تحليل فوركس فني يومي لخمسة أزواج

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD had a significant bullish momentum yesterday after break above the bullish flag formation as you can see on my h4 chart below and hit 1.6745 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 1.6850 area before testing 1.7000. Immediate support at 1.6635. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but overall the technical bias remains strongly to the upside.

[m.youssif]

GBPUSD Forecast
The GBPUSD had a significant bullish momentum yesterday after break above the bullish flag formation as you can see on my h4 chart below and hit 1.6745 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 1.6850 area before testing 1.7000. Immediate support at 1.6635. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but overall the technical bias remains strongly to the upside.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 0.8833 but further bullish momentum was rejected, closed lower below 0.8779 and hit 0.8686 earlier today in Asian session. This fact keeps the major bearish scenario strong still targeting 0.8600 in nearest term before targeting 0.8500 area. On the upside, only a consistent move above 0.8779 could trigger further upside correction testing 0.8900 but overall the technical bias remains strongly to the downside.

[m.youssif]

USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 0.8833 but further bullish momentum was rejected, closed lower below 0.8779 and hit 0.8686 earlier today in Asian session. This fact keeps the major bearish scenario strong still targeting 0.8600 in nearest term before targeting 0.8500 area. On the upside, only a consistent move above 0.8779 could trigger further upside correction testing 0.8900 but overall the technical bias remains strongly to the downside.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY had a bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 82.73 but quickly whipsawed to the downside and hit 81.61 earlier today in Asian session. This fact keep the bearish phase since the fall from 85.51 remains strong especially if price able to make another strong break below 81.61 still targeting 80.85. On the upside, another move back above 82.00 would lead us to neutral zone as intraday direction would become unclear testing 82.50/73 resistance area.

[m.youssif]

USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY had a bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 82.73 but quickly whipsawed to the downside and hit 81.61 earlier today in Asian session. This fact keep the bearish phase since the fall from 85.51 remains strong especially if price able to make another strong break below 81.61 still targeting 80.85. On the upside, another move back above 82.00 would lead us to neutral zone as intraday direction would become unclear testing 82.50/73 resistance area.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY had a strong bullish momentum yesterday after break out above the range area as you can see on my hourly chart below and hit 121.82 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 122.50 – 123.31 resistance area. Immediate support at 121.00 – 120.75 followed by 120.38 (former resistance). A clear break below 120.38 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as direction would become unclear.

[m.youssif]

EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY had a strong bullish momentum yesterday after break out above the range area as you can see on my hourly chart below and hit 121.82 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 122.50 – 123.31 resistance area. Immediate support at 121.00 – 120.75 followed by 120.38 (former resistance). A clear break below 120.38 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as direction would become unclear.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY had a strong bullish momentum yesterday after a strong break above 135.00 and 135.90, hit 137.03 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bullish in nearest term targeting 137.88 even testing 139.67 especially if price able to make another strong break above 137.00. Note that 137.00 could be a good resistance at this phase and some minor downside pullback might take place but overall my intraday outlook has change to a bullish view as long as price stays above 135.90. A clear break below 135.90 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as direction would become unclear.

[m.youssif]

GBPJPY Forecast
The GBPJPY had a strong bullish momentum yesterday after a strong break above 135.00 and 135.90, hit 137.03 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bullish in nearest term targeting 137.88 even testing 139.67 especially if price able to make another strong break above 137.00. Note that 137.00 could be a good resistance at this phase and some minor downside pullback might take place but overall my intraday outlook has change to a bullish view as long as price stays above 135.90. A clear break below 135.90 would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term as direction would become unclear.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued its bullish momentum yesterday and hit another new historical high at 1.0946 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bullish in nearest term testing 1.1000 – 1.1050 new historical high projection. Immediate support at 1.0877. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but overall the scenario remains strongly bullish.

[m.youssif]

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued its bullish momentum yesterday and hit another new historical high at 1.0946 earlier today in Asian session. The bias remains bullish in nearest term testing 1.1000 – 1.1050 new historical high projection. Immediate support at 1.0877. A clear break below that area would lead us to neutral zone in nearest term but overall the scenario remains strongly bullish.

