تحليل فوركس فني يومي لخمسة أزواج

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF attempted to push lower yesterday, bottomed at 0.8779 but closed higher at 0.8860, made a hammer candle stick formation as you can see on my daily chart below suggests potential upside correction especially if price able to make a clear break above 0.8900 testing 0.9000. On the downside, we need a clear break below 0.8779 to cancel the bullish hammer formation scenario testing 0.8700 – 0.8600. Today some markets are closed on Good Friday.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF attempted to push lower yesterday, bottomed at 0.8779 but closed higher at 0.8860, made a hammer candle stick formation as you can see on my daily chart below suggests potential upside correction especially if price able to make a clear break above 0.8900 testing 0.9000. On the downside, we need a clear break below 0.8779 to cancel the bullish hammer formation scenario testing 0.8700 – 0.8600. Today some markets are closed on Good Friday.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY was able to maintain its bearish intraday bias yesterday and now traded below 82.00 which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 76.21 to 85.51 as you can see on my daily chart below. The bias remains bearish in nearest term testing 80.85 (50% Fibo). CCI in negative territory suggests downside pressure. However, note that a strong Yen appreciation could create speculation about another potential intervention to weaken the Yen. Immediate resistance at 82.00. A clear break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 82.50 – 83.00. Today some markets are closed on Good Friday.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY was able to maintain its bearish intraday bias yesterday and now traded below 82.00 which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 76.21 to 85.51 as you can see on my daily chart below. The bias remains bearish in nearest term testing 80.85 (50% Fibo). CCI in negative territory suggests downside pressure. However, note that a strong Yen appreciation could create speculation about another potential intervention to weaken the Yen. Immediate resistance at 82.00. A clear break above that area could lead us to neutral zone in nearest term testing 82.50 – 83.00. Today some markets are closed on Good Friday.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY was unable to maintain its bullish momentum yesterday and now traded below 119.30 support area after unable to make a break above 120.38. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 118.00. On the upside, another move above 119.30 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term and only a clear break above 120.38 would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 121.40. Today some markets are closed on Good Friday.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY was unable to maintain its bullish momentum yesterday and now traded below 119.30 support area after unable to make a break above 120.38. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 118.00. On the upside, another move above 119.30 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term and only a clear break above 120.38 would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 121.40. Today some markets are closed on Good Friday.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY made another indecisive movement yesterday, made another Doji on daily chart and still struggling around 135.00 area. There are no changes in my daily technical outlook. The bias remains neutral in nearest term. CCI still moves below zero level on daily chart suggests more bearish intraday bias but need a movement below -100 to continue the bearish pressure testing 132.50. Immediate support to be tested is around 133.75/50. A clear break below that area would trigger further bearish pressure testing 132.50 even lower. The overall technical bias remains to the downside but a strong Yen appreciation could trigger another intervention to weaken the Yen. Immediate resistance at 135.80. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 137.00 resistance area. Today some markets are closed on Good Friday.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY made another indecisive movement yesterday, made another Doji on daily chart and still struggling around 135.00 area. There are no changes in my daily technical outlook. The bias remains neutral in nearest term. CCI still moves below zero level on daily chart suggests more bearish intraday bias but need a movement below -100 to continue the bearish pressure testing 132.50. Immediate support to be tested is around 133.75/50. A clear break below that area would trigger further bearish pressure testing 132.50 even lower. The overall technical bias remains to the downside but a strong Yen appreciation could trigger another intervention to weaken the Yen. Immediate resistance at 135.80. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 137.00 resistance area. Today some markets are closed on Good Friday.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD was able to maintain its bullish bias yesterday although the bullish momentum is not as strong as what happened on Wednesday. The bias remains bullish in nearest term still testing 1.0850 – 1.0900 new historical high projection. Immediate support at 1.0700. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 1.0600 but overall the technical bias remains strongly to the upside. Today some markets are closed on Good Friday.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD was able to maintain its bullish bias yesterday although the bullish momentum is not as strong as what happened on Wednesday. The bias remains bullish in nearest term still testing 1.0850 – 1.0900 new historical high projection. Immediate support at 1.0700. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 1.0600 but overall the technical bias remains strongly to the upside. Today some markets are closed on Good Friday.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Weekly Summary: Bullish scenario threatened by shooting star and H&S pattern


The EURUSD attempted to push lower this week, bottomed at 1.4156 but whipsawed to the upside, broke above 1.4518, topped at 1.4647 but closed lower at 1.4562. I believe as long as price able to stay above 1.4518, the major bullish scenario should remain strong at least testing 1.4700 – 1.4800. However, there are two technical factors which can be a threat to the current bullish outlook. First, the shooting star formation on daily chart after strong bullish move suggests potential bearish pullback even a bearish reversal. Usually a shooting star formation with bearish body gives better accuracy, but regardless of the type of the body, shooting star candle stick formation is a bearish warning. Secondly, the “head and shoulders” pattern which appeared on the hourly chart with neckline already broken to the downside. The 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of 1.4156 – 1.4647 around 1.4530 provided a good intraday support. A clear break below 1.4530 – 1.4518 could trigger further bearish pullback at least testing 1.4400 support area even lower as the shooting star bearish scenario could have further validation. Beside 1.4647 resistance area, we need to pay attention to the right shoulder of the H&S formation at 1.4587. A clear break above that area would cancel the H&S bearish scenario testing 1.4647 before testing 1.4700 – 1.4800.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Weekly Summary: Bullish scenario threatened by shooting star and H&S pattern


