 119.30 but note that the current bearish intraday outlook should be seen as a counter trend/corrective move and the major bullish scenario remains intact. Immediate resistance at 121.20/40 area. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term and could create some upside pressure testing 122.59 but only a clear break above 122.59 could end the current bearish correction phase.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 137.19 but closed lower at 136.27 and hit 135.51 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term still targeting 135.00. A clear break below 135.00 could be a threat to the bullish scenario and could be a beginning of a new bearish phase at least testing 133.50. Immediate resistance at 136.40. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term 137.19/50 resistance area.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 137.19 but closed lower at 136.27 and hit 135.51 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term still targeting 135.00. A clear break below 135.00 could be a threat to the bullish scenario and could be a beginning of a new bearish phase at least testing 133.50. Immediate resistance at 136.40. A clear break above that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term 137.19/50 resistance area.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD made another indecisive movement yesterday. The bias remains neutral in nearest term. There are no changes in my daily outlook where price still in a major bullish outlook but seems to be in overbought area suggests by the CCI bearish divergence like I showed you on my daily chart yesterday. On hourly chart below we have a rising wedge bearish formation which support the CCI bearish divergence view especially if price able to make a clear break below the wedge and 1.0450 targeting 1.0330 support area. However note that any downside pullback now is normal and should be seen as a counter trend/corrective move and the major bullish outlook remains intact. Immediate resistance at 1.0538. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 1.0581 even aiming for new all time high projection around 1.0700.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD made another indecisive movement yesterday. The bias remains neutral in nearest term. There are no changes in my daily outlook where price still in a major bullish outlook but seems to be in overbought area suggests by the CCI bearish divergence like I showed you on my daily chart yesterday. On hourly chart below we have a rising wedge bearish formation which support the CCI bearish divergence view especially if price able to make a clear break below the wedge and 1.0450 targeting 1.0330 support area. However note that any downside pullback now is normal and should be seen as a counter trend/corrective move and the major bullish outlook remains intact. Immediate resistance at 1.0538. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 1.0581 even aiming for new all time high projection around 1.0700.

[m.youssif]

EUR/USD continues to lose upside momentum with 4 hours MACD staying below signal line. But with 1.4377 minor support intact, current rise is still expected to continue to 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. Break of 1.4377 will indicate that a short term top is formed and bring consolidations. But downside is expected to be contained by 1.4247 resistance turned support and bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, the break of 1.4281 resistance firstly confirms that whole medium term rebound from 1.1875 has resumed. Further rise should now be seen towards 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Also, note that current development also affirms the case that medium term correction 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

[m.youssif]

EUR/USD continues to lose upside momentum with 4 hours MACD staying below signal line. But with 1.4377 minor support intact, current rise is still expected to continue to 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. Break of 1.4377 will indicate that a short term top is formed and bring consolidations. But downside is expected to be contained by 1.4247 resistance turned support and bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, the break of 1.4281 resistance firstly confirms that whole medium term rebound from 1.1875 has resumed. Further rise should now be seen towards 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Also, note that current development also affirms the case that medium term correction 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.