[m.youssif]

AUD/USD soars further to as high as 1.0945 so far today. 61.8% projection of 0.8315 to 1.0181 from 0.9704 at 1.0857 is already met and intraday bias remains on the upside for 1.1 psychological level next. On the downside, break of 1.0773 support is needed to signal short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8066 is part of the up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 and is still in healthy status. AUD/USD is staying comfortably inside medium term rising channel with daily MACD staying above signal line. Current rise should be target 1.1 psychological level next. Break will target 100% projection of 0.8315 to 1.0181 from 0.9704 at 1.1570. On the downside, break of 1.0254 resistance turned support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

[m.youssif]

AUD/USD soars further to as high as 1.0945 so far today. 61.8% projection of 0.8315 to 1.0181 from 0.9704 at 1.0857 is already met and intraday bias remains on the upside for 1.1 psychological level next. On the downside, break of 1.0773 support is needed to signal short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8066 is part of the up trend from 2008 low of 0.6008 and is still in healthy status. AUD/USD is staying comfortably inside medium term rising channel with daily MACD staying above signal line. Current rise should be target 1.1 psychological level next. Break will target 100% projection of 0.8315 to 1.0181 from 0.9704 at 1.1570. On the downside, break of 1.0254 resistance turned support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

[m.youssif]

USD/CAD's recovery from 0.9453 might have finished at 0.9575 already and intraday bias is cautiously on the downside for 0.9453 first. Break will confirm down trend resumption and should target 100% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9353 next. On the upside, above 0.9575 will bring more consolidation. But in case of stronger recovery, upside of recovery should be limited by near term falling trend line resistance (now at 0.9642) and bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and is possibly building up momentum again. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall would now be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level.

[m.youssif]

USD/CAD's recovery from 0.9453 might have finished at 0.9575 already and intraday bias is cautiously on the downside for 0.9453 first. Break will confirm down trend resumption and should target 100% projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 from 0.9972 at 0.9353 next. On the upside, above 0.9575 will bring more consolidation. But in case of stronger recovery, upside of recovery should be limited by near term falling trend line resistance (now at 0.9642) and bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 2009 high of 1.3063 is still in progress and is possibly building up momentum again. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9972 resistance holds and further fall would now be seen towards 0.9056 key support (2007 low). Though, we'd again start to look for reversal signal as USD/CAD approaches this key support level.

[m.youssif]

Despite recovering to 82.76, USD/JPY failed to sustain gain above 4 hours 55 EMA and dips again today. Intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 81.26 will indicate that fall from 85.51 has resumed and would then target 61.8% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 79.88 and below. On the upside, above 82.76 will suggest that pull back from 85.51 has completed and would flip bias back to the upside for retesting this resistance.

In the bigger picture, with 80.50 support intact, we're still favoring the case that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Above 85.51 will target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. However, note that strong resistance has been seen from the falling 55 weeks EMA and long term falling trend line. That is, there is no confirmation of reversal yet. A break of 80.50 will indicate that rebound from 76.40 was likely just a correction and the long term down trend is still in progress for another low below 76.40.

[m.youssif]

Despite recovering to 82.76, USD/JPY failed to sustain gain above 4 hours 55 EMA and dips again today. Intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 81.26 will indicate that fall from 85.51 has resumed and would then target 61.8% retracement of 76.40 to 85.51 at 79.88 and below. On the upside, above 82.76 will suggest that pull back from 85.51 has completed and would flip bias back to the upside for retesting this resistance.

In the bigger picture, with 80.50 support intact, we're still favoring the case that long term down trend from 124.13 has completed at 76.40 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Above 85.51 will target 94.97 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 124.13 to 76.40) and above. However, note that strong resistance has been seen from the falling 55 weeks EMA and long term falling trend line. That is, there is no confirmation of reversal yet. A break of 80.50 will indicate that rebound from 76.40 was likely just a correction and the long term down trend is still in progress for another low below 76.40.

[m.youssif]

EUR/USD rises further to as high as 1.4880 so far today and intraday bias remains on the upside for next target of 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. On the downside, below 1.4711 minor support will turn bias neutral again and bring consolidations. But after all, retreat is expected to be contained well above 1.4157 support and bring rally resumption.

In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

[m.youssif]

EUR/USD rises further to as high as 1.4880 so far today and intraday bias remains on the upside for next target of 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.386 from 1.3427 at 1.5024, which is close to 1.5 psychological level. On the downside, below 1.4711 minor support will turn bias neutral again and bring consolidations. But after all, retreat is expected to be contained well above 1.4157 support and bring rally resumption.

In the bigger picture, whole rise from 1.1875 is still in progress and should be targeting 1.5143 resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1875 to 1.418 from 1.2873 at 1.5279. Current development also affirms the case that medium term correction from 1.6039 was completed with three waves down to 1.1875 and the long term up trend might be resuming. Decisive break of 1.5279 projection target will indicate that rise from 1.1875 is developing into an impulsive wave that should take out 1.6039 high eventually. On the downside, break of 1.3860 support is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.