The EURUSD attempted to push lower this week, bottomed at 1.4156 but whipsawed to the upside, broke above 1.4518, topped at 1.4647 but closed lower at 1.4562. I believe as long as price able to stay above 1.4518, the major bullish scenario should remain strong at least testing 1.4700 – 1.4800. However, there are two technical factors which can be a threat to the current bullish outlook. First, the shooting star formation on daily chart after strong bullish move suggests potential bearish pullback even a bearish reversal. Usually a shooting star formation with bearish body gives better accuracy, but regardless of the type of the body, shooting star candle stick formation is a bearish warning. Secondly, the “head and shoulders” pattern which appeared on the hourly chart with neckline already broken to the downside. The 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of 1.4156 – 1.4647 around 1.4530 provided a good intraday support. A clear break below 1.4530 – 1.4518 could trigger further bearish pullback at least testing 1.4400 support area even lower as the shooting star bearish scenario could have further validation. Beside 1.4647 resistance area, we need to pay attention to the right shoulder of the H&S formation at 1.4587. A clear break above that area would cancel the H&S bearish scenario testing 1.4647 before testing 1.4700 – 1.4800.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD was indecisive on Friday. The bias is neutral in nearest term. On h4 chart below we can see price still moves inside the bullish channel indicates that the major bullish scenario remains intact. However, pay attention to the 1.4518 support area. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 1.4400 support area and the lower line of the bullish channel and the shooting star bearish warning seen on daily chart as I showed you in my weekly summary may have further validation. On the upside, we need a clear break above 1.4605 (current high) to continue the bullish pressure testing 1.4647 before targeting 1.4700 – 1.4800 resistance area.

[m.youssif]

EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD was indecisive on Friday. The bias is neutral in nearest term. On h4 chart below we can see price still moves inside the bullish channel indicates that the major bullish scenario remains intact. However, pay attention to the 1.4518 support area. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 1.4400 support area and the lower line of the bullish channel and the shooting star bearish warning seen on daily chart as I showed you in my weekly summary may have further validation. On the upside, we need a clear break above 1.4605 (current high) to continue the bullish pressure testing 1.4647 before targeting 1.4700 – 1.4800 resistance area.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD bullish momentum was paused on Friday. After the strong breakout above 1.6400 the overall outlook remains strongly bullish but we had some downside pressure earlier today in Asian session testing 1.6480 as you can see on my h4 chart below. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 1.6400. On the upside, immediate resistance at 1.6550. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 1.6700 resistance area and keep the bullish scenario remains strong.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD bullish momentum was paused on Friday. After the strong breakout above 1.6400 the overall outlook remains strongly bullish but we had some downside pressure earlier today in Asian session testing 1.6480 as you can see on my h4 chart below. A clear break below that area would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 1.6400. On the upside, immediate resistance at 1.6550. A clear break above that area would change the intraday bias to bullish testing 1.6700 resistance area and keep the bullish scenario remains strong.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF didn’t make significant movement on Friday. There are no changes in my daily technical outlook. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Overall my technical bias remains strongly bearish but note that the hammer formation seen on daily chart below still suggest potential upside pullback testing 0.8900. On the downside we need a clear break below 0.8779 to cancel the bullish hammer formation scenario testing 0.8700 – 0.8600.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF didn’t make significant movement on Friday. There are no changes in my daily technical outlook. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Overall my technical bias remains strongly bearish but note that the hammer formation seen on daily chart below still suggest potential upside pullback testing 0.8900. On the downside we need a clear break below 0.8779 to cancel the bullish hammer formation scenario testing 0.8700 – 0.8600.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY was indecisive on Friday but had some upside pressure earlier today in Asian session and so far rejects to move consistently below 82.00 which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 76.21 – 85.51. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 83.30 resistance area ( 23.6% Fibonacci retracement). However note that overall we are still in a bearish phase since the fall from 85.51 and another downside pullback below 82.00 could continue the bearish pressure testing 80.85 support area.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY was indecisive on Friday but had some upside pressure earlier today in Asian session and so far rejects to move consistently below 82.00 which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 76.21 – 85.51. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 83.30 resistance area ( 23.6% Fibonacci retracement). However note that overall we are still in a bearish phase since the fall from 85.51 and another downside pullback below 82.00 could continue the bearish pressure testing 80.85 support